Derek Chauvin will likely appeal his guilty verdict in George Floyd's murder. But the odds aren't good.

MINNEAPOLIS — Now that fired police officer Derek Chauvin has been convicted on all three counts against him, he can still file an appeal. But the odds are not good, considering some 90% of appeals are denied across the United States.

An appeal in the case is a virtual certainty. But what issues Chauvin's lawyers raise to the appellate court are an open question, according to criminal defense experts.

The appeal possibilities could include the possible bias of jurors, the refusal by Judge Peter Cahill to move the trial or sequester the jury, or what some experts are saying were questionable jury instructions on some of the charges Chauvin faced.

Chauvin could also argue ineffective assistance of counsel — a last option, in experts' opinions, but one that could rise because lead defense attorney Eric Nelson did not often object to emotional witness testimony.

But while nearly every conviction yields an appeal, their success rate is about 10% or lower. This could be further hindered by the fact that in Minnesota, the appellate court is filled with elected officials, who would be tasked with potentially overturning one of the most high-profile murder cases in American history.

Judge already denied motion to move high-profile trial

The most likely avenue of appeal is the massive publicity given to the case, the potential bias that created, and the judge’s denial of Nelson's repeated requests to move the case out of Minneapolis or sequester the jury throughout the trial to shield them from any news about the case.

Cahill, known as a careful jurist who experts say proceeded cautiously, refused to grant Nelson’s requests made at the beginning of the court case and throughout the trial, particularly after the fatal shooting in nearby Brooklyn Center of Daunte Wright. The 20-year-old Black motorist was killed by a white officer just 10 miles from the Chauvin trial and sparked protests and violence throughout the mostly blue-collar, diverse suburb of about 30,000 residents.

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Nelson again asked to sequester, or isolate, the jury at the close of the trial after news that Democratic U.S. Rep. Maxine Waters of California demanded a guilty verdict and urged more people to protest police violence against Black civilians.

Waters' actions upset Cahill, who has on numerous occasions chastised public officials — including after the announcement that Minneapolis settled with the Floyd family for $27 million during jury selection — for commenting on the trial or creating news off the case.

"I wish elected officials would stop talking about this case, especially in a manner that is disrespectful to the rule of law and to the judicial branch and our function," Cahill said Monday when denying a motion for a mistrial based on publicity and Waters' comments.

President Joe Biden also said Monday that he was praying the verdict the jury returned would be "the right verdict, which is – I think it's overwhelming in my view.” Biden would not clarify what he meant by “overwhelming” or “the right verdict.”

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Cahill's refusals to move or sequester the jury came as little surprise to Ted Sampsell-Jones, a criminal defense appeals attorney and professor in St. Paul, next door to Minneapolis.

“That would have been a huge imposition on the jurors to make them live away from their family for a month,” in addition to missing work, said Sampsell-Jones, who teaches at Mitchell Hamline School of Law. “I don't think it would really have helped given they would have had to take away their cellphones ... then it also would have made it much harder to get a jury."

People simply wouldn’t have wanted to serve, he said.

“It was a totally normal ruling," Sampsell-Jones said. "But that's something where defense counsel made the request, probably knowing or anticipating the request would not be granted but giving the defense an issue to appeal."

Jon J. Lee, also a law professor at the University of Minnesota Law School, agreed the inescapability from news and social media coverage — jurors were not barred from using social media during the trial — was a top target for appeal. Even television shows outside of immense news coverage, such as "Saturday Night Live," have highlighted the trial and suggested there was no option but a guilty verdict.

“Part of the concern here,” Lee said, “is that the judge has instructed the jury not to listen to the news. But as Chauvin’s attorney has argued, the collective media coverage of this trial extends well beyond news coverage, and in particular in light of the shooting in Brooklyn Center. I think that was difficult to avoid hearing about for (juror) residents in the area.”

Where is Chauvin, and what does he face at sentencing?

After the verdict, Chauvin, dressed in a gray suit, white shirt and blue tie, was quickly handcuffed transferred from the custody of the Hennepin County Sheriff's Department to the Minnesota Department of Corrections. He was booked at 4:55 p.m. CT and put in a segregated unit, called the administrative control unit of the Minnesota Correctional Facility-Oak Park Heights.

"This type of restricted housing is not disciplinary in nature," according to the department's website. "Sometimes it is used during pending investigations or when continued presence in the general population could pose a particular safety concern."

