MLB DFS Plays: Saturday 10/23

·4 min read

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This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.


Top Play: Walker Buehler – Dodgers (at Braves)

Buehler will again work on short rest in a do-or-die game. His last two outings have included fewer than five innings. He’s again at risk of a brief start. While the Braves offense isn’t especially imposing for a playoff roster, their strength is a lack of weaknesses. Everybody has a means to deal damage, whether that’s an all-or-nothing home run profile like Adam Duvall, Freddie Freeman’s steady liner-oriented swing, or the ambush approach of Joc Pederson.

Pivot: Ian Anderson – Braves (vs Dodgers)

As with Luis Garcia yesterday, there’s no question Anderson is worse than Buehler. And as with yesterday, we need to remember we’re watching baseball. There’s something like a 40 to 50 percent chance Anderson outperforms Buehler. They cost the same so there will be additional pressure on Buehler’s rostership.

For those hunting reliever magic, Blake Treinen probably has the best shot to work more than one inning. The Dodgers have no reason to leave their best relievers in the ‘pen.

Also Consider: Tyler Matzek, Luke Jackson, Will Smith, Kenley Jansen, Blake Treinen, Corey Knebel, Alex Vesia

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Top Play: Trea Turner – Dodgers (at Anderson)

Despite generally tepid output this month, Turner remains the likeliest hitter to lead the slate. His broad base of talents offers multiple paths to primacy. He’s priced accordingly, although he has fallen below the likes of Freddie Freeman and Mookie Betts. More importantly, Turner’s cool month could smother his usage, especially as a captain.

Pivot: Cody Bellinger – Dodgers (at Anderson)

While Bellinger still isn’t passing the eye test (at least for me), there’s no question he’s having a solid postseason. He’s come up big multiple times while slashing .355/.429/.484. Much of his success is dependent on an unusually high .500 BABIP (.196 BABIP in 350 PA during the regular season). If you’re trying to squeeze in both starters, you’ll need to use someone priced like Bellinger or Gavin Lux as your captain. Bellinger’s sweeping swing matches decently against Anderson’s ground ball-heavy approach.

For pivoting purposes, Dansby Swanson will be even less-used due to his lousy role, elevated price tag, and more difficult matchup.

Also Consider: Freddie Freeman, Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson, Corey Seager, Chris Taylor, Will Smith, Travis d'Arnaud


Top Play: Mookie Betts – Dodgers (at Anderson)

It’s not interesting to say so, but Betts and Turner stand in a class of their own in this slate. Betts leads the way in home run and run production potential while Turner is a better play for multiple hits. They’re both project for 10 percent more production than the other hitters. Unlike Turner, Betts is swinging a hot bat this postseason which I actually consider to be a fade reason in any single-game contest. Baseball is such a fickle sport. The worst hitter in this slate has something like a 1-in-25 chance to lead all hitters. Betts is closer to 3-in-25. Ditto Turner.

Pivot: Eddie Rosario – Braves (vs Buehler)

Since pressure is on to roster Buehler, folks might be inclined to lean towards the Dodgers stack. Certain elements of the Los Angeles offense (aka Bellinger) are more affordable anyway. If you’re trying to build leverage into your lineup, you should consider the Braves probable leadoff man. He’s a ball in play machine who happens to be quite affordable for his expected role. Those balls in play maximize volatility which is generally perceived as a good thing in GPPs.

Also Consider: Cody Bellinger, A.J. Pollock, Chris Taylor, Gavin Lux, Adam Duvall, Joc Pederson

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