Bills quarterback Josh Allen scrambled to his left and was pushed out of bounds at the Titans 3-yard line with less than a minute to play in Buffalo’s “Monday Night Football” game at Tennessee.
The Titans held a 3-point lead and a short Bills field goal likely would have forced overtime.
— NFL (@NFL) October 19, 2021
Did McDermott make the right call? The Buffalo News said ESPN’s win probability model showed kicking a field goal gave the Bills a 47.5% chance to win. Going for it on fourth down was 48.9%.
The Bills decision to go for it on 4th & inches from the Titans 3 (trailing 34-31) was unequivocally the optimal call according to the NGS Decision Guide.
Conversion Probability: 75%
Win Probability: 63% if GO, 42% if FG
Recommendation: GO FOR IT (by 21.3%)#BUFvsTEN
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) October 19, 2021
— EdjSports (@edjsports) October 19, 2021
But McDermott said his players were the reason for his decision, not analytics.
“I owe it to my players,” McDermott said, per Pro Football Talk. “I believe in my players. I believe in my quarterback. I trust my guys. Obviously we didn’t get it done in this case, but I trust my players.”
The Red Sox took a 2-1 lead in the best-of-seven American League Championship Series against Houston on Monday by continuing a trend.
Kyle Schwarber hit a grand slam as part of a six-run second inning and the Red Sox beat the Astros like a drum, winning 12-3 in Boston.
That was Boston’s third grand slam in the first two innings of the last two games of the series.
Sports researcher James Smyth said the Red Sox tied the 1998 Atlanta Braves for the most grand slams in one postseason. Heck, Boston is the first team with three grand slams in one playoff series, as MLB.com’s Ian Browne noted.
Want to take it a step further? OK, Stats by Stats said this was the first time in MLB history (regular season or postseason) that a team hit three grand slams in the first or second inning in a two-game span.
The @RedSox are the first team in MLB history to hit 3 grand slams within the first 2 innings over a 2-game span (regular season or postseason).
No other team has hit 3 grand slams in the 1st or 2nd inning over its entire postseason history.
— Stats By STATS (@StatsBySTATS) October 19, 2021
Good news in Seattle
There appears to be good news on what was a scary situation during the Seahawks’ loss to the Steelers on Monday night.
Defensive end Darrell Taylor left the game immobilized on a cart. But according to an ESPN story Seattle coach Pete Carroll said an MRI and CT scan showed no damage to Taylor’s neck or spine.
“A really, really positive report,” Carroll said, per ESPN. “His MRI stuff was clear. His CT scan stuff was clear. He does not have a neck injury. He got jammed pretty good. We got to wait and see what it’s like. It may be a little bit more in his shoulder even as we figure it out.”
Coyotes sing the Blues
The St. Louis Blues scored five goals in a 5 minute, 7 second span of the second period and beat the Coyotes 7-4.
Klim Kostin netted a pair of goals 47 seconds apart in that spurt.
ESPN Stats and Info said that was 3 seconds shy of the Blues’ club record for fastest five goals in a game. They accomplished the feat in 5:04 in a January 1995 game against Anaheim.
No endorsement deal
Titans wide receiver A.J. Brown, who played Monday night despite recovering from food poisoning, was asked if he knew how he got sick.
Fast-food fans may want to stop reading here.
Brown said it was Chipotle.
AJ Brown had food poisoning. Was very sick for 48 hours, needed an IV. From where? “Chipotle. I’m sorry, Chipotle. Probably won’t get an endorsement with Chipotle.”
— Joe Rexrode (@joerexrode) October 19, 2021