Michigan Senate race still up in the air

Jam Sardar
·2 min read
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LANSING, Mich. (WLNS) — Congresswoman Elissa Slotkin still holds a slight lead in a hypothetical match-up with former Congressman Mike Rogers in a battle for Michigan’s U.S. Senate seat – but the small margin and large number of undecided voters mean it’s still anybody’s race.

That’s according to a poll conducted by Emerson College and commissioned by The Hill. The Hill is owned by Nexstar, the same company that owns WLNS-TV.

In the survey, 1,000 registered voters are asked who they would vote for in a battle between Slotkin, the Democrat – and Rogers, the Republican. The results are as follows:

  • Slotkin – 41.6%

  • Rogers – 39.8%

  • Undecided – 18.6%

Slotkin’s edge of about two points is about the same margin she had over Rogers in a poll last month.

Poll: Slotkin leading GOP candidates in Senate bid

Both, along with many others, seek to replace Senator Debbie Stabenow. The Democrat is retiring after 24 years, creating the open seat. Voters will choose Democratic and Republican finalists in the August primary. The winners of each race will square off against each other in the November general election.

Slotkin – who has raised $16 million through March 31st, is facing two other Democrats including actor and activist Hill Harper – the only other member of her party who has raised more than $1 million.

Rogers faces another former Congressman – Justin Amash, as well as businessman Sandy Pensler and Sherry O’Donnell. Rogers and Pensler have raised about $3 million each. A third former Congressman – Peter Meijer – withdrew from the race last week.

Mike Rogers speaks in December 2023.
Mike Rogers speaks in December 2023.

The open Senate race could help determine who controls the upper body of Congress for the next two years. Democrats currently maintain a slight 51-49 edge – which means Republicans only need to pick up a seat or two (depending on the outcome of the presidential race) to flip the chamber.

DOWNLOAD the complete polling data here (.xlsx)Download

The poll of 1,000 registered voters took place between April 25th and April 29th and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3%. The people polled were divided almost equally between the parties – with 376 Democrats and 370 Republicans. The rest identified as independents.

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