South Point 400 DFS Gems

·7 min read



As we get deeper into the playoffs, we are hitting an increasing number of tracks visited earlier this season. Take advantage of that while you can because NASCAR is rapidly adding new venues to the schedule and eliminating duplicates.

The Pennzoil 400 was run early this spring, but it is still relevant. Most of the drivers and teams that perform well on one similarly-configured, 1.5-mile track back that up with consistently strong runs on the others. This year, in six races on this track type, four drivers have a better-than 50 percent average of top-fives and 13 have been that strong in regard to top 10 finishes. Nearly all of them got off to a strong start at Homestead-Miami Speedway and Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

Scheduling races is difficult and it is almost impossible to keep track types from clumping. The most recent "cookie-cutter" race came in mid-July, more than two months ago. In the next five weeks, NASCAR will visit three such courses, so this is an opportunity not only to earn some points, but plan for the future.

Group A: Most Expensive (>=$10,000)

Kyle Larson ($11,100)
Larson’s win in this spring’s South Point 400 came with the most points (98.4) on the afternoon and a relatively modest price tag of $9,400. At the time, we didn’t know what kind of season he would have and since then, he has become well established as the front runner. That was the first time in 2021 that he earned the most points in the DraftKings game, but he’s gone on to do so 10 more times in the last 25 races.

Chase Elliott ($10,200)
Elliott’s performance in the DraftKings game has not been quite as strong. He’s earned maximum points only once at Road America, while he’s been in the top 10 on 10 occasions. His points’ ranking has consistently lagged behind his salary cap rank, but when he is on his “A” game, he has managed to narrow that gap. Only four drivers are more expensive than $10k this week and Elliott is the cheapest among them.

Group B: (Between $9,900 and $8,000)

Ryan Blaney ($9,100)
Las Vegas is Blaney’s best track in terms of career average finishes on courses where he has more than three starts. He is also strong on the road course at Charlotte Motor Speedway and the Round of 12 is his chance to shine and advance. Even with these two strong courses, he will have to face the Talladega Superspeedway lottery next week and does not have enough playoff bonus points to put his mind at ease. A solid top-five run would go a long way to creating a buffer. Blaney finished fifth at Vegas this spring and on three other occasions in the previous six efforts.

Kevin Harvick ($9,300)
After coming so close to winning last week at Bristol, Harvick is highly motivated to run well at Vegas. His 2021 "cookie-cutter" record has not been stellar and that will cause a lot of your competition to shy away from him. But while he has not lived up to his full potential, he still has a respectable record on the track type that is highlighted by a second at Kansas Speedway and fifth at Homestead-Miami Speedway. His worst effort on the 1.5-milers this year came at Vegas with a 20th-place result.

Group C: (Between $7,900 and $6,500)

Chris Buescher ($7,300)
Buescher has been consistent and occasionally strong on the 1.5-mile courses. His worst effort on the track type this year was a 19th well back in the spring at Homestead. He finished 14th at Vegas and then rattled off three consecutive top-10s at Atlanta Motor Speedway, Kansas, and Charlotte. A 16th in Atlanta 2 gives him an average result of 12th, which means he has a strong upside with minimal risk.

Tyler Reddick $7,800)|
Reddick remained consistent through the Round of 16. Unfortunately, it wasn’t enough to get him into the next level, but that should not matter to fantasy gamers. At this salary cap level, top-15s are acceptable. Reddick has surpassed that in his last three similarly-configured, 1.5-mile track races. He finished second this spring at Homestead and things might have been different in the playoffs if he had been able to pass William Byron later in the going and added five playoff bonus points.

Group D: (Less than or equal to $6,500)

Ryan Preece ($6,300)
Preece has outperformed his salary cap 20 times this year. On two of these occasions, at Vegas this spring and Atlanta during the summer, he was ranked 15th in terms of the number of points he added to your coffer. In the Pennzoil 400, he was one of the 10 cheapest drivers. As the cap managers have made decisions difficult at the marquee, Group A level, you need drivers who are capable of grinding out results like those.