Chauvin will be assigned an orange jumpsuit with a white T-shirt, a corrections spokeswoman said. MCF-Oak Park Heights houses about 475 inmates, all of whom are designated at either maximum or close custody levels, according to the department. He is expected to remain in custody for the eight weeks prior to sentencing in front of Cahill.

Chauvin faces a recommended 150 months or 12½ years in prison under sentencing guidelines for first-time offenders. But the prosecution is seeking a higher prison term due to "aggravating factors." So he may face up to 30 years in prison, though the judge may sentence him to less.

Chauvin has waived his right to have a jury consider aggravating factors at sentencing, so it's in Cahill's hands.

Nelson's office did not answer a request for comment from USA TODAY.

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Possible issue with third-degree murder charge

Another route for appeal is Nelson's claim after closings that state prosecutor Jerry Blackwell, in his rebuttal, crossed the line Monday and potentially committed prosecutorial misconduct for "belittling" Nelson's case. Blackwell had referred to Nelson's defense as creating "stories" and a "shading truth" to confuse the jury during his rebuttal of Nelson's closing argument.

Nelson had called for a mistrial based on the statements, but Cahill denied the move.

Still another avenue for appeal that Lee, of the University of Minnesota Law School, foresees is the third-degree murder charge.

The problem is that some attorneys and judges read the statute for third-degree murder as stating that it only applies to multiple people being at risk, not just one — or in this case, just Floyd from Chauvin’s restraint of him.

"I think that legally that is an argument that could have merit," Lee said.

Cahill initially sided with those saying it only applied in cases where multiple people were endangered. But after the appellate court ruling, which came on the third day of Chauvin’s jury selection, Cahill said he agreed the case — that of another officer, Mohamed Noor, charged in the 2017 killing of Australian American Justine Ruszczyk Damond — set immediate precedent and reinstated the third-degree murder charge against Chauvin.

Sampsell-Jones also pointed to the third-degree murder charge but mentioned the jury instructions on second-degree murder.

“Minnesota law is way out on a limb when it comes to how felony second-degree murder is defined,” he said. “We're one of the only states that allows assaults to be used as a felony for felony murder. And then, the definition of assault that the judge gave yesterday was a little weird.”

Cahill allowed the prosecution’s request that the instruction be written for the charge in a way that Sampsell-Jones said may conflict with the statute.

“Case law in Minnesota kind of suggests that assault might be a strict liability offense,” he said. “And so the prosecution asked for instruction on that. And the judge gave a little bit of a modified version — so kind of saying, even though the statutory definition of assault is the intentional infliction of bodily harm, the instructions kind of said you don't actually need to intend to inflict bodily harm.”

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Could ineffective assistance of counsel come up?

Other possibilities include Chauvin, who briefly looked over at Nelson before being escorted out of court by a sheriff's deputy, claiming ineffective assistance of counsel.

It would be an appeal that would have a lesser chance of succeeding, according to experts, but one that could make its way into defense materials.

There were not many objections voiced by Nelson, which may have been a strategic tactic to not upset the jury or drag out the testimony.

But consider the second day of trial, when Darnella Frazier took the stand. She was the teenager, then 17 years old, who took the bystander video and uploaded it to social media, where it went viral, drawing hundreds of thousands of people into the streets around the country and world to protest police brutality.

Tearfully, she testified about the more-than nine minutes that she watched Floyd struggling under the knee of Chauvin. Until Floyd struggled no more.

"When I look at George Floyd, I look at my dad, I look at my brothers, I look at my cousins, my uncles," Frazier said during her testimony. She said she has stayed up some nights "apologizing and apologizing to George Floyd for not doing more and not physically interacting and not saving his life."

But, she said, "it’s not what I should have done. It’s what he (Chauvin) should have done."

Nelson did not object to cut off the emotional testimony — something that could be grounds for appeal, said Chicago defense attorney Craig Tobin.

“This was a tough case,” Tobin said. “You've got a nine minute video the entire world has seen, and he dies. So you're not going to be the most well liked defendant.

"... It becomes extremely important in case like that to preserve the appellate record (with objections). It may be your best chance at getting a very cold, distant legal analysis of the issues. You at least have to keep that in mind and you owe that to the client.”

Eric Ferkenhoff is the Midwest criminal justice reporter for USA Today Network.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Chauvin verdict: Can ex-cop appeal conviction in George Floyd's death?