Top Transfer Targets Week 11

Chuck Booth
·5 min read

Gameweek 11 comes with an unpleasant surprise of our first Covid related game postponement of the season. Aston Villa and Newcastle United’s fixture won’t be happening due to an outbreak among the Newcastle United staff and players. This is our first reminder that the balance of the season is fragile and that we should always expect the unexpected. What’s important is that you ensure that you have a playing bench in FPL and that at times triple stacks from a team can be dangerous. Mostly on the Villa side, plenty of managers are left with 9-10 players this week unless everything breaks properly.

I wouldn’t use this as a chance to transfer out guys like Jack Grealish however as Villa still has good games after this and he now has not one but possibly two double game weeks on the horizon. Callum Wilson is also worth the hold for a little longer as the break will allow Allan Saint-Maximin and Matt Ritchie more time to get healthy for Steve Bruce and Co. If you can’t field a full team, shipping out your Villa defenders is the way to go. As always, if possible, save your transfers because we’ll never know what’s coming.

Top Transfer Targets will take a look at the ownership tiers in FPL breaking down the best options in each. The tiers will be broken down as 25-40 percent owned, 15-24 percent, 10-15 percent, under 10 percent. This article will also include players to offload, some due to injury or being dropped by their teams, and others due to performance.

Let’s look at this week’s schedule:

Saturday 5 December

Burnley v Everton
Manchester City v Fulham
West Ham United v Manchester United
Chelsea v Leeds United

Sunday 6 December

West Brom v Crystal Palace
Sheffield United v Leicester City
Tottenham v Arsenal
Liverpool v Wolverhampton

Monday 7 December

Brighton v Southampton

The 40 percent Club is declining but it is made up of Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Heung-Min Son, and Bruno Fernandes. Harry Kane and Jack Grealish are within touching distance of the 40 percent club.

Don’t get caught out in the crowd (25-40 percent rostered at the time of writing):

Diogo Jota (MID Liverpool 28.8%, 6.9m): There is no hotter attacker in the premier league than Jota right now. While he was expected to be a solid addition to the Liverpool side, no one expected him to become a starter this quickly. Revenge games aren’t really a thing as much as we would like them to be but facing an ailing Wolves side, Jota could easily find the scoresheet in this one. This is a guy with not only returns in four of his last five but returns and bonus points.

Add in that he’s not even seven million yet and Jota is an insane budget on an attacking side like Liverpool as they get healthier. Jota is overperforming his xG on the season but as he’s also shooting more for Liverpool than he did at Wolves so it’s a sustainable number. Another thing that could be leading to this output is that Liverpool has made Jota more one-footed. Last season, 45 percent of Jota’s shots came with his right foot as opposed to 43 percent coming from his left. That number has skyrocketed to 65 percent of his shots coming with his right foot for Liverpool despite playing on both sides of the pitch. I’m not sure if this is a confidence thing or because Liverpool has determined that Jota is better with his right but it is something to watch moving forward.

Worth your consideration (16-24 percent rostered):

Timo Werner (FWD Chelsea 25.5%, 9.5m): Looking for cover for everyone transferring in Jamie Vardy? Look no further than Werner in what should be an end to end fixture for Chelsa versus Leeds United. Werner finally got a rest midweek which will go a long way to ensuring that he can run when Leeds stretches the game. Werner has been involved in six goals for the Blues so far but that number should go up with an upcoming schedule that will see them face Leeds, Everton, Wolves, West Ham, and Arsenal in their next five.

Always a volume shooter, Frank Lampard may be a little concerned that Werner has shot less so far this season but he has also been flipping between positions until recently. The partnership between Werner and Tammy Abraham has paid dividends so if that continues even with Christian Pulisic returning to health, Werner’s value will only rise.

Solid if not stellar (10-15 percent rostered):

James Ward-Prowse (MID Southampton 11.8%, 6.1m): The best dead ball specialist in the league, Ward-Prowse is not only in for a wonderful fixture turn but he’s also going to get his scoring buddy Danny Ings back as well. Southampton had a slow start to the season but they’ve clicked into top gear in a big way. Ralph Hasenhüttl will be disappointed with the second half showing versus Manchester United, but Brighton should prove to be a much more manageable fixture.

Having Ward-Prowse means that you can’t foul Southampton close to the box as he’s turned an xG of .71 into four goals. For most guys that wouldn’t be repeatable but Ward-Prowse can keep it up. With Ings returning, he can return to getting into the box to shoot as well hopefully upping his open play numbers for FPL managers.

Rolling the dice (under 10 percent rostered):

Harvey Barnes (MID Leicester City 4.2%, 6.9m): After losing to Fulham last week, Leicester City need to come out and make a statement against bottom of the table Sheffield United. Barnes got a lucky goal versus Fulham but the hope is that Brendan Rodgers will play all of his attackers considering how many injuries he has in defense. Barnes has been a streaky player during his career but playing just off of Jamie Vardy will give Barnes a higher chance at scoring.