Grammy Predictions: The Rap Field
Kanye West and Jay-Z, whose shelves are already jammed with Grammys, could win three more awards this year: Best Rap Song, Best Rap Performance and Best Rap/Sung Collaboration. A clean sweep of these three awards would boost West’s Grammy count to 21; Jay-Z’s to 17.
Watch The Throne, the pair’s chart-topping 2011 collaboration, was nominated for Best Rap Album last year, but lost to West’s My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy. Even so, one of its tracks, “Otis,” won last year for Best Rap Performance. This year, its most successful track, “N****s In Paris,” is likely to win two awards. A third track from the album, “No Church In The Wild,” has a good chance to also win.
Best Rap Album
The nominees: Drake’s Take Care, Lupe Fiasco’s Food & Liquor II: The Great American Rap Album, Pt. 1, Nas’ Life Is Good, The Roots’ Undun, Rick Ross’ God Forgives, I Don’t, 2 Chainz’ Based On A T.R.U. Story.
The discussion: This is 2Chainz’s first studio album; Drake’s second; Lupe Fiasco’s fourth; Ross’ fifth; Nas’ 10th and the Roots’ 11th.
Drake’s album is by far the best-seller of the five nominees. In fact, it has sold more copies than the other five albums combined.
Five of the six nominees have yet to win a Grammy. The exception is the Roots, which has won two Grammys, including Best R&B Album for Wake Up!, a 2010 collabo with John Legend.
This probably comes down to a showdown between Drake and Nas, who has been a leader in rap since 1994.
The pick: Drake.
Best Rap Song
The nominees: Nas’ “Daughters” (which he co-wrote with Ernest Wilson), “Lotus Flower Bomb” by Wale featuring Miguel (which they co-wrote with S. Joseph Dew, Jerrin Howard and Walker Johnson), “Mercy” by Kanye West featuring Big Sean, Pusha T & 2 Chainz (which they co-wrote with Stephan Taft and James Thomas), “The Motto” by Drake featuring Lil’ Wayne (which they co-wrote with Tyler Williams), “N****s In Paris” by Jay-Z/Kanye West (which they co-wrote with Mike Dean and Chauncey Hollis), and “Young, Wild & Free” by Snoop Dogg & Wiz Khalifa featuring Bruno Mars (which they co-wrote with Chris Brody Brown, Philip Lawrence and Ari Levine).
The discussion: Four of these songs were monster hits, with sales of more than 2 million. “Young, Wild & Free” is the best-seller of the bunch, followed by “N****s In Paris,” “The Motto” and “Mercy.”