New California home sales numbers are out. What we’ve learned

Home sales in California grew by double digits for the second straight month in February as buyers took advantage of falling mortgage rates, according to data released this week by the California Association of Realtors.

The sale of single-family homes statewide climbed 12.8% in February after January saw sales up nearly 15% over the prior month.

Median prices were also higher in every region.

The San Francisco Bay Area, with the state’s highest median home price of $1,256,000, saw sales and prices climb by double digits month over month and year over year, according to CAR.

Southern California, where the median single-family home is $825,000, saw prices climb by a modest 5% last month and nearly 11% over February of last year.

This is California’s most affordable coastal county

“Home sales are actually increasing throughout the United States, and it has a lot to do with lower interest rates at the beginning of the year,” Oscar Wei, the Association’s deputy chief economist, told KTLA 5 News. “Interest rates hit a high of around 8% in October of last year and then started declining a little because inflation started to ease.”

As of March 19, the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage was 6.74%, according to government-backed lender Freddie Mac, which is still far from the all-time low of 2.65% that homebuyers enjoyed during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Even small declines in mortgage rates, Wei says, are appealing to prospective homebuyers, many of whom were sitting on the sidelines as rates soared.

“You can only delay so long,” Wei says. “You want to expand your family. You want to buy a bigger house because you have additional people in your household. You can put it off for maybe six months or a year, but then eventually, you have to make a decision.”

Wei, however, cautions that California home sales might not continue their gains through March as mortgage rates have edged higher in recent weeks.

“It would not be a surprise if we start seeing some softening this month and maybe in April, but I do believe that, as we move more into the home-buying season, we will probably see some improvement in both price and sales,” he said.

February 2024 California Single-Family Home Sales

Region/County

Feb 2024

Jan 2024

Feb 2023

Price MTM%

Price YTY%

Sales MTM%

Sales YTY%

Statewide

$806,490

$789,480

$735,300

2.2%

9.7%

12.8%

1.3%

Condo/Twnhs

$660,000

$630,000

$615,000

4.8%

7.3%

24.3%

15.0%

Los Angeles Metro

$790,000

$750,000

$710,000

5.3%

11.3%

13.2%

6.7%

Central Coast

$950,000

$926,000

$856,000

2.6%

11.0%

15.6%

18.7%

Central Valley

$478,200

$460,000

$450,000

4.0%

6.3%

11.2%

0.8%

Far North

$379,000

$361,500

$369,000

4.8%

2.7%

1.4%

12.5%

Inland Empire

$576,500

$559,280

$549,900

3.1%

4.8%

14.8%

3.9%

S.F. Bay Area

$1,256,500

$1,100,000

$1,025,000

14.2%

22.6%

24.8%

14.9%

Southern Calif.

$825,000

$786,000

$744,400

5.0%

10.8%

14.7%

7.0%

S.F. Bay Area

Feb-24

Jan-24

Feb-23

Price MTM%

Price YTY%

Sales MTM%

Sales YTY%

Alameda

$1,300,000

$1,103,000

$1,066,000

17.9%

22.0%

40.6%

9.8%

Contra Costa

$850,000

$770,000

$750,000

10.4%

13.3%

20.0%

11.9%

Marin

$1,610,000

$1,524,500

$1,447,500

5.6%

11.2%

19.0%

-9.2%

Napa

$882,500

$989,500

$830,000

-10.8%

6.3%

52.9%

36.8%

San Francisco

$1,590,000

$1,530,000

$1,465,000

3.9%

8.5%

46.2%

41.7%

San Mateo

$1,922,500

$1,975,000

$2,080,000

-2.7%

-7.6%

56.7%

22.1%

Santa Clara

$1,808,890

$1,710,440

$1,500,000

5.8%

20.6%

25.9%

32.8%

Solano

$580,000

$575,000

$555,000

0.9%

4.5%

-0.5%

5.8%

Sonoma

$826,500

$829,900

$774,500

-0.4%

6.7%

-2.9%

-3.4%

Southern Calif.

