College Football Win Totals 2022: Who Overperformed, Underperformed, How Did We Do?
What college football teams overperformed, underperformed, or did what they were supposed to? Here’s where everyone came in with their win regular season win totals – and how our picks did.
College Football Win Totals 2022: How did everyone do?
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How did every college football team do this regular season compared to expectations? How did each one do compared to our expectations?
Every year we preview every team and come up with the projected final regular season record. The realistic goal is to be + or – 1 either way as much as possible.
+ or -2, and that’s a miss, and + or -3 is painful. Anything more than that is a total whiff on our part, and/or a shocker to the general win total.
Who overperformed, who underperformed, and who came in about where we thought they would? Again, this is just for the regular season – no conference championships or bowls.
2022 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do?
+2.5 to 5 BOOM. Way overperform
+1 to 2 Overperform
+0.5 to -0.5 Close to the pin
-1 to 2 Underperform
-2.5 to 3.5 Massive underperform
The number after each team is the difference – positive or negative – in how much each team overperformed or underperformed compared to the consensus win totals.
TCU +5.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 12-0
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Duke +5
Preseason Win Total Line: 3
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2
South Alabama +4.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Tulane +4
Preseason Win Total Line: 6
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Ohio +3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Troy +3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
UConn +3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2
Kansas +3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
New Mexico State +3
Preseason Win Total Line: 3
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2
Kansas State +2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Oregon State +2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Florida State +2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Illinois +2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Michigan +2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 9.5
Regular Season Record: 12-0
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 10
Tennessee +2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Vanderbilt +2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
Washington +2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
2022 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do?
+2.5 to 5 BOOM. Way overperform
+1 to 2 Overperform
+0.5 to -0.5 Close to the pin
-1 to 2 Underperform
-2.5 to 3.5 Massive underperform
NEXT: College Football Win Totals +1 to +2 Overperform
College Football Win Totals +1 to +2 Overperform
Arizona +2
Preseason Win Total Line: 3
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
Bowling Green +2
Preseason Win Total Line: 4
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
LSU +2
Preseason Win Total Line: 7
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
South Carolina +2
Preseason Win Total Line: 6
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Syracuse +2
Preseason Win Total Line: 5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Wyoming +2
Preseason Win Total Line: 5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Eastern Michigan +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Georgia Tech +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 3.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
James Madison +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 8-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Middle Tennessee +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Penn State +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Rice +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 3.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
Texas Tech +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
ULM +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 4-8
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2
UTSA +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Wisconsin +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 9
BYU +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Georgia +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 10.5
Regular Season Record: 12-0
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 11
Georgia Southern +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Liberty +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Mississippi State +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
USC +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 9.5
Regular Season Record: 11-1
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 10
Washington State +1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
FIU +1
Preseason Win Total Line: 3
Regular Season Record: 4-8
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2
Coastal Carolina +1
Preseason Win Total Line: 8
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 10
Marshall +1
Preseason Win Total Line: 7
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Maryland +1
Preseason Win Total Line: 6
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Southern Miss +1
Preseason Win Total Line: 5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Tulsa +1
Preseason Win Total Line: 6
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Utah +1
Preseason Win Total Line: 9
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 9
2022 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do?
