Nor’easter expected to slam Upstate NY with up to 18 inches of snow, NYC likely to miss brunt of storm

A developing nor’easter will dump 12 to 18 inches of snow across central and eastern New York from Monday into Wednesday while mostly sparing the New York City area, forecasters said.

The storm will bring its trademark heavy winds, wet snow and battering rain to the entire New England region, the National Weather Service said.

“Heavy snow rates (up to 2 inches per hour possible) and strong winds from this nor’easter will likely produce dangerous to near impossible travel,” the NWS said in a Sunday update. “The heavy-wet nature of the snow could result in scattered to widespread power outages and tree damage.”

New York City will likely avoid the worst of the storm. While meteorologists are predicting up to 16 inches of snow in Albany, Central Park is unlikely to see more than an inch.

Nor’easters are also known for their coastal flooding, so while the five boroughs aren’t expected to see much snowfall, a coastal flood advisory was issued for southern Queens beginning Sunday night and continuing through Tuesday night. The advisory also extends through southern Nassau County.

“In addition, the system may produce localized higher snowfall amounts for portions of the Catskills in New York, Berkshires in western Massachusetts, and southern Green Mountains in Vermont,” the NWS said.

Gov. Hochul advised residents in the Capital Region, Central New York, Mid-Hudson, Mohawk Valley and North Country to hunker down, though she stopped short of declaring a state of emergency.

“Anyone in regions that will be impacted by the storm should prepare for two or three days of snowfall and hazardous travel conditions,” the governor said in a statement.

The storms are notoriously tricky to forecast, and small differences in pressure and temperature can lead to significant differences in snowfall or rainfall.

“There is still some uncertainty at this point to the exact track the storm will take and how much cooling occurs after the precipitation begins,” the NWS said in a Sunday afternoon update.

Despite the storm’s unpredictability, the state emergency department shuffled some equipment around, moving 10 plow operators from the Southern Tier to the Capital Region and six more from the Southern Tier to Central New York. Hundreds of plows are available statewide, according to the emergency department.

New England was most recently battered by a nor’easter in late January 2022. During that storm, Massachusetts bore the brunt of the snow impact, while New York City settled for below freezing temperatures.