High Fives: David Johnson, man of our dreams

Your dream scenario (ADP-feasible) for your first five rounds of a 12-team fantasy draft

1. David Johnson — A per touch fantasy monster last season – he’s No. 1 with a bullet at RB for me that you can often land 4-6 picks into your draft

1. David Johnson — Stars are aligned for monster season — top-10 line, strong pass game, certified workhorse role. Could amass 1700 combined yards with 14-16 TDs.

1. David Johnson — Could have a truly monstrous season. I’d consider him No. 1 overall, but he’s available in the mid-first in many drafts

2. Brandon Marshall — Love the value – No. 3 WR last season, top 6 in 3 of past 4 seasons – going as the 8th or 9th WR off the board, typically

2. Le’Veon Bell — Steak on a silver platter in Round 2 of average drafts. Arguably league’s most complete back. Plenty of RB depth to survive three-week absence.

2. Mike Evans — Should bounce back and form a deadly connection with Jameis Winston while approaching a dozen scores

3. Sammy Watkins — He’s everything to the BUF passing game, and worries about his surgically-repaired foot have waned – was No. 6 fantasy WR over final 9 weeks of ’15

3. Keenan Allen — Dreadful San Diego D and unbreakable bond with Rivers makes him a steal in RD3 no matter format. Was on pace for 134 catches in 2015.

3. C.J. Anderson — Should be a legit feature back on a run heavy team that just won the Super Bowl. CJA has the upside to finish as a top-five fantasy RB

4. Russell Wilson —I’d take Cam here, but he typically only falls this far in “experts” drafts (dream on, Evans —>) – but I’d be all good with a guy that has finished top 3 at QB in back-to-back seasons

4. Cam Newton — Late-round QB followers would cringe at this pick, but Cam’s ridiculously high floor and Benjamin’s return say another elite season on horizon.

4. Doug Baldwin — Not often will you find a WR in his prime coming off such a huge season readily available in the middle of the fourth round in most drafts

5. Jeremy Hill — Might have to reach into Round 4 to get him but, this is a dream scenario, right? Supreme goal-line weapon was Top 14 RB in each of 1st two seasons and looks top 10-ready in preseason

5. Jeremy Hill — Retried tap dance shoes this offseason. He’s focused and running assertively. Another double-digit scores with 1,200 combined yards achievable.

5. Donte Moncrief — Ready to truly breakout in a featured role on an offense that’s going to have to rely heavily on its passing attack

Your nightmare scenario (ADP-feasible) for your first five rounds of a fantasy draft

1. Rob Gronkowski — Can you bank on 15+ games for a 3rd straight season? Can you count on same-level production with Garoppolo at QB for 4 games? Can you dig yourself out of the hole of drafting a TE Round 1?

1. Rob Gronkowski — Hard to knock his domination, consistency when healthy, but one can acquire Jordan Reed, who outplayed Gronk from WK7 on, two-three rounds later.

1. Adrian Peterson — I don’t want a 31-year-old back with 2,500 career carries as my first round pick

2. Jordy Nelson — He’s a 31-year-old coming off major knee surgery and we haven’t seen him back in action yet -Not saying he won’t be his old self, just saying it’s a bit of a dice roll in Round 2

2. Devonta Freeman — Last season’s top taco at RB likely to enter into undetermined RBBC with Tevin Coleman. Drop-off imminent, especially if goal-line totes are relinquished.

2. Cam Newton — No chance am I taking a quarterback this high. It’s just such a deep position, there’s no reason to address it until at least a handful of rounds later

3. Matt Forte — He’s No. 43 in Y! ADP, so this would be a reach at somewhere in the mid-30s, furthering the nightmare – I think the threat of Bilal Powell is as serious as a heartattack

3. Alshon Jeffery — Bears offense is simply atrocious. Will draw top corners weekly and always an injury risk. Not my cup of tea.

3. Carlos Hyde — Injury prone and on arguably the NFL’s worst offense isn’t an ideal combination for a back costing a third round pick

4. Julian Edelman — At this point in his career, the question is no longer if he’s going to miss games, it’s how many

4. Thomas Rawls — Expected to start Week 1 versus Miami, but could enter into hot hand situation with ‘awakened’ Christine Michael.

