Moody's says Revlon's debt swap offer considered to be a distressed exchange

Announcement: Moody's says Revlon's debt swap offer considered to be a distressed exchange

Global Credit Research - 05 Aug 2020

New York, August 05, 2020 -- Moody's Investors Service, ("Moody's") commented that Revlon Consumer Products Corporation's ("Revlon") July 27, 2020 announcement to exchange at a discount to par its existing 5.75% $500 million unsecured notes due February 2021 for new 5.75% unsecured notes due February 2024 will be considered a distressed exchange. The transaction would favorably address the company's significant refinancing needs due to the note maturity and springing credit facility maturities, but would not materially reduce the very high debt burden. Moody's views this proposed transaction as a continuation of the default that occurred in May, when Revlon refinanced its $1.8 billion term loan, and not a separate default event. The exchange offer is a reflection of Revlon's high refinancing risk and the rating agency's view that the capital structure is unsustainable without a significant operational turnaround that is unlikely in the current economic environment.

The maximum debt reduction is roughly $97 million but would likely be closer to $77 million assuming bond holders that elect to tender will take advantage of the early tender cash payment premium discussed below. Because this would not be a material reduction in Revlon's $3.6 billion debt balance (based on the pro forma March 31, 2020 capitalization in Revlon's offering memorandum) or cash interest burden, the company's Caa3 Corporate Family Rating and negative outlook are not affected. Addressing the maturity would improve liquidity, but Revlon continues to incur a meaningful cash burn and Moody's continues to view leverage and the capital structure as unsustainable.

For any bonds tendered for exchange by August 7, 2020, each $1,000 offered by bondholders for exchange will receive $750 in new bonds plus a $50 participation fee for a total of $800. Bonds tendered between August 8, 2020 and August 21, 2020, when the exchange offer expires, will receive $750 of new bonds for each $1,000 of existing notes. The exchange offer is contingent on 95% participation from bondholders and consent from Revlon's term loan lenders. Consent from the term loan lenders is required because the term loan credit agreements expiring in 2023 and 2025 only consider cash repayments of the February 2021 bonds. Investors who don't participate risk having the bond covenants removed.

If Revlon does not complete this transaction before November 2020, and any part of the $500 million notes remain outstanding, the 2016 $441 million asset based lending facility's ("ABL") expiring in September 2021 and the remaining $925 million of 2016 term loans maturing in September 2023 will spring forward to November 2020 (or 91 days before the maturity of the notes). Given the company's very weak financial performance, Moody's does not believe that Revlon has sufficient liquidity to repay the notes or that it has the ability to refinance the notes at this time.

If the bond exchange is successful, the transaction will provide Revlon additional time to address its operational issues, but execution risk and financial leverage remain high. Moody's estimates that the company's leverage is increasing because of the cash burn and earnings deterioration despite the debt reduction from the exchange offer. Gross leverage has also increased because the May term loan transactions led to additional balance sheet cash. Moody's estimates that pro-forma debt to EBITDA will be 14x based on the post transaction debt structure outlined in the company's offering memorandum - a level that is higher than 12.7x for the twelve month period ended March 31, 2020. Moody's estimates debt to EBITDA will reach a high of 18x over the next 12 months.

In May, Revlon refinanced its 2016 term loan and Moody's viewed the transaction as a distressed exchange. Revlon contributed certain intellectual property ("IP") related to its Elizabeth Arden, American Crew, and certain owned portfolio brands and owned fragrance brands (collectively, the "BrandCo Collateral") into a restricted subsidiary that was used as collateral for its new term loans. The BrandCo collateral, aside from American Crew IP, was originally pledged to the 2016 term loan lenders, but Revlon used its investment baskets in the 2016 term loan to extract the IP and help effectuate the deal. The refinanced term loan expires in 2025, although part of the original 2016 term loan remains outstanding and expires in 2023.

Revlon has struggled to stem meaningful declines to revenue and earnings from large and global established brands, as well as from smaller independent brands. Preliminary second quarter revenue declined 37% organically (excluding FX) with the company attributing the bulk of the decline to demand reductions related to the coronavirus. Revlon estimates preliminary second quarter adjusted EBITDA declined to $45.4 million in the second quarter from $47 million a year ago, but the company's EBITDA calculation is highly adjusted including close to $50 million of add-backs related to cash charges such as for restructuring and expenses attributed to the coronavirus. Based on the offering memorandum disclosures, cash consumption was meaningful in the second quarter and continued in July.

The company is in the midst of a multi-year restructuring program largely intended to address weak operations in its domestic and international markets. Revlon recently announced a new aggressive restructuring plan to cut about $200-$230 million in costs by 2022. Roughly 60% of costs will be generated from staff reductions in 2020. Thus, execution risk is high given that the company continues to address the issues related to its consumer business. In addition, demand for the company's premium Elizabeth Arden products (21% of sales) was hurt by department store closures. The company is now additionally burdened by the prospect of a severe and prolonged decline in the mass and prestige beauty sector precipitated by the coronavirus.