Chase Briscoe ($6,000)
Briscoe has not gotten a lot of attention this year, but he has been a good value on several occasions. He actually earned the most points at the Circuit of the Americas (COTA) and banked top-fives points on two other road courses. Put that in the memory bank for two weeks from now when the series visits the Charlotte Roval. But he is also an acceptable value this week after earning the 17th-most points or better in his last three starts.

The top-10 points’ earners from the 2020 Night Race at Bristol were: Kyle Larson (98.4), Brad Keselowski (70.25), Ryan Blaney (67.45), Denny Hamlin (59.6), Kyle Busch (56.05), Erik Jones (55.25), William Byron (50.2), Christopher Bell (48.7), Joey Logano (43.2), and Matt DiBenedetto (42.35).

Last 45 Days

Driver

Avg.
Rank

Total
Points
Earned

Avg.
Points

This
Week's
Cap

Points
Per K

Group A

Kyle Larson

7.50

434.00

72.33

$11,100

39.10

Denny Hamlin

9.50

389.10

64.85

$10,500

37.06

Chase Elliott

12.50

242.95

40.49

$10,200

23.82

Kyle Busch

23.17

101.25

16.88

$10,800

9.38

Group B

Ryan Blaney

10.67

273.25

45.54

$9,100

30.03

Kevin Harvick

12.33

273.25

45.54

$9,300

29.38

Matt DiBenedetto

15.00

201.10

33.52

$8,200

24.52

Martin Truex Jr.

15.33

231.65

38.61

$9,700

23.88

Alex Bowman

17.50

181.95

30.33

$8,300

21.92

Brad Keselowski

16.50

187.60

31.27

$8,700

21.56

Austin Dillon

19.17

155.25

25.88

$8,100

19.17

Kurt Busch

16.83

172.45

28.74

$9,500

18.15

Christopher Bell

22.67

134.40

22.40

$8,500

15.81

Joey Logano

22.00

111.70

18.62

$9,900

11.28

William Byron

23.67

90.15

15.03

$8,900

10.13

Group C

Erik Jones

15.50

208.40

34.73

$6,500

32.06

Chris Buescher

15.67

213.15

35.53

$7,300

29.20

Bubba Wallace

17.67

189.40

31.57

$6,700

28.27

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

17.83

171.30

28.55

$6,800

25.19

Ryan Newman

17.50

180.90

30.15

$7,500

24.12

Ross Chastain

18.67

182.75

30.46

$7,900

23.13

Aric Almirola

19.17

157.55

26.26

$7,000

22.51

Cole Custer

21.83

131.30

21.88

$7,100

18.49

Tyler Reddick

21.33

136.25

22.71

$7,800

17.47

Daniel Suarez

20.33

130.55

21.76

$7,600

17.18

Group D

Ryan Preece

17.33

180.05

30.00

$6,300

28.58

Josh Bilicki

23.83

136.00

22.67

$4,800

28.33

Justin Haley

21.00

153.70

25.62

$5,600

27.45

Chase Briscoe

18.00

163.00

27.17

$6,000

27.17

Corey LaJoie

18.80

149.95

29.99

$6,200

24.19

BJ McLeod

23.40

104.45

20.89

$5,300

19.71

Quin Houff

27.83

79.90

13.32

$4,500

17.76

Garrett Smithley

26.00

81.00

16.20

$4,900

16.53

Anthony Alfredo

27.17

73.90

12.32

$5,700

12.96

Cody Ware

26.75

47.80

11.95

$4,600

10.39

Joey Gase

28.50

43.70

10.93

$5,100

8.57

JJ Yeley

25.00

33.00

16.50

$5,400

6.11

Michael McDowell

32.17

1.55

0.26

$5,900

0.26

DFS Gems for the Quaker State 400 (Atlanta)
Coke 600 (Charlotte)
Buschy McBusch 400 (Kansas)

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