Mapped: The countries where a terrorist attack is most (and least) likely

Afghanistan came 2nd in the ranking, just behind Iraq - 2017 Laurence Tan
Afghanistan came 2nd in the ranking, just behind Iraq - 2017 Laurence Tan

Seventy-seven countries experienced at least one death from terrorism last year, a new report has revealed. Total fatalities for 2016, however, fell for the second year in a row. 

The 2017 Global Terrorism Index, published today by the Institute for Economics and Peace, offers a guide to the countries hit hardest by terrorism – and most at risk from a future attack. Iraq, which was the location of seven of the 10 deadliest attacks in 2016, tops the ranking. It received a score of 10, where zero represents no impact from terrorism and 10 represents the highest measurable impact.

Iraq is followed by Afghanistan, Nigeria, Syria, Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia – none of which are on the radar of most ordinary travellers. 

Several popular holiday destinations, however, do make the top 20, including Turkey, Thailand, Egypt, India and Philippines. 

The 20 countries impacted most by terrorism

  1. Iraq - Global Terrorism Index score: 10

  2. Afghanistan - 9.441

  3. Nigeria - 9.009

  4. Syria - 8.621

  5. Pakistan - 8.4

  6. Yemen - 7.877

  7. Somalia - 7.654

  8. India - 7.534

  9. Turkey - 7.519

  10. Libya - 7.256

  11. Egypt - 7.17

  12. Philippines - 7.126

  13. Democratic Republic of the Congo - 6.967

  14. South Sudan - 6.821

  15. Cameroon - 6.787

  16. Thailand - 6.609

  17. Ukraine - 6.557

  18. Sudan - 6.453

  19. Central African Republic - 6.394

  20. Niger - 6.316

After Turkey and Ukraine, France is the European country deemed most at risk, coming 23rd overall with a score of 5.964, followed by the UK at 35th overall (5.102), Germany at 38th (4.917), Belgium at 40th (4.656) and Greece at 46th (4.139). 

A service to remember those killed in the Nice terror attack - Credit: EPA/IAN LANGSDON
A service to remember those killed in the Nice terror attack Credit: EPA/IAN LANGSDON

The 10 European countries impacted most by terrorism

  1. Turkey - Global Terrorism Index score: 7.519

  2. Ukraine - 6.557

  3. France - 5.964

  4. UK - 5.102

  5. Germany - 4.917

  6. Belgium - 4.656

  7. Greece - 4.139

  8. Sweden - 3.756

  9. Ireland - 3.141

  10. Italy - 2.75

"The main positive finding shows a global decline in the number of deaths from terrorist attacks to 25,673 people, which is a 22 per cent improvement from the peak in 2014," says the report. "However, while the global numbers of deaths and attacks improved in 2016, other trends are disturbing. More countries experienced at least one death from terrorism. This is more than at any time in the past 17 years and reflects an increase from 65 countries in 2015 to 77 in 2016.

Two out of every three countries to feature in the report - or 106 nations - experienced at least one act of terrorism, while 77 witnessed a fatal attack. 

Two-thirds of nations to feature witnessed at least one terror attack in 2016 - Credit: Shchipkova Elena - Fotolia
Two-thirds of nations to feature witnessed at least one terror attack in 2016 Credit: Shchipkova Elena - Fotolia

"When examining the drivers of terrorism the presence of armed conflict, political violence by governments, political exclusion and group grievances remain critical factors," the report adds. "The great majority of terrorism is used as a tactic within an armed conflict or against repressive political regimes. It also demonstrates the risks of political crackdowns and counterterrorism actions that can exacerbate existing grievances and the drivers of extremism and terrorism. Both Egypt and Turkey recorded substantially higher levels of terrorism following government crackdowns."

The world's 15 most dangerous countries (according to the Foreign Office)

A total of 30 countries were given a score of "0", representing no impact from terrorism and a low likelihood of future attacks. It should be noted that numerous countries, including Suriname, Belize, and many Pacific island nations, do not appear in the study. 

Costa Rica is one of 30 countries deemed to be unaffected by terrorism - Credit: ©wollertz - stock.adobe.com
Costa Rica is one of 30 countries deemed to be unaffected by terrorism Credit: ©wollertz - stock.adobe.com

The 30 countries unaffected by terrorism

  1. Benin

  2. Botswana

  3. Costa Rica

  4. Cuba

  5. Eritrea

  6. Gabon

  7. The Gambia

  8. Equatorial Guinea

  9. Lithuania

  10. Latvia

  11. Mongolia

  12. Mauritania

  13. Mauritius

  14. Malawi

  15. Namibia

  16. Norway

  17. Oman

  18. Papua New Guinea

  19. North Korea

  20. Portugal

  21. Romania

  22. Singapore

  23. El Salvador

  24. Slovenia

  25. Swaziland

  26. Togo

  27. Turkmenistan

  28. Timor-Leste

  29. Vietnam

  30. Zambia

The worst attack in 2016 came on December 10, when suicide bombers attacked Palmyra, killing at least 421 people. A further 12 hostages were taken and killed in January 2017. 

The truck attack in Nice, in which 87 were killed, was the 17th deadliest attack. 

Follow this link to read the report in full.