4. Matt Forte — On the wrong side of 30 and looking at possibly a legit committee now in New York

5. Michael Floyd — This is what a person that likes Floyd would do, reach into Round 5 to get him – sorry, I need actual legit full-season production to go with the nice wrapping paper

5. Matt Forte — On wrong side of 30, off season in which deterioration was visible and locked into timeshare with Bilal Powell. Ewwww …

5. Jonathan Stewart — Doesn’t catch passes and has a QB who steals GL work. Stewart has recorded six 100-yard rushing games total over the past six seasons

Predict the Top 5 running backs for ’16 in receiving PPR points (catches, rec. yards, TD catches)

1. Danny Woodhead — 75 receptions, 666 receiving yards, 5 TD catches

1. Theo Riddick —81 receptions, 704 receiving yards, 5 TD catches

1. Danny Woodhead — 78 receptions, 710 receiving yards, 5 TD catches

2. Darren Sproles —69 receptions, 610 receiving yards, 5 TD catches

2. Charles Sims —55 receptions, 575 receiving yards, 5 TD catches

2. Theo Riddick — 75 receptions, 660 receiving yards, 4 TD catches

3. Theo Riddick —71 receptions, 620 receiving yards, 4 TD catches

3. Danny Woodhead —67 receptions, 588 receiving yards, 4 TD catches

3. Charles Sims — 55 receptions, 590 receiving yards, 5 TD catches

4. Duke Johnson — 72 receptions, 633 receiving yards, 3 TD catches

4. Devonta Freeman —65 receptions, 554 receiving yards, 3 TD catches

4. Devonta Freeman — 63 receptions, 490 receiving yards, 3 TD catches

5. James White —59 receptions, 590 receiving yards, 5 TD catches

5. Duke Johnson —63 receptions, 551 receiving yards, 3 TD catches

5. Duke Johnson — 60 receptions, 530 receiving yards, 2 TD catches

Predict the Top 5 quarterbacks for ’16 in rushing fantasy points (rushing yards, TD runs)

1. Cam Newton — 555 rushing yards, 8 TD runs

1. Cam Newton —607 rushing yards, 8 TD runs

1. Cam Newton — 610 rushing yards, 8 TD runs

2. Tyrod Taylor — 650 rushing yards, 4 TD runs

2. Tyrod Taylor —645 rushing yards, 5 TD runs

2. Tyrod Taylor — 670 rushing yards, 6 TD runs

3. Russell Wilson — 525 rushing yards, 3 TD runs

3. Marcus Mariota —549 rushing yards, 4 TD runs

3. Russell Wilson — 550 rushing yards, 4 TD runs

4. Dak Prescott —444 rushing yards, 4 TD runs

4. Dak Prescott —522 rushing yards, 4 TD runs

4. Dak Prescott — 475 rushing yards, 4 TD runs

5. Jameis Winston — 250 rushing yards, 6 TD runs

5. Russell Wilson —538 rushing yards, 2 TD runs

5. Marcus Mariota — 400 rushing yards, 4 TD runs

Predict the Top 5 most coveted players (25% owned or less) on the waiver wire after Week 1

1. Robert Griffin III — Coming off strong preseason that showcased his deep ball talents, has good chance to keep it rolling against a PHI defense that allowed 3rd-most FAN PPG to QBs in ’15

1. Virgil Green — Logged outstanding training camp and preseason. Should be apple of Siemian’s eye opening night against Carolina. Might be this year’s Gary Barnidge.

1. Jerick McKinnon — Will be bigger part of offense as Minny’s main passing down back. Huge upside if AP goes down

2. Anquan Boldin — Faces likely shootout vs. toastable Indy secondary – good chance TE Ebron is limited or sits this one out, only helping Boldin’s cause

2. Terrance West — With the Ravens down Ken Dixon, West appears locked into goal-line role. Will split touches with Forsett/Allen, but decent candidate for 10+ fantasy points Week 1.

2. Virgil Green — Anyone looking for tight end help will immediately turn to Green, who will be a force in the red zone this season

3. Dorial Green-Beckham — Given his standout size and the matchup against what was an extremely generous CLE secondary in ’15, easy to imagine him making a TD splash Week 1

3. Vance McDonald — Ellington’s IR listing, SF’s woeful defense and Kelly’s offense all benefit McDonald. Should be Gabbert’s first read.

3. Dorial Green-Beckham — In Week 1 Philadelphia faces a Cleveland secondary that allowed the most fantasy points to opposing WRs last season

4.Terrelle Pryor — Speaking of that RG3 deep ball, would it be shocking if Pryor was the recipient of a couple of those against a PHI defense that allowed 2nd-most FAN PPG to WRs in ’15?

4. Rob Kelley — Polished off impressive August dodging raindrops in Tampa. Averaged 5.2 ypc over four games. Real threat to dinged Matt Jones.

4. Tyler Boyd — It won’t take long for him to overtake Brandon LaFell as the team’s No. 2 wide receiver

5.Jesse James — At 6’7″, a massive red zone target for Big Ben – faces WAS defense that allowed top 10 most catches, yards to TEs in ’15

5. Eli Rogers – Likely to open season as primary slot option in high-flying Steelers offense. With Josh Norman draped on Antonio Brown, possible Week 1 focal point.

5. Clive Walford — A sleeper who in Week 1 faces a New Orleans defense that yielded by far the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends last season