NYC serious crimes hit levels unseen in two decades last year even as Mayor Adams claims ‘crime is down’

Adams admin failed to curb crime
Adams admin failed to curb crime
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Serious crime spiked again last year to levels unseen in nearly two decades, according to internal NYPD data obtained by The Post — even as Mayor Eric Adams has repeatedly claimed that “crime is down” in the Big Apple.

For the second year in a row under Adams, overall crime was on the rise — driven by a historic surge in assaults, which neared 28,000 for the first time in the city’s publicly recorded history, according to the police department’s rolling report.

The report tracks the tally of seven major felony offenses after the time of arrest to when cases move to district attorneys, who decide whether to upgrade, downgrade or stick with the charge. For instance, a perp who punches someone might be charged with a misdemeanor at first, but if the victim’s condition later worsens, the prosecutor could boost it to a felony.

The count of major felonies — which include murder, rape, robbery, assault, burglary, grand larceny and car thefts — is generally used as a benchmark for success year after year.

Mayor Eric Adams has tried to combat the fears of rising crime to convince tourists and businesses to continue to return. Gabriella Bass
Mayor Eric Adams has tried to combat the fears of rising crime to convince tourists and businesses to continue to return. Gabriella Bass
The number of seven major crimes in 2023 jumped to 127,111 once 404 upgrades were accounted for, marking the highest totals since 2006 for the second year in a row, according to the police data. Gabriella Bass
The number of seven major crimes in 2023 jumped to 127,111 once 404 upgrades were accounted for, marking the highest totals since 2006 for the second year in a row, according to the police data. Gabriella Bass

City Hall has argued it has focused its policing efforts on driving down murders and gun violence, both of which have seen double-digit percentage dips since Adams, a moderate Democrat, became mayor.

Adams, a former police captain, has also called for a tougher criminal justice system, including a crackdown on recidivism and bail reform, but appears to have been stymied by the Democratic establishment — in Albany and locally, where the City Council tossed his veto of the “How Many Stops” policing bill.

“Adam is a victim of Albany as are the rest of New Yorkers. He can’t control Albany but he has to deploy his cops to somehow control crime,” said Democratic consultant Hank Sheinkopf.

While Adams has been touting his success in his war against crime, citing a slight dip reported at the end of 2023, the rolling report shows that the early-year victory lap was premature.

The number of seven major crimes in 2023 jumped to 127,111 once around 430 upgrades were accounted for, marking the highest totals since 2006 for the second year in a row, according to the police data.

Police sources said it could get even worse — as historically up to 800 crimes are upgraded in the rolling report annually before the final tally is set for that year.

An unknown male individual followed a 20-year-old female victim exiting a Queens-bound F train that had entered the 169th Street subway station.
An unknown male individual followed a 20-year-old female victim exiting a Queens-bound F train that had entered the 169th Street subway station.

In recent months, the mayor has been banging the drum about his administration’s success in combating crime, proclaiming “our strategy is working” in his State of the City speech in January.

He touted year-end 2023 data showing a .3% dip in overall major crime, coupled with double-digit decreases in murder, burglary and shootings, compared to his first year in office.

Major felony

2023 (As of April 2)

Reclassifications

Percent change from 2022

Murder

391

5

-10.7%

Rape

1,465

10

-9.8%

Robbery

16,934

32

-2.9%

Felony Assault

27,951

102

+6.7%

Burglary

13,803

45

-12.7%

Grand Larceny

50,761

235

-2%

Car Thefts

15,806

0

+15%

But the NYPD’s rolling report paints a different picture.

The report, in early March, showed there were 50 fewer major crimes in 2023 compared to 2022, when the final tally was 127,091.

That gap began to close over the following weeks — before 2023’s crime numbers finally surpassed Adams’ freshman year in office by 20 offenses.

