WASHINGTON, D.C. -- President Donald Trump and congressional leaders announced late Monday they had struck a critical debt and budget agreement. The deal amounts to an against-the-odds victory for Washington pragmatists seeking to avoid politically dangerous tumult over the possibility of a government shutdown or first-ever federal default. The deal, announced by Trump on Twitter and in a statement by Democratic House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer, will restore the government's ability to borrow to pay its bills past next year's elections and build upon recent large budget gains for both the Pentagon and domestic agencies. "I am pleased to announce that a deal
Polls show that some of the Democratic Party’s most progressive policy proposals – including Medicare for All, free college tuition and a new tax on wealthy households – are broadly popular with American voters. But according to a report from Jim Tankersley and Ben Casselman of The New York Times, many Democratic voters are worried that these proposals could turn into political liabilities in the 2020 election.The fear, voters told Tankersley and Casselman, is that in the current polarized political environment, opponents of those policies will succeed in portraying them as too far to the left, alienating moderate voters and boosting the chances of re-election for President Trump.“In terms of progressive policy, one of the big things we’re finding is it’s not opposition we’re fighting, it’s cynicism. People don’t think it can happen,” Democratic pollster Celinda Lake said.The numbers: Support for the policies is pretty clear. In a new poll, the Times found that 66% of voters supported a 2% tax on households with a net worth over $50 million, a proposal that has been floated by Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA). Even a majority of Republicans expressed their support for this idea.Medicare for All and free college tuition also received majority support – 58% and 59% respectively – though neither proposal is backed by a majority of Republicans.The reasons why: Some poll respondents said it was becoming increasingly obvious to voters that at a time of rising economic inequality, the country’s wealthiest citizens need to pay higher taxes. More cynically, Republican strategists said Americans approve of tax-the-rich proposals because they see it is as something of a free lunch, gaining benefits paid for by someone else.What’s next: Democratic voters seem torn about their priorities. Many are attracted to progressive proposals, but that hasn’t given liberal stalwarts like Warren an advantage over frontrunner Joe Biden. The reason, Tankersley and Casselman say, is that so many Democrats are worried about successful attacks from the right, which could cost them the White House next year.“I would like someone more radical, but because the situation is so dire, I think Joe [Biden] is our safest bet to beat Trump,” one Florida Democrat said. “I used to think that policy was more important, but because of the stinging defeat that we had, I don’t trust that anymore.”Like what you're reading? Sign up for our free newsletter.
AUSTIN, Texas - Texas Democrat Wendy Davis announced Monday that she will run for Congress in 2020, five years after badly losing a run for governor that was propelled by her 13-hour filibuster of an anti-abortion bill in the state Capitol. Davis will challenge freshman Republican Rep. Chip Roy, who made headlines in May for single-handedly blocking $19 billion in disaster aid over protests that it didn't include money to address the migrant crisis at the U.S.-Mexico border. The spending bill ultimately passed, but not before Roy's delay frustrated lawmakers on both sides. He was narrowly elected to Congress last year and now has a high-profile opponent in Davis, whose popularity among Democrats
With the August recess fast approaching, Democrats remain divided over whether to fight fire with fire This summer's subpoenas, aimed directly at the heart of President Donald Trump's inner circle, have been flying from Democrats, but the majority party in the House still hasn't made much headway in their attempts to conduct what should be simple, constitutionally mandated oversight of the executive branch. And because of that inefficacy, many prominent Dems are growing increasingly frustrated with Nancy Pelosi. The House Judiciary Committee has now issued subpoenas in its Russia probe for the likes of Jared Kushner, the president's son-in-law, and Jeff Sessions, the former attorney general.
A dark cloud of impeachment has threatened President Donald Trump for many months, with Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives, where any such effort to remove him from office would begin, divided about whether to proceed. One, President Richard Nixon, resigned before he could be removed. Two, presidents Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton, were impeached by the House, but not convicted by the Senate.
OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) — One of the last remaining Democrats from a rural district in the Oklahoma Legislature says he won't seek re-election in 2020. Chickasha Democrat Rep. David Perryman announced Monday that he won't seek a fifth-consecutive term for House District 56. The southwest Oklahoma district includes the towns of Anadarko, Chickasha, Fort Cobb, Minco and Pocasset. A minority floor leader, Perryman says it's a "frustrating time" to be a Democrat from rural Oklahoma and that he's disappointed with the lack of bipartisanship in the Legislature. Republicans currently enjoy a 77-24 advantage over Democrats in the House. Perryman says that when he completes his term in November 2020, he plans
Governor Andrew Cuomo, a Democrat, has made no secret in recent weeks of his lack of respect for the progressive wing of his party, frequently disparaging them as not being realistic or pragmatic enough. Now some New York Democrats on the left have begun to answer back. The 2019 legislative session was dominated by a newly elected majority of progressive Democrats in the legislature. They oversaw passage of several bills, including strengthening abortion rights and transgender rights, instituting early voting, and allowing undocumented immigrants to apply for driver's licenses. Governor Andrew Cuomo's policies have leaned to the left in recent years, including pushing through the legislature
-- Raising the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour (56%) Areas that are less popular include: -- A guaranteed universal basic income of $1,000 per month for American adults (26%) -- Providing reparations for slavery (27%) -- Decriminalizing illegal border crossings (27%) -- A national health insurance program that is available to immigrants in the country illegally (33%) -- Abolishing the death penalty (36%) -- Medicare for all replacing private health insurance (41%) -- Getting rid of the Electoral College (42%) "These would be issues where people would say the Democratic Party is too far to the left," Miringoff said, "and that's warranted within the data." On "Medicare for All," "whether it
Well into his third year in office, President Trump's approval rating has reached a record high, according to a poll released Monday.Trump's approval rating hit 44 percent in the new NPR/NewsHour/Marist poll, the highest level at which it's been recorded in any mainstream opinion poll with the exception of a a July 7 Washington Post poll that recorded 47 percent approval.Respondents were surveyed from July 15 to July 17, in the days following the president's tweet instructing four freshman congresswoman of color to “go back” to their home countries.Since taking office Trump's approval rating has hovered between 35 and 43 percent in the Marist poll.The poll, which included responses from 1,336 adults, also found that Trump has won over a small but significant group of independents in the last month. His approval rating among independents increased from 35 percent last month to 42 percent in the latest poll. Meanwhile, the percentage of respondents who said they will definitely vote against Trump remained unchanged from last month at 53 percent.While Trump gained ground among independents, Democrats remain unpopular with the group: 43 percent of respondents in the poll said they believed Democrats would take the country in a positive direction if given the opportunity, compared with 46 percent who said the party would lead the country in a negative direction.“Independents are on the fence overall,” said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion at Marist College. “They're not willing to grant President Trump reelection, and yet they're not persuaded by Democrats at this point.”While trust in Democrats remains low, a number of progressive policy proposals espoused by most of the 2020 Democratic presidential contenders performed well. Requiring background checks for all gun purchases received 89 percent support. Medicare for all who want it received 70 percent support before dropping off to just 41 percent when respondents were told that the proposal would include the elimination of the private insurance market.More radical progressive proposals such as decriminalizing illegal border crossings (27 percent) and paying reparations to the descendants of slaves (27 percent) proved less popular.
(Bloomberg) -- Democrats are launching a campaign in seven battleground states to make the case against Donald Trump’s economy, seeking to neutralize the president’s strongest political asset as his re-election campaign heats up.The effort will include events hosted by the Democratic National Committee and coordinated with state parties in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, Arizona and Nevada, party officials said. Trump carried all of those except Nevada in 2016.In Ohio, factory workers will gather on the two-year anniversary of Trump’s speech promising Youngstown that factories are “all coming back.” An event in Detroit before the second debates of Democratic candidates July 30-31 will include auto workers. Democrats contend that people in factory jobs are not experiencing an economic boom.U.S. unemployment is near record lows while the stock market is at all-time highs, although the extent to which any president can take credit for a strong economy -- or be blamed for a weak one -- is open for debate.The Democrats’ campaign will focus on the underside of the economic boom, highlighting the struggles working- and middle-class people face from rising costs of living, such as for health care and college tuition, that are outpacing wage gains. They’ll also emphasize Trump’s attempts to repeal Obamacare and argue that his 2017 tax law contributed to rising inequality.