Georgia 2024 Poll: Trump 47%, Biden 44% according to Emerson College and The Hill

The primary election is about three weeks away and Georgia remains a key battleground state.

The most recent Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey in Georgia finds 47% of voters support former president Donald Trump in 2024, while 44% support President Joe Biden. About 9% remain undecided — three percent less since the last poll in March. According to the poll, Biden has seen a 2% increase in support.

When undecided voters were polled, 43.5% lean towards Trump while 56.5% are in favor of Biden. This is a bit of a change from last month’s results when Trump’s undecided support totaled in at 52% with Biden slightly behind at 48%.

The numbers slightly differ from who Georgia voted for back in 2020. According to the poll, 45% of Georgians voted for Biden that year while 45% casted their ballot for Trump. As for the remaining percentage, 3% of Georgia voted for someone else and 7% did not vote at all.

The poll went on to ask whether Georgia voters approve of the job Governor Brian Kemp is doing — slightly over 50% said yes, while about 30% disapproved and 20% remained neutral. When asked about party affiliation, 38% of Peach State voters claimed Republican while nearly 34% said they were with the Democratic Party. Independent and voters-not-otherwise-specified made up the remaining 28%.

When it came to the issues, nearly 35% of voters said the most pressing one is the economy. Here’s how the other issues matched up:

• Healthcare: 12.3%

• Education: 6.7%

• Crime: 9.9%

• Immigration: 10.8%

• Housing affordability: 9.1%

• Abortion access: 6.5%

• Threats to democracy: 5.9%

• Something else: 4.2%

And when it came to whether or not Georgia residents are motivated to vote in this election cycle, 67.3% said they were “extremely motivated,” 14.6% said “very motivated,” and 9.9% were “somewhat.” The remainder said they were either not very motivated (3.9%), not at all motivated (2%), or unsure (2.4%).

Methodology

The sample of registered voters, n=1,000, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of
error (MOE), of +/- 3 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race,
age, party affiliation, and region based on 2024 registration modeling. Turnout modeling is based on U.S. Census parameters, and voter registration data (GA S.O.S.).
It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced.

Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and with a confidence
interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.

Data was collected by contacting an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines and a
consumer list of emails (both provided by Aristotle), and an online panel of voters provided by
Alchemer.

This survey was conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored by Nexstar Media. All
questions asked in this survey with exact wording, along with full results and cross tabulations
can be found under “Full Results.”

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