Eight men were wanted in connection with a February gang assault on a 17-year-old male victim near West 42nd Street and 7th Avenue in Manhattan. NYPD
Eight men were wanted in connection with a February gang assault on a 17-year-old male victim near West 42nd Street and 7th Avenue in Manhattan. NYPD

Adams’ first year as mayor was already marred by headlines of a 23% crime jump compared to the prior administration, and a 33% increase from pre-pandemic levels.

City Councilman Bob Holden (D-Queens) fumed to The Post that the disorder is much worse, with “the reported stats barely scratching the surface.”

“All I ever hear from storekeepers and constituents is that they stopped reporting crimes, because of the revolving-door criminal injustice system,” he said. “It’s a fact every New Yorker lives with daily.”

Driving the high levels of overall crime were felony assaults, with 100 more such offenses counted compared to the end of the year, for a total of 27,951 as of this month — a jump of 6.7% and the highest dating back to before 2000, the earliest year available.

A recent poll found that majority of New Yorkers feel unsafe. rfaraino
A recent poll found that majority of New Yorkers feel unsafe. rfaraino
New York Post cover for Sunday, March 31, 2024.
New York Post cover for Sunday, March 31, 2024.

“At least the numbers show why it feels like it’s the 1990s again in NYC,” a police source said of the skyrocketing assaults.

Also driving the overall level were car thefts, which finished at 15,806 at the end of 2023, but have seen a 15% increase since.

After reclassifications and upgrades were accounted for, the data as of April 2 show:

  • Murders, which came in at 391, four more than at the end of the year and down 10.7% from 2022.

  • Rapes that finished at 1,465, 10 up from year-end and down 9.8% from 2022.

  • Reports of robbery at 16,934, up 32 from Jan. 1 and down 2.9% from 2022.

  • There were 13,803 burglaries, up a few dozen from the end of the year and down 12.8% from 2022.

  • Grand larceny finished at 50,761, about 200 more than at the end of the year and down 2% from 2022.

Hizzoner has tried of late to tamp down criticism of the soaring unlawfulness as a “perception problem” — despite feeding into that public narrative during his first year in office before blaming the media for reporting on crime.

Also driving the overall level were car thefts, which finished at 15,806 at the end of 2023, but have seen a 15% increase since. Gabriella Bass
Also driving the overall level were car thefts, which finished at 15,806 at the end of 2023, but have seen a 15% increase since. Gabriella Bass

“We need to address that perception and we need to address the actual crime numbers,” he said March 19 from City Hall.

“I was brutalized when I used the term perception, now all of y’all are talking about perception. Just about all your articles now, it’s like, people don’t feel safe, they have to perceive just as what.

“This is what I was saying from the beginning! The perception of being safe must equal the numbers of the actual safety.”

On Wednesday, Adams joined NYPD officials to announce a 2.4% dip in crime overall so far this year. Gabriella Bass
On Wednesday, Adams joined NYPD officials to announce a 2.4% dip in crime overall so far this year. Gabriella Bass

On Wednesday, Adams joined NYPD officials to announce a 2.4% dip in crime overall so far this year — and pushed back when asked about The Post’s story, rolling out his predecessor Bill de Blasio’s infamous line that “New York City remains the safest big city.” He did not mention that felony assaults have increased 3.8% so far this year.

Year

Total crimes

2023

127,111

2022

127,091

2021

102,741

2020

95,593

2019

95,606

2007

121,009

2006

128,692

The mayor has repeatedly touted crime-fighting gains made during his sophomore year in office — which he dubbed his Aaron Judge year, after the Yankees star.

“I say it over and over again until it resonates: Jobs are up, crime is down and we are moving in the right direction as we deliver for our working-class New Yorkers,” he said on Feb. 20 during one of his many appearances praising the progress.