Feb-24

Jan-24

Feb-23

Price MTM%

Price YTY%

Sales MTM%

Sales YTY%

Imperial

$355,000

$380,000

$325,000

-6.6%

9.2%

2.9%

-2.7%

Los Angeles

$817,100

$833,000

$726,870

-1.9%

12.4%

8.4%

6.3%

Orange

$1,350,000

$1,320,000

$1,159,000

2.3%

16.5%

23.6%

12.4%

Riverside

$636,000

$610,000

$595,000

4.3%

6.9%

23.1%

7.0%

San Bernardino

$477,070

$477,500

$466,500

-0.1%

2.3%

1.1%

-1.8%

San Diego

$980,000

$925,000

$878,000

5.9%

11.6%

20.9%

8.1%

Ventura

$890,000

$870,000

$805,000

2.3%

10.6%

9.6%

14.2%

Central Coast

Feb-24

Jan-24

Feb-23

Price MTM%

Price YTY%

Sales MTM%

Sales YTY%

Monterey

$860,000

$825,000

$775,500

4.2%

10.9%

5.4%

-2.0%

San Luis Obispo

$900,000

$910,000

$795,000

-1.1%

13.2%

24.8%

36.0%

Santa Barbara

$976,000

$1,280,000

$860,000

-23.8%

13.5%

13.8%

23.4%

Santa Cruz

$1,232,500

$1,190,000

$1,201,000

3.6%

2.6%

16.4%

12.3%

Central Valley

Feb-24

Jan-24

Feb-23

Price MTM%

Price YTY%

Sales MTM%

Sales YTY%

Fresno

$420,000

$406,000

$385,000

3.4%

9.1%

7.7%

-1.3%

Glenn

$360,000

$349,000

$295,000

3.2%

22.0%

22.2%

57.1%

Kern

$386,500

$375,000

$375,000

3.1%

3.1%

9.5%

8.0%

Kings

$339,950

$365,000

$352,000

-6.9%

-3.4%

14.3%

9.8%

Madera

$417,880

$466,080

$378,000

-10.3%

10.6%

53.5%

46.7%

Merced

$401,600

$380,000

$381,950

5.7%

5.1%

8.2%

50.0%

Placer

$650,000

$620,000

$631,250

4.8%

3.0%

19.4%

-9.0%

Sacramento

$530,000

$515,000

$499,000

2.9%

6.2%

18.0%

0.4%

San Benito

$795,000

$760,000

$730,000

4.6%

8.9%

16.7%

25.0%

San Joaquin

$529,000

$530,000

$513,900

-0.2%

2.9%

-2.0%

-9.4%

Stanislaus

$460,000

$450,000

$430,000

2.2%

7.0%

1.8%

-4.7%

Tulare

$359,990

$349,000

$340,000

3.1%

5.9%

-2.5%

-5.4%

Far North

Feb-24

Jan-24

Feb-23

Price MTM%

Price YTY%

Sales MTM%

Sales YTY%

Butte

$451,120

$390,000

$405,000

15.7%

11.4%

13.8%

-12.0%

Lassen

$263,000

$229,000

$212,500

14.8%

23.8%

28.6%

50.0%

Plumas

$370,000

$363,620

$305,000

1.8%

21.3%

0.0%

112.5%

Shasta

$366,250

$395,000

$350,000

-7.3%

4.6%

-6.5%

13.4%

Siskiyou

$340,000

$329,000

$208,000

3.3%

63.5%

10.5%

23.5%

Tehama

$349,000

$340,000

$332,000

2.6%

5.1%

-11.5%

4.5%

Trinity

$280,000

$402,500

NA

-30.4%

NA

250.0%

NA

Other Counties

Feb-24

Jan-24

Feb-23

Price MTM%

Price YTY%

Sales MTM%

Sales YTY%

Amador

$407,500

$444,500

$415,000

-8.3%

-1.8%

-15.8%

3.2%

Calaveras

$475,000

$434,500

$437,500

9.3%

8.6%

-29.5%

3.3%

Del Norte

$295,000

$295,000

$300,000

0.0%

-1.7%

33.3%

50.0%

El Dorado

$647,500

$650,000

$622,000

-0.4%

4.1%

34.5%

29.0%

Humboldt

$420,000

$410,000

$417,250

2.4%

0.7%

18.5%

28.0%

Lake

$315,000

$325,000

$305,000

-3.1%

3.3%

-8.9%

7.9%

Mariposa

$390,000

$431,500

$353,000

-9.6%

10.5%

-33.3%

60.0%

Mendocino

$499,000

$494,000

$495,500

1.0%

0.7%

-21.4%

22.2%

Mono

$1,097,500

$1,304,500

$802,500

-15.9%

36.8%

300.0%

300.0%

Nevada

$530,000

$525,000

$475,000

1.0%

11.6%

-5.3%

2.9%

Sutter

$415,000

$435,000

$412,500

-4.6%

0.6%

-2.8%

-20.5%

Tuolumne

$430,000

$360,750

$361,000

19.2%

19.1%

-8.3%

77.4%

Yolo

$618,940

$600,360

$545,000

3.1%

13.6%

9.2%

18.6%

Yuba

$426,500

$455,000

$432,760

-6.3%

-1.4%

30.4%

22.4%

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