National Hurricane Center tracking 4 tropical waves, including 2 in Caribbean

The National Hurricane Center is tracking four tropical waves, according to the latest tropical outlook.

With one more day remaining until the official start of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, no tropical development is expected over the next two days.

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A fourth tropical wave popped up in the Hurricane Center's tropical discussion Wednesday afternoon.

AccuWeather is tracking an area in the Caribbean that has a low chance for tropical development, probably June 4-6. Even if the system develops, it's not expected to impact Florida or the U.S. as it moves into the Atlantic.

When does hurricane season start?

The Atlantic hurricane season starts Saturday, June 1. The season ends Nov. 30.

The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.

The National Hurricane Center also was tracking three tropical waves Wednesday, May 29. Here's the latest update from the NHC as of 8 a.m. May 30:

What is out there and where are they going?

Tropical conditions 8 a.m. May 30, 2024.
Tropical conditions 8 a.m. May 30, 2024.
  • Tropical wave 1: A tropical is located in the eastern Atlantic tropical wave extends off the coast of Africa from south of Cabo Verde to east of Cabo Verde. It is moving west at 17 mph.

  • Tropical wave 2: A tropical wave in the Central Atlantic tropical wave stretches from northeast of Brazil to southwest of Cabo Verde. It's moving west at 17 to 23 mph.

  • Tropical wave 3: A tropical wave has recently entered the far southeastern Caribbean Sea, west of St. Lucia. It is moving west at 17 mph.

  • Tropical wave 4: A tropical wave in the western Caribbean tropical wave is located between Cancun, Mexico, and Cuba. It is moving west at 11 to 17 mph.

Who is likely to be impacted?

It's too early at this time to determine if there will be any impact to Florida or the U.S. from the tropical waves.

Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared. That advice is particularly important for what is expected to be a very active hurricane season.

Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida

When is the peak of hurricane season?

Hurricane season's ultimate peak is Sept. 10 but the season goes through Nov. 30. Credit: NOAA
Hurricane season's ultimate peak is Sept. 10 but the season goes through Nov. 30. Credit: NOAA

The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

NOAA predicting up to 25 named storms in 2024 hurricane season

National Hurricane Center releases 2024 Atlantic hurricane season prediction.
National Hurricane Center releases 2024 Atlantic hurricane season prediction.

Except two tropical disturbances — one southeast of Florida earlier this month and another in April — it's been a quiet start to what is predicted to be a very active season that could double the average number of storms. AccuWeather predicted 2024 could top the 2020 record of 30 named storms.

NOAA is predicting there is an 85% chance of an above-normal season.

NOAA's prediction:

  • 17-25 named storms

  • 8-13 hurricanes

  • 4-7 major hurricanes

A major hurricane is a Category 3 storm or higher, with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph.

Two conditions in the Atlantic basin are the reason for the above-average predictions for the 2024 hurricane season: La Niña and record-warm water. Both help the development of storms.

National Hurricane Center map: What are forecasters watching now?

Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:

Noaa

Embedded content: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_0d0.png?052051

Excessive rainfall forecast

What's next?

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This article originally appeared on Treasure Coast Newspapers: Hurricane season 2024: NHC tracking 4 tropical waves, 2 in Caribbean