Revlon's credit profile (Caa3 negative) reflects its very high financial leverage at roughly 14x debt-to-EBITDA and Moody's belief that high leverage remaining over the next year elevates risk of a debt restructuring. This very high leverage is in part due to earnings and cash flow weakness reflecting lackluster demand for the company's domestic consumer and professional products. The company recently refinanced its $1.6 billion term loan due in 2023, which Moody's viewed as a distressed exchange default because the term loan is trading at a significant discount to par and is being exchanged into a term loan with a longer maturity and a weaker collateral position. Moody's recognizes the company's high exposure to acquisition event risk related to the controlling 87% stake held by the Ron Perelman owned investment firm MacAndrews & Forbes Incorporated (M&F). Revlon's credit profile is supported by its strong global brand name recognition, as well as its product and geographic diversification.

Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.

This publication does not announce a credit rating action. For any credit ratings referenced in this publication, please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for the most updated credit rating action information and rating history.

Chedly Louis VP - Senior Credit Officer Corporate Finance Group Moody's Investors Service, Inc. 250 Greenwich Street New York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376 Client Service: 1 212 553 1653 John E. Puchalla, CFA Associate Managing Director Corporate Finance Group JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376 Client Service: 1 212 553 1653 Releasing Office: Moody's Investors Service, Inc. 250 Greenwich Street New York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376 Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

© 2020 Moody's Corporation, Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moody's Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved.

CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. AND/OR ITS CREDIT RATINGS AFFILIATES ARE MOODY'S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND MATERIALS, PRODUCTS, SERVICES AND INFORMATION PUBLISHED BY MOODY'S (COLLECTIVELY, "PUBLICATIONS") MAY INCLUDE SUCH CURRENT OPINIONS. MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT OR IMPAIRMENT. SEE MOODY'S RATING SYMBOLS AND DEFINITIONS PUBLICATION FOR INFORMATION ON THE TYPES OF CONTRACTUAL FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS ADDRESSED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE CREDIT RATINGS. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS, NON-CREDIT ASSESSMENTS ("ASSESSMENTS"), AND OTHER OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS MAY ALSO INCLUDE QUANTITATIVE MODEL-BASED ESTIMATES OF CREDIT RISK AND RELATED OPINIONS OR COMMENTARY PUBLISHED BY MOODY'S ANALYTICS, INC. AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS DO NOT COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY'S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS AND OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLISHES ITS PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.

MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS,ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS, AND PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE BY RETAIL INVESTORS AND IT WOULD BE RECKLESS AND INAPPROPRIATE FOR RETAIL INVESTORS TO USE MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS OR PUBLICATIONS WHEN MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION. IF IN DOUBT YOU SHOULD CONTACT YOUR FINANCIAL OR OTHER PROFESSIONAL ADVISER.

ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED, DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY'S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.

MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS,ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE BY ANY PERSON AS A BENCHMARK AS THAT TERM IS DEFINED FOR REGULATORY PURPOSES AND MUST NOT BE USED IN ANY WAY THAT COULD RESULT IN THEM BEING CONSIDERED A BENCHMARK.

All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY'S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided "AS IS" without warranty of any kind. MOODY'S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, MOODY'S is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing its Publications.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY'S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability to any person or entity for any indirect, special, consequential, or incidental losses or damages whatsoever arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information, even if MOODY'S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers is advised in advance of the possibility of such losses or damages, including but not limited to: (a) any loss of present or prospective profits or (b) any loss or damage arising where the relevant financial instrument is not the subject of a particular credit rating assigned by MOODY'S.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY'S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability for any direct or compensatory losses or damages caused to any person or entity, including but not limited to by any negligence (but excluding fraud, willful misconduct or any other type of liability that, for the avoidance of doubt, by law cannot be excluded) on the part of, or any contingency within or beyond the control of, MOODY'S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers, arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information.

NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY CREDIT RATING, ASSESSMENT, OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODY'S IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER.

Moody's Investors Service, Inc., a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Corporation ("MCO"), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by Moody's Investors Service, Inc. have, prior to assignment of any credit rating, agreed to pay to Moody's Investors Service, Inc. for credit ratings opinions and services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,000 to approximately $2,700,000. MCO and Moody's investors Service also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of Moody's Investors Service credit ratings and credit rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold credit ratings from Moody's Investors Service and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading "Investor Relations — Corporate Governance — Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy."

Additional terms for Australia only: Any publication into Australia of this document is pursuant to the Australian Financial Services License of MOODY'S affiliate, Moody's Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657AFSL 336969 and/or Moody's Analytics Australia Pty Ltd ABN 94 105 136 972 AFSL 383569 (as applicable). This document is intended to be provided only to "wholesale clients" within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. By continuing to access this document from within Australia, you represent to MOODY'S that you are, or are accessing the document as a representative of, a "wholesale client" and that neither you nor the entity you represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or its contents to "retail clients" within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. MOODY'S credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail investors.

Additional terms for Japan only: Moody's Japan K.K. ("MJKK") is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Group Japan G.K., which is wholly-owned by Moody's Overseas Holdings Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of MCO. Moody's SF Japan K.K. ("MSFJ") is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of MJKK. MSFJ is not a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization ("NRSRO"). Therefore, credit ratings assigned by MSFJ are Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings. Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings are assigned by an entity that is not a NRSRO and, consequently, the rated obligation will not qualify for certain types of treatment under U.S. laws. MJKK and MSFJ are credit rating agencies registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. 2 and 3 respectively.

MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) have, prior to assignment of any credit rating, agreed to pay to MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) for credit ratings opinions and services rendered by it fees ranging from JPY125,000 to approximately JPY250,000,000.

MJKK and MSFJ also maintain policies and procedures to address Japanese regulatory requirements.

​​​​​​​​