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If Trump Is Down In The Polls, Why Do So Many Americans Think He’ll Win?

If Trump Is Down In The Polls, Why Do So Many Americans Think He’ll Win?

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarahf (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): FiveThirtyEight alum Harry Enten found that former Vice President Joe Biden’s average lead of 6 percentage points over President Trump is the steadiest lead in a race with an incumbent running since at least 1944. In other […]