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'One of the most important earnings calls in its history': Here's what Wall Street expects from Tesla's 4th-quarter earnings

Elon Musk
Elon Musk.Carina Johansen/Getty Images
  • Tesla is set to report fourth-quarter earnings after the market close on Wednesday after a rocky 2022.

  • Investors are laser-focused on the company's profit guidance after it announced big price cuts.

  • Here's what Wall Street expects to see from the electric vehicle maker's earnings report. 


Tesla will report its fourth-quarter earnings after the market close on Wednesday, and investors will be laser-focused on 2023 profit guidance after recent vehicle price cuts.

Tesla already reported fourth-quarter vehicle deliveries of 405,000 earlier this month, which missed Wall Street estimates by about 13,000. The company delivered about 1.3 million vehicles in 2022, up 40% year-over-year but shy of Tesla's 50% growth target.

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The average analyst estimate for Tesla's fourth-quarter report includes revenue of $24.2 billion and earnings per share of $1.13, according to data from Yahoo Finance.

After Tesla saw its stock price decline 65% in 2022, investors are looking for any bullish tidbits that could extend the company's recent rally of more than 40%.

Detailed below is what three Wall Street analysts expect from Tesla's fourth-quarter earnings report.

JPMorgan: Price cuts 'may lead to negative earnings revisions in coming quarters.'

"Tesla's drastic price cuts are we think positive for the consumer, negative for Tesla, and negative for other automakers," JPMorgan said in a Wednesday note. The bank lowered its 2023 earnings estimates "on margin dilutive price cuts only partly expected to be recovered by operating leverage stemming from associated higher sales."