Exclusive Boris Johnson interview: No new referendum, says PM Sturgeon 'unlikely' to get majority for independence vote Scottish election results 2021: How Scotland voted Super Thursday results: Maps, charts and data across the UK London mayor: How the capital voted Subscribe to The Telegraph for a month-long free trial Senior Conservatives now believe that Nicola Sturgeon is on course for an SNP majority despite failing to win several key constituencies. David Mundell, the former Scottish Secretary, told BBC Scotland: "I accept that the SNP is going to win and I anticipate they'll have a majority because it's clear they're actually going to pick up some list seats." Sir John Curtice, the country's top polling expert, said this outcome was "unlikely" on Friday night after Labour managed to hold what had been Scotland's most marginal constituency, Dumbarton. But Tory insiders said the SNP was expected to pick up more regional list seats than had been expected. Ms Sturgeon's party only won four list seats in 2016 when the SNP narrowly fell short of a majority. These are allocated to parties using a complicated form of proportional representation that deducts constituency wins, and will be announced on Saturday afternoon and evening. A Tory source said that "Nat discipline in their BothVotesSNP strategy" would deliver a majority, with more nationalists voting for the party on both their constituency and regional list ballot papers. SNP insiders admitted their list vote was holding up better than expected but insisted a majority was still a "long shot." They said they were not expecting to take the key Tory-held marginal constituency seat of Aberdeenshire West. Tories fear that the SNP could end up with an overall seat tally in the high 60s. The benchmark for a majority is 65 seats. Follow the latest updates below.