Ronald Reagan: Today's NATIONAL & STATE POLL UPDATE Wednesday, Aug. 24, at 8:49 a.m. EDT FiveThirtyEight, is a website that focuses on opinion poll analysis. FiveThirtyEight: Collected 285 NATIONAL polls so far. FiveThirtyEight: Collected 928 STATE and NATIONAL polls so far. We’re forecasting the election with three models. Polls-plus forecast: What polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov. 8th. Clinton's Chance of winning = 77.0% Polls-only forecast: What polls alone tell us about Nov. 8th. Clinton's Chance of winning = 85.4% Now-cast: Who would win an election today. Clinton's Chance of winning = 88.2% FiveThirtyEight NATIONAL POLL Update: We’ve collected 285 NATIONAL polls so far. The model weights each poll by its sample size, how recently it was conducted, and the historical accuracy and methodology of the polling firm. The model then adjusts each poll based on other factors. FiveThirtyEight UPDATES: We update our forecast with new polls as they are released. Here are the polls we added in each update. So far we’ve collected 928 STATE and NATIONAL polls. Remember do NOT underestimate this emotionally unstable Baron Von Trump clown, make sure you VOTE for Hillary Clinton, take nothing for granted. It's not enough to simply beat Baron Von Trump, he must be destroyed thoroughly in the November 8th general election. His kind must not rise again. Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end of Baron Von Trump. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning of Baron Von Trump. During its first five and a half years, FiveThirtyEight won numerous awards both when it was an independent blog. These included "Bloggie" Awards for "Best Political Coverage" in 2008 and "Best Weblog about Politics" in 2009, as well as "Webbies" for "Best Political Blog" in 2012 and 2013. In 2016, while under the ownership of ESPN, FiveThirtyEight won the "Data Journalism Website of the Year" award. It bears noting that FiveThirtyEight is a poll aggregator.In 2008 they predicted 49/50 states correctly, and in 2012 they predicted all 50 states correctly. They are the most accurate in the business, in spite of their short track record.