+2.5 to 5 BOOM. Way overperform
+1 to 2 Overperform
+0.5 to -0.5 Close to the pin
-1 to 2 Underperform
-2.5 to 3.5 Massive underperform
NEXT: College Football Win Totals -0.5 to +0.5 Close to the Pin
College Football Win Totals -0.5 to +0.5 Close to the Pin
San Jose State +0.5*
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 7-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
*San Jose State didn’t play a full season
Air Force +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Buffalo +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
East Carolina +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Louisville +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
North Carolina +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Notre Dame +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 9
Purdue +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
San Diego State +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 9
Temple +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 3-9
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 2
UNLV +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
Miami University +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Minnesota +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Ohio State +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 10.5
Regular Season Record: 11-1
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 11
Ole Miss +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Oregon +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 9
UCF +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 10
Wake Forest +0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Boise State 0
Preseason Win Total Line: 9
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 10
Cincinnati 0
Preseason Win Total Line: 9
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 10
Indiana 0
Preseason Win Total Line: 4
Regular Season Record: 4-8
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
Kent State 0
Preseason Win Total Line: 5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
SMU 0
Preseason Win Total Line: 7
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Alabama -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 10.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 11
Clemson -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 10.5
Regular Season Record: 10-2
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 11
Florida Atlantic -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Iowa -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 9
New Mexico -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 2-10
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
West Virginia -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Akron -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 2-10
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 1
Ball State -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
Fresno State -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 9-3
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 9
Missouri -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Navy -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 4-8
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
North Texas -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Pitt -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Rutgers -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 4-8
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
Texas -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Texas State -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 4-8
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
UCLA -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
UTEP -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
Western Michigan -0.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 8-4
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
2022 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do?
+2.5 to 5 BOOM. Way overperform
+1 to 2 Overperform
+0.5 to -0.5 Close to the pin
-1 to 2 Underperform
-2.5 to 3.5 Massive underperform
NEXT: College Football Win Totals -1 to -2 Underperform
College Football Win Totals: -1 to -2 Underperform
Florida -1
Preseason Win Total Line: 7
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 9
Kentucky -1
Preseason Win Total Line: 8
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Toledo -1
Preseason Win Total Line: 8
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Utah State -1
Preseason Win Total Line: 7
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Arkansas -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Auburn -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Hawaii -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 3-10
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Louisiana -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 3-9
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Memphis -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
NC State -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 10
Oklahoma State -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 9
Stanford -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 3-9
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Baylor -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Cal -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 4-8
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Charlotte -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 3-9
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
Iowa State -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 4-8
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Old Dominion -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 3-9
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
UAB -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
UMass -1.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 2.5
Regular Season Record: 1-11
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 1
Arkansas State -2
Preseason Win Total Line: 5
Regular Season Record: 3-9
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Army -2
Preseason Win Total Line: 8
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 10
Houston -2
Preseason Win Total Line: 9
Regular Season Record: 7-5
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 10
2022 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do?
+2.5 to 5 BOOM. Way overperform
+1 to 2 Overperform
+0.5 to -0.5 Close to the pin
-1 to 2 Underperform
-2.5 to 3.5 Massive underperform
NEXT: College Football Win Total -2.5 to -3.5 Massive Underperform
College Football Win Totals -2.5 to -3.5 Massive Underperform
Appalachian State -2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Colorado State -2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 5.5
Regular Season Record: 3-9
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Louisiana -2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 9
Michigan State -2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 8
Nevada -2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 2-10
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
WKU -2.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Colorado -3
Preseason Win Total Line: 3
Regular Season Record: 1-11
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 4
Northwestern -3
Preseason Win Total Line: 4
Regular Season Record: 1-11
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 5
Arizona State -3
Preseason Win Total Line: 6
Regular Season Record: 3-9
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Boston College -3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 3-9
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Miami -3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 9
Northern Illinois -3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 3-9
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Oklahoma -3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 9.5
Regular Season Record: 6-6
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 10
Texas A&M -3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 8.5
Regular Season Record: 5-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 9
Central Michigan -3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 4-8
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
Georgia State -3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 4-8
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
Nebraska -3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 7.5
Regular Season Record: 4-8
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
USF -3.5
Preseason Win Total Line: 4.5
Regular Season Record: 1-11
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 3
Virginia Tech -3.5*
Preseason Win Total Line: 6.5
Regular Season Record: 3-8
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 7
*Virginia Tech didn’t play a full schedule
Virginia -4*
Preseason Win Total Line: 7
Regular Season Record: 3-7
CFN Preseason Win Total Prediction: 6
*Virginia didn’t play a full schedule
2022 College Football Win Totals: How did everyone do?
+2.5 to +5 BOOM. Way overperform
+1 to +2 Overperform
+0.5 to -0.5 Close to the pin
-1 to -2 Underperform
-2.5 to -3.5 Massive underperform