Police at the scene where a person was shot on Lexington Avenue at East125th Street in New York around 12:15 a.m. March 23, 2024. Christopher Sadowski
Police at the scene where a person was shot on Lexington Avenue at East125th Street in New York around 12:15 a.m. March 23, 2024. Christopher Sadowski

It was also a key message in his optimistic State of the City speech in which he played down the migrant crisis and heralded the administration for bringing the city “back from the brink.”

“New Yorkers were rightfully concerned about their safety, their security and their families,” he said, adding, “Our first order of business was clear: Get crime under control.”

A mayoral rep insisted in a statement that the city is safer now than when Adams took office.

Adams has blamed recidivism for the high-profile violent incidents. Steven Hirsch
Adams has blamed recidivism for the high-profile violent incidents. Steven Hirsch

“Mayor Adams has been clear that public safety is the key to prosperity, and in a little more than two years in office, our administration has been successful in driving down major crimes like shootings, murders, burglaries, grand larcenies, and more,” spokesperson Kayla Mamelak said.

“While reclassifications of some crimes happen every year, and there is undoubtedly more work to be done to keep New Yorkers safe, there is no disputing that our streets are safer today than they were before Mayor Adams took office.”

At that time, overall crime just topped 100,000 for the first time in years with murders creeping up to 500 as cops confronted a record number of 1,562 shootings, NYPD data show.

Shootings were down last year by 26% compared to 2022, 1,150 vs. 1,566, but still up more than 50% from 2019.

Political players noted the mayor finds himself boxed into a corner with his mixed messaging on crime.

Bloodstains at the Bronx crime scene where a 15-year-old boy was shot in the thigh. Christopher Sadowski
Bloodstains at the Bronx crime scene where a 15-year-old boy was shot in the thigh. Christopher Sadowski

On one hand, Adams started the year with an overt push to lure tourism and workers back to the Big Apple, proclaiming the city safe and business booming.

On the other hand, he has been confronted by a recent spate of high-profile crimes on the subways, which prompted Gov. Kathy Hochul, in an unusual show of force, to send in the National Guard to help with bag checks underground.

Adams has repeatedly blamed the scourge of rampant recidivism for fueling high-profile violent acts, most recently the fatal shooting of NYPD Detective Jonathan Diller.

Lindy Jones and Guy Rivera are charged in connection with the March shooting death of NYPD Officer Jonathan Diller in Far Rockaway. Richard Harbus/Pool
Lindy Jones and Guy Rivera are charged in connection with the March shooting death of NYPD Officer Jonathan Diller in Far Rockaway. Richard Harbus/Pool

But Adams’ popularity — especially as a mayor who ran on a law enforcement platform — will always be tied to crime in the Big Apple regardless of whether the administration believes the state has tied its hands.

“The mayor gets blamed for crime, period. Democrats can’t win elections if they don’t control crime. Mayor [David] Dinkins is a classic example. If crime continues to rise, his [Adams’] numbers will go down,” Sheinkopf said.

“When [New Yorkers] vote for mayor, they vote for Albany. If he can’t control crime, they won’t remember it was Albany.”

Democratic political consultant Ken Frydman said the Adams admin needs to hone its mixed messaging so as not to appear merely reactive.

“The mayor needs consistent crime messaging for New Yorkers and out-of-towners,” he said. “Are the subways and streets safe or unsafe? Is violent crime random or a growing trend? Is the threat of violent crime real or perception?”

The mayor has also faced a budget crunch due to the ballooning migrant crisis, forcing him to cancel several NYPD classes, though at least one has since been reinstated.

Councilman Lincoln Restler (D-Brooklyn) accused the NYPD of mismanagement, charging police brass are focusing on the wrong issues, such as cracking down on drinking in public, which The Post revealed last year.

“Mayor Adams has spent more than two years prioritizing public appearances over public safety,” he charged.

Some police sources echoed those concerns.

“They’re more concerned about grammatically incorrect social media battles than they are about effective crimefighting,” one source quipped, pointing to a recent spat between a handful of NYPD brass and columnist Harry Siegel that descended into name-calling.