Google activates 500,000 Android devices a day, may reach 1 million in October

Android is now outselling most major consumer product launches on a daily basis. Earlier this morning, Google’s Andy Rubin, senior vice president of mobile, tweeted that 500,000 Android devices are now activated by Google each day and that rate is growing at 4.4 percent week over week. For reference, Google celebrated 400,000 activations per day at its Google I/O conference in May and Andy Rubin announced that the company hit 300,000 activations per day back in Dec. 2010.

Will Google reach 1 million activations per day this year?

While the activations are impressive, the rate of growth is more staggering. In a world where growth rates remain perfectly stable and Google is activating exactly 500,000 devices per day as of today, we’ve calculated the growth of its daily activations through the end of 2011. If this rate continues, Google may reach 1 million activations per day by the third week of October and reach 1.5 million by the end of the year. And if this trend continues into next year, by mid February, there will be 2 million activations per day. Of course, how long the trend continues depends on how fast the world of non-smartphone users continues to convert and how well Google continues to rank compared to iOS, BlackBerry, WebOS, and Windows Phone through the next year.

Android daily activations (by week ):

500,000 : 06/28/11522,000 : 07/05/11544,968 : 07/12/11568,947 : 07/19/11593,980 : 07/26/11620,115 : 08/02/11647,400 : 08/09/11675,886 : 08/16/11705,625 : 08/23/11736,673 : 08/30/11769,086 : 09/06/11802,926 : 09/13/11838,255 : 09/20/11875,138 : 09/27/11913,644 : 10/04/11953,844 : 10/11/11995,813 : 10/18/111,039,629 : 10/25/111,085,373 : 11/01/111,133,129 : 11/08/111,182,987 : 11/15/111,235,038 : 11/22/111,289,380 : 11/29/111,346,113 : 12/06/111,405,342 : 12/13/111,467,177 : 12/20/111,531,733 : 12/27/111,599,129 : 01/03/12