Should You Expect Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture Limited (ASX:JJF) To Continue Delivering An ROE Of 14.3%?

This analysis is intended to introduce important early concepts to people who are starting to invest and want to start learning about core concepts of fundamental analysis on practical examples from today’s market.

Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture Limited (ASX:JJF) outperformed the Packaged Foods and Meats industry on the basis of its ROE – producing a higher 14.3% relative to the peer average of 9.6% over the past 12 months. On the surface, this looks fantastic since we know that JJF has made large profits from little equity capital; however, ROE doesn’t tell us if management have borrowed heavily to make this happen. We’ll take a closer look today at factors like financial leverage to determine whether JJF’s ROE is actually sustainable.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture

Breaking down ROE — the mother of all ratios

Return on Equity (ROE) weighs Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture’s profit against the level of its shareholders’ equity. It essentially shows how much the company can generate in earnings given the amount of equity it has raised. While a higher ROE is preferred in most cases, there are several other factors we should consider before drawing any conclusions.

Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders Equity

ROE is assessed against cost of equity, which is measured using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) – but let’s not dive into the details of that today. For now, let’s just look at the cost of equity number for Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture, which is 8.6%. This means Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture returns enough to cover its own cost of equity, with a buffer of 5.7%. This sustainable practice implies that the company pays less for its capital than what it generates in return. ROE can be dissected into three distinct ratios: net profit margin, asset turnover, and financial leverage. This is called the Dupont Formula:

Dupont Formula

ROE = profit margin × asset turnover × financial leverage

ROE = (annual net profit ÷ sales) × (sales ÷ assets) × (assets ÷ shareholders’ equity)

ROE = annual net profit ÷ shareholders’ equity

ASX:JJF Last Perf September 19th 18
ASX:JJF Last Perf September 19th 18

The first component is profit margin, which measures how much of sales is retained after the company pays for all its expenses. Asset turnover reveals how much revenue can be generated from Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture’s asset base. Finally, financial leverage will be our main focus today. It shows how much of assets are funded by equity and can show how sustainable the company’s capital structure is. Since ROE can be inflated by excessive debt, we need to examine Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture’s debt-to-equity level. At 10.2%, Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture’s debt-to-equity ratio appears low and indicates the above-average ROE is generated from its capacity to increase profit without a large debt burden.

ASX:JJF Historical Debt September 19th 18
ASX:JJF Historical Debt September 19th 18

Next Steps:

While ROE is a relatively simple calculation, it can be broken down into different ratios, each telling a different story about the strengths and weaknesses of a company. Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture’s above-industry ROE is encouraging, and is also in excess of its cost of equity. ROE is not likely to be inflated by excessive debt funding, giving shareholders more conviction in the sustainability of high returns. Although ROE can be a useful metric, it is only a small part of diligent research.

For Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture, I’ve put together three pertinent factors you should further examine:

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.

  2. Valuation: What is Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture is currently mispriced by the market.

  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of Jiajiafu Modern Agriculture? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.