Insiders Agree Democrats Will Nominate Clinton in 2016

Michael Catalini, Naureen Khan and Peter Bell

Who do you think Democrats will nominate for president in 2016?


Hillary Rodham Clinton: 81%
Joe Biden: 5%
Martin O’Malley: 4%
Andrew Cuomo: 2%
Deval Patrick: 0%
Mark Warner: 4%
Other: 4%

Hillary Rodham Clinton

“And our field is more frozen than a Wisconsin lake in winter. Nothing breaks until HRC determines her future path.”

“If Hillary runs, there will be no primary. If she does not run, it is an incredibly wide open field ... and Hillary has no reason to make a public decision anytime soon.”

“I hope I hope I hope I hope!!!”

“Her army awaits.”

“Front-runners don’t win, but we have never quite had a front-runner like Hillary. If she wants it, she would be very hard to beat.”

“She’s more popular than ever, and it will take a Clinton to beat the Bush!!!!”

“In the end, don’t see how she says no.”

“If she has more than one quixotic primary challenger, I will be surprised.”

“Just the perception she may run has already cleared the field.”

Joe Biden

“HRC doesn’t run, and then it’s impossible to beat a sitting VP.”

Mark Warner

“Warner is a demonstrated problem-solver.”


Who do you think Democrats will nominate for president in 2016?


Hillary Rodham Clinton: 69%
Joe Biden: 8%
Martin O’Malley: 6%
Andrew Cuomo: 10%
Deval Patrick: 0%
Mark Warner: 4%
Other: 3%

Hillary Rodham Clinton

“Clinton v. Bush. Irresistible.”

“This week’s rollout of reversal on gay marriage is part of a coordinated effort to get on the correct side of the base on all key issues before 2014 starts the race for good.”

“Joe Biden? Only if Democrats want a massive GOP landslide.”

“Look for her to become a highly visible elder stateswoman about 10 minutes after the midterm elections.” 

“Hillary has earned it, she has the organization, and she’ll kick our ass.”

“She left on a high and has no tough votes [before the] primaries.”

“She has the name, the goodwill, and the money. Problem is, she’s a flawed candidate and there’s always Bill lurking.”

Joe Biden

“This will ultimately be BHO’s third term.”

Martin O’Malley

“Has the perfect bumper sticker: “Support the Nanny State. Vote for MoM.”

Andrew Cuomo

“Democrats hate coronations.”


Who do you think Republicans will nominate for president in 2016?


Jeb Bush: 43%
Marco Rubio: 21%
Chris Christie: 10%
Paul Ryan: 8%
Rand Paul: 5%
Bobby Jindal: 3%
Rick Santorum: 2%
Other: 9%

Jeb Bush

“Close your eyes:  Yup—it’s a Bush v. Clinton rematch.”


“They always flirt with dangerous weirdos and then marry the boring, stable guy.”

Marco Rubio

“Despite his disastrous State of the Union response, he remains the darling of the Right and would at least give the GOP a chance in 2016.”

“Rubio will remain the savior du jour and will get the nomination.”

Chris Christie

“The day he can do 10 pushups, he is the nominee.”

Paul Ryan

“It’s Paul Ryan’s turn. Isn’t that the way it works in the Republican Party?”

Bobby Jindal

“He can bridge the various factions of the party.”


“Susanna Martinez. She is refreshing, with no inside-the-Beltway baggage. A long shot with a short path to victory.”


Who do you think Republicans will nominate for president in 2016?


Jeb Bush: 27%
Marco Rubio: 34%
Chris Christie: 14%
Rand Paul: 3%
Paul Ryan: 3%
Bobby Jindal: 3%
Rick Santorum: 1%
Other: 15%

Jeb Bush

“He is our best amigo.”

“Bush-Clinton rematch makes sense, but will confirm our ‘banana republic’ status.”

Marco Rubio

“No one else even comes close to addressing the problems facing the Republican Party the way he does.”

“Or we can nominate an older, white guy, further cementing our dismal image and securing another national defeat.”

“Marco Rubio is the next Reagan.”

Chris Christie

“Results matter, and the big man gets results everywhere but Weight Watchers.”

Rand Paul

“Have you ever tried to have a rational conversation with a Paulite? They have a reality distortion field.”

Bobby Jindal

“A young policy wonk with substantive accomplishments who appeals to diverse communities and the base.”


Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O’Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.