Gaza's death toll surpasses 30,000, Health Ministry says. Here's where things stand on a possible Israel-Hamas truce.

President Biden now says the truce probably won't happen by Monday as he had indicated earlier in the week.

Two adults hug as they and several others mourn outside a hospital.
People mourn following an early morning incident when Israeli forces opened fire on crowds rushing at an aid distribution point in Gaza City on Thursday. (AFP via Getty Images)

The death toll in Gaza surpassed 30,000 from the Israel-Hamas war that began last October, the Hamas-run Health Ministry said Thursday. The news comes as Israel and Hamas are negotiating details of a proposed ceasefire in Qatar this week.

President Biden, who had earlier expressed hope for an agreement by Monday, said Thursday that timeline was now unlikely but that he still believed a deal was possible.

A truce could bring relief for Palestinians in the war-torn enclave, where the United Nations says a quarter of the population is one step away from famine. International pressure has been mounting on Israel to agree to a ceasefire as the death toll rises.

The deal could also bring the release of some of the 130 remaining Israeli hostages kidnapped in Hamas’s Oct. 7 attack that killed 1,200 people.

🤝 What could the deal look like?

The Associated Press reports that a senior official from Egypt, which is helping to mediate the negotiations, says the proposal includes a pause in fighting for six weeks. Hamas would free 40 hostages, mostly women, minors, older people and those who are sick.

In exchange, Israel would release more than 300 Palestinians held in Israeli jails. Displaced Gaza residents, except for men of fighting age, would also be allowed to return home to certain areas of northern Gaza that were previously evacuated as a result of Israel’s ground offensive.

Aid deliveries would be increased to the war-torn region and facilitated by Israel, with about 300 to 500 trucks entering the enclave a day, the Egyptian official told the AP.

🇺🇸 What has Biden said?

Biden was asked by reporters on Thursday whether a temporary ceasefire would still happen by Monday, to which he responded, “Hope springs eternal” and that he was talking to regional leaders about the deal, but added, “Probably not by Monday.”

It was a timeline he had been hopeful about earlier this week, indicating during his appearance on Late Night With Seth Meyers, “Ramadan’s coming up and there has been an agreement by the Israelis that they would not engage in activities during Ramadan as well, in order to give us time to get all the hostages out.”

🇮🇱 What has Israel said?

On Monday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told Fox & Friends, “Obviously, we want this deal if we can have it. It depends on Hamas. It’s really now their decision. They have to come down to reality.”

Meanwhile, Israel’s defense minister Yoav Gallant said in a press briefing Wednesday night that he did not want to comment on Biden’s remarks. “I really hope he’s right,” Gallant said.

With or without a temporary ceasefire, Netanyahu has said Israeli forces will invade Rafah, a city in the southern Gaza Strip near Egypt’s border, where about 1.4 million Palestinians have sought refuge after being displaced by Israel’s military offensive.

🗣️ What has Hamas said?

Senior Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh said that the militant group is open to talks with Israel on a temporary ceasefire but that it was prepared to continue to fight. “Any flexibility we show in the negotiation process is a commitment to protecting the blood of our people, matched by a readiness to defend them,” Haniyeh said during a televised speech Wednesday.

Two senior Hamas officials also downplayed Biden’s optimistic timeline, according to Reuters. One told the news agency there are “still big gaps to be bridged.”

❌ Where do the 2 sides disagree?

Since the start of the war, Israel has maintained it will consider only pauses in fighting, and the war will not end until Hamas is “eradicated.” Hamas has also long held that it will release all of the Israeli hostages only as part of a deal that brings a total end to the war in Gaza.

Additionally, Israel wants all female soldiers included in the first round of hostages released, but the AP reports Hamas is likely to push back as they view soldiers as more significant “bargaining chips.”

Hamas has also rejected both of Israel’s demands for the militant group to stop firing rockets at southern Israel.

Other sticking points concern “numbers, ratios and troop movements,” according to a Qatari spokesperson. CNN reports that likely involves the number of Israeli hostages released in exchange for Palestinian prisoners held in Israel as well as which parts of Gaza Israeli troops would withdraw from.

🇶🇦🇪🇬 What have mediators said?

Qatar, the main mediator in these ceasefire talks, said hurdles to reach a breakthrough still remain. The United States and Egypt have also participated in the talks.

“We don’t have a final agreement on any of the issues that are hampering reaching an agreement,” said Majed Al Ansari, spokesperson for Qatar’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. “But we remain hopeful that we can get to some kind of agreement.”

Meanwhile, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi echoed Biden’s optimism. “We hope that a ceasefire will be reached in the coming days to start a real relief for our people in the Gaza Strip in all fields,” el-Sissi said at an event in Cairo on Wednesday.