New poll shows tight presidential race in MI

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GRAND RAPIDS, Mich. (WOOD) — A tight presidential race continues in Michigan, with former President Donald Trump remaining 1 point ahead of President Joe Biden in the latest poll results.

The poll, conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored by Nexstar Media, and released Tuesday, shows 44% percent of respondents support Biden and 45% support Trump. With a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, that’s a statistical tie. About 11% were undecided.

The percentages have not changed since the last poll, which was conducted at the end of March.

Michigan voters overwhelmingly cited the economy (jobs, inflation and taxes) as the state’s most important issue, with 39.4% saying it was their number one concern. Threats to democracy (11.5%), housing affordability (8.5%), healthcare (8.3%), immigration (8.2%), abortion access (7.1%), education (6.4%), and crime (4.2%) followed as top concerns.

Download: Poll Data

Asked how they view the current criminal trial taking place in New York “regarding Donald Trump falsifying business records to disguise a hush-money payment,” about 50% of respondents agreed with the statement “the trial is appropriate to hold Trump accountable,” while 43% think the trial is a “witch hunt.”

If Trump were found guilty, 32% said they’d be “more likely to support” him and 29% said they’d be “less likely to support” him.

When considering President Joe Biden, 40% of poll respondents said they approve of the job he is doing and 52% said they disapprove. Eight percent are neutral or have no opinion on his performance.

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Michigan remains a key swing state. 270towin.com, a website that tracks polls and forecasts the electoral vote, projects that Democrats have about 226 electoral votes leaning their way and Republicans 235. It takes 270 to win. Right now, Michigan (15 electoral votes), Pennsylvania (19) and Wisconsin (10) are all considered toss-ups; winning all three is enough to give a candidate the White House.

Emerson College Polling surveyed 1,000 registered Michigan voters over the phone, email and online to collect the data between April 25 and April 29. About 38% of respondents identified themselves as Democrats, about 37% as Republicans and about 26% as independents.

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