Nate Parker's 'Birth of a Nation' Tracking for $7M-$8M Nationwide Debut

The Hollywood Reporter

Director and actor Nate Parker's The Birth of a Nation will open in roughly 2,100 theaters this weekend at the North American box office in an ambitious bid to win over arthouse audiences and mainstream moviegoers alike.

Conservative estimates show the slave-rebellion drama opening in the $7 million-$8 million range, although some tracking services have it approaching $10 million. Comparisons are difficult since films such as 12 Years a Slave didn't open nationwide at first.

Initially, Fox Searchlight intended to open the slave-rebellion drama in 1,500 to 1,800 locations, but has expanded those plans, thanks to theater owners who haven't been scared off by the controversy surrounding Parker over his involvement in a 1999 rape case. But it remains to be seen whether audiences will follow suit.

Birth of a Nation - one of the widest releases ever from Searchlight - was the darling of the 2016 Sundance Film Festival, where Searchlight plunked down a sizeable $17.5 million for world rights to Parker's directorial debut, the biggest deal in the festival's history.

Read more: Nate Parker Declines to Apologize Over Rape Trial Scandal, Says "I Don't Feel Guilty" in '60 Minutes' Interview

As part of the pact, Parker was insistent that Birth of a Nation be given a wide release, meaning 1,500 theaters or more. Generally speaking, Searchlight, like other specialty distributors, opens the majority of its titles in select theaters in order to build word of mouth. The danger of opening Birth nationwide is that it could disappear quickly.

Over the summer, Searchlight had to grapple with an unexpected hurdle when the rape case resurfaced after Parker spoke in several interviews about the 1999 trial in which he and Jean Celestin (who later co-wrote The Birth of a Nation) were accused of raping a classmate at Penn State. Parker, who maintained the sex was consensual, was acquitted, while Celestin was convicted. (Celestin's case was later overturned on appeal.)

Parker became further embattled when it was discovered that the accuser committed suicide in 2012. Parker issued a lengthy statement saying, "I am filled with profound sorrow."

Read more: Sundance: Why Nate Parker Chose Fox Searchlight Over Netflix for 'The Birth of a Nation'

On Sunday night's edition of CBS' 60 Minutes, Parker was asked by correspondent Anderson Cooper whether he wanted to apologize.

Parker replied: "I'll say this. I do think it's tragic, so much of what happened and [what] the family had to endure with respect to this woman not being here. I don't want to harp on this and be disrespectful of them, but at some point I have to say it: I was ly accused. I went to court, and I sat in trial. I was vind - [choking up]. I was vindicated. I was proven innocent, and I feel terrible that this woman isn't here. Her family had to deal with that, but as I sit here, an apology is - no."

Controversy or no controversy, Birth of a Nation isn't an easy sell. Searchlight will play the film in mainstream multiplexes, African-American theaters, upscale suburban houses as well as traditional arthouse cinemas.

Comparisons are tough, since Birth

At Sundance, Birth of a Nation was hailed as an antidote to the then-raging #OscarsSoWhite backlash. Its award chances aren't so clear now, however.