Multiple days of severe weather potential across the Big Country
ABILENE, Texas (BCH Weather) – Earth Day on Monday shaped up to be a beautiful day for the Big Country. With the sun out, warm temperatures, and just a touch of breeze, we remain thankful for the calm start of the week as we prepare for chances of severe weather for the rest of it.
This outlook was released Monday from the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) just after noon. Since, there have already been some upgrades to a couple of these outlooks. The outlook for Tuesday has been upgraded to a slight risk for the Big Country.
Most counties above I-20 are included in the slight risk zone. However, overall storm coverage will be low but could affect any location in the slight and marginal risk area. Daytime heating will play a factor in Tuesday’s short-lived storms.
Timing of storms are expected to begin around 4:00 p.m. Tuesday, and storms should die down by 11:00 p.m. at the latest. Any storms that are able to develop will have the potential to drop very large hail and damaging winds over 60 miles per hour.
The threat for severe storms on Wednesday remains a marginal risk for areas in the Big Country mainly west of a Ballinger-Abilene-Throckmorton line.
At this time, it seems like these storms will be isolated and short lived as well, thanks to a solid cap in the atmosphere. Any storms that develop can produce large hail and damaging winds.
The main focus for severe weather will be during the second half of the week. According to the latest outlooks released Tuesday morning, there is a slight risk for severe weather every day from Thursday through Sunday in some part of the Big Country.
That will make six consecutive days with a chance of at least an isolated-to-scattered severe storm to occur here in the Big Country and other regions of Texas.
Here is a closer look at the severe potential for this weekend:
Above is the Day 5 severe weather outlook for this Saturday, April 27. Keep in mind these outlooks are up to a week out, so a lot can change between now and then. These outlooks just give us a general idea of the most favorable environments for supercell development.
Next is the Day 6 severe weather outlook for next Sunday, April 28. As of now, the best potential for severe weather will be off to our east in the DFW region and East Texas. We will have to monitor this situation as the risk zone can shift and/or expand into our area.
Regardless of where the best potential for severe weather is over the next several days, make sure you are weather aware as we are just at the start of a multi-day severe weather event.
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