National Hurricane Center tracking 2 tropical disturbances. See spaghetti models, impact
While chances have dropped slightly, a tropical depression or storm remains possible in the central Atlantic, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.
Environmental conditions still appear somewhat favorable for a tropical depression or tropical storm to develop during the next couple of days as Invest 96L moves northwest.
Chances continue to decrease for tropical development of Invest 97L, located east of Maryland and several hundred miles south of Nova Scotia.
What's an invest? We explain and break down the weather forecaster's term
Forecasters also are tracking three tropical waves, including two in the Caribbean.
The next two names of the Atlantic hurricane season will be Emily and Franklin.
Here are the latest update from the NHC as of 2 p.m. July 31:
What's out there and where are they?
Invest 96L: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 650 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands have become less organized since last night.
Invest 97L: Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a gale-force low pressure system located over the western Atlantic several hundred miles south of Nova Scotia.
Tropical wave 1: A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is located northwest of Cabo Verde. It's moving west at 11 mph. Exact location: near 28W from 04N to 20N.
Tropical wave 2: A tropical wave is crossing the Lesser Antilles into the Caribbean Sea. It's moving west at 11 mph.
Tropical wave 3: A tropical wave in is the Caribbean. It's moving west at 17 mph. Exact location: near 81W, south of western Cuba.
How likely are they to strengthen?
Invest 96L: The system is producing a small area of gale-force winds well to the east of the center.
Environmental conditions still appear somewhat conducive for a tropical depression or tropical storm to develop during the next couple of days while the system moves northwestward and then northward at 10 to 15 mph over the central subtropical Atlantic.
Formation chance through 48 hours: medium, 60 percent.
Formation chance through seven days: high, 70 percent.
Invest 97L: Recent satellite data indicate the low is attached to frontal boundaries, and it is forecast to move quickly toward the east-northeast at 30 to 35 mph, reaching colder waters by tonight.
The likelihood of this system becoming a tropical storm is diminishing.
Formation chance through 48 hours: low, 10 percent.
Formation chance through 7 days: low, 10 percent.
Spaghetti models for Invest 96L
Spaghetti models for Invest 97L
Who is likely to be impacted?
Invest 96L: Aside from some bigger waves and strong wind impacts to shipping across the Atlantic, impacts to land look minimal at this time, according to AccuWeather.
Invest 97L: "Any strengthening of this storm is expected to be well away from the U.S. coast, so no direct impacts to land are expected at this time," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Adam Douty.
However, if a more organized tropical system were to develop, the most likely impacts would be rough surf and strong rip currents along the East coast beaches from the Outer Banks of North Carolina to the Massachusetts Cape.
It's too early at this time to determine if there will be any impact to the U.S. from \the tropical waves.
Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared.
Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida
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When is the Atlantic hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
When is the peak of hurricane season?
The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.
Tropical forecast over the next seven days
Excessive rainfall forecast
What's out there?
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center.
What's next?
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This article originally appeared on Treasure Coast Newspapers: NHC tracking Invest96L, Invest97L. Tropical Storm Emily possible