‘Tax Scam’“Trump promised he’d fight for working families. Instead, he is putting their economic security at risk. Health care costs are out of control; factories are closing; and his tax scam is only helping the wealthiest few,” DNC Chair Tom Perez, a former U.S. Labor secretary, said in a statement. “As the rich get richer, working families have only fallen further behind.”The state of the economy has been a predictor of whether an incumbent president will be re-elected, but even if a narrow majority in polls is pleased with Trump’s handling of the issue, he consistently earns poor scores on handling of other policy questions as well as for his personal character, which are also key factors in voter choice.Policy ChallengesA Washington Post-ABC News poll published this month showed Trump’s job approval at 44%, a new high for that series, though 53% said they disapproved. Trump’s best score was on his stewardship of the economy, with 51% saying he was doing a good job. Still, he got net negative scores on eight other issues: immigration (-17), taxes (-7), health care (-16), women’s matters (-24), abortion (-22), gun violence (-16), foreign policy (-15) and climate change (-33).“The economy is one of the only things that’s holding him up,” said Joe Trippi, a Democratic strategist and veteran of presidential campaigns. “A president with this economy should have favorable ratings in the 60s. They’re not. All the stuff he does on race, on immigration, on health care -- that’s what’s holding him down.”The president trumpeted the good economic news again over the weekend.“Economic numbers reach an all time high, the best in our Country’s history. Great to be a part of something so good for so many!” he tweeted on Saturday. He’s talked regularly about the low unemployment rate overall, as well as among groups including women and African Americans.Trippi said some areas that voted for Trump in 2016 could be ripe for the Democrats’ message.“Just like with Obama, where the stock market was doing well and jobs were being created throughout his presidency, there are still a lot of people, particularly in the areas Trump appealed to, that haven’t really felt a big change,” he said. “There aren’t tons more manufacturing jobs in Ohio.”Narrow MarginsThose voters could make the difference in battleground states like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, where victories by razor-thin margins powered Trump to the White House. In the 2018 midterm elections, the Republicans lost races for governor and Senate in all three states, a potential warning sign for his re-election hopes. If Trump lost those three “Rust Belt” battlegrounds along with the other states Hillary Clinton won in 2016, he’d be defeated in 2020.Also on the Democrats’ target list are Ohio and Florida, where Trump showed enduring strength in November’s midterms. Arizona, long a reliable red state, elected a Democratic senator in 2018 amid demographic changes that are making it more competitive. And Nevada, a diverse battleground with a large share of Latino voters, is the only one of the seven states where the DNC will hold events that was carried by Clinton in 2016.One of Trump’s potential Democratic rivals, Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, predicted an economic downturn could occur before the end of Trump’s term. She cited a declining manufacturing sector and rising household and corporate debt. She called for immediate investments in manufacturing and rules to limit leveraged corporate lending.“Warning lights are flashing,” Warren said in a medium.com post on Monday. “Whether it’s this year or next year, the odds of another economic downturn are high -- and growing. Congress and regulators should act immediately to tamp down these threats before it’s too late.”Over the last century, George H.W. Bush, Jimmy Carter and Herbert Hoover were the only elected presidents to lose a bid for a second term -- and they did so after a recession during their term. Others, like George W. Bush, won re-election after the economy rebounded from a recession early in their term.To contact the reporter on this story: Sahil Kapur in Washington at firstname.lastname@example.orgTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Wendy Benjaminson at email@example.com, Max Berley, Ros KrasnyFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
The Shakespearian question has resonated through time and is applicable to so much: “Wherefore art thou, Romeo?” Today, it could be asked of the Republican Party. With the Democratic Party, we at least know its purpose. Democratic leaders — whether in Congress or among the 20-plus people running for president — have made their themes and objectives clear. The Democratic Party is now the party of expansive government. Its leading lights have called for nationalized healthcare; universal employment; largely-free college education; an increased national minimum wage; universal paid family leave; an end to carbon-emitting cars, planes and electricity plants; the right of felons to vote; national
AUSTIN, Texas — MJ Hegar, the leading U.S. Senate challenger in Texas, rides a Harley-Davidson in viral videos and has called herself "an ass-kicking, motorcycle-riding Texas Democrat." She is not a Democrat who promotes "Medicare for All." She mentions that during a narrow loss for a House seat last year, her campaign signs appeared in front yards that also had ones for Republicans. And she sees unintended consequences with White House candidates who say they'll decriminalize border crossings. The concern, Hegar says, is "tying the hands of law enforcement." It doesn't take a biker jacket to show that Democratic candidates in some key states in the 2020 Senate race aren't going along as much
Hong Kong police faced criticism on Monday for an apparent failure to protect anti-government protesters and passersby from attack by what opposition politicians suspected were gang members at a train station over the weekend. Sunday's attack came during a night of escalating violence that opened new fronts in Hong Kong's widening crisis over an extradition bill that could see people from the territory sent to China for trial in Communist Party-controlled courts.
Republicans frustrated by losing their grip on political power in some Western states have begun deploying a new weapon: the recall. Once reserved for targeting corrupt or inept elected officials, the recall has become part of the toolkit for Republicans seeking a do-over of election results. To be sure, Democrats also have used recalls, most notably in Wisconsin, where they tried unsuccessfully to oust then-Republican Gov. Scott Walker in 2012 over his actions to weaken public sector unions.