Metascore Predictions for Summer Movies
The results are in ...
Earlier this month, we asked our users to predict the final Metascores for 30 of this summer's most notable releases (not including a few films, like Spy and Trainwreck, that already had early Metascores). Now that voting has closed, and the nearly 1,600 contributions have been tabulated, we reveal the aggregate results of these predictions below.
Of course, our user predictions haven't exactly been on the money in past years. (View results for 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, and 2010.) Last year, our users overestimated the scores for two-thirds of the films, and on average the consensus predictions were over 9 points off from the actual final scores. We'll post the final results of this year's predictions just after Labor Day weekend.
Metascore predictions from Metacritic users
"Predicted" scores are the median responses from all valid predictions made for each film. The "Actual" scores will update as reviews are added for each film.
Avengers: Age of Ultron Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
73
.
May 1
Marvel's latest blockbuster adds James Spader to an already star-packed ensemble featuring Robert Downey, Jr., Chris Hemsworth, Mark Ruffalo, Chris Evans, Scarlett Johansson, Jeremy Renner, Don Cheadle, and more. Written and directed by Joss Whedon.
Hot Pursuit Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
45
.
May 8
A cop (Reese Witherspoon) and the widow of a drug boss (Sofia Vergara) go on the run in Texas in this action-comedy from director Anne Fletcher (27 Dresses).
Mad Max: Fury Road Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
69
.
May 15
Writer-director George Miller's fourth Mad Max film (and first since 1985's Beyond Thunderdome) stars Tom Hardy and Charlize Theron.
Pitch Perfect 2 Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
60
.
May 15
The sequel to 2012's surprise hit comedy about the cutthroat world of competitive a cappella singing returns stars Anna Kendrick, Skylar Astin, Rebel Wilson, and Brittany Snow (among others). Elizabeth Banks directs.
Poltergeist Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
50
.
May 22
Sam Raimi-produced remake of the 1982 horror classic stars Sam Rockwell, Rosemarie DeWitt, and Jared Harris. Gil Kenan (City of Ember) directs.
Tomorrowland Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
71
.
May 22
Disney's mysterious sci-fi adventure features a script co-written by Damon Lindelof (Lost) and direction from Brad Bird (Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol). George Clooney, Britt Robertson, and Hugh Laurie star.
Aloha Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
63
.
May 29
Writer-director Cameron Crowe's first film since 2011's We Bought a Zoo is a Hawaii-set rom-com starring Bradley Cooper and Emma Stone.
San Andreas Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
43
.
May 29
Disaster film follows the aftermath of a major earthquake in California and stars Dwayne Johnson, Carla Gugino, and Kylie Minogue. Directed by Brad Peyton (Journey 2: The Mysterious Island).
Entourage Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
58
.
June 5
Continuation of the long-running HBO series features returning stars Adrian Grenier, Kevin Connolly, Jerry Ferrara, Kevin Dillon, and Jeremy Piven.
Jurassic World Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
65
.
June 12
Fourth film in the Jurassic Park series (and first since 2001) features a new director (Colin Trevorrow, Safety Not Guaranteed) and a new cast led by Chris Pratt and Bryce Dallas Howard.
Inside Out Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
80
.
June 19
The first of two Pixar releases set for 2015 features a Herman's Head-like premise where various emotions (voiced by the likes of Amy Poehler, Mindy Kaling, Lewis Black, and Bill Hader) battle it out inside the mind of a young girl. Pete Docter (Up) directs.
Ted 2 Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
52
.
June 26
The sequel to Seth MacFarlane's 2012 comedy hit about a foul-mouthed talking teddy bear returns Mark Wahlberg and MacFarlane, and adds Amanda Seyfried.
Magic Mike XXL Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
56
.
July 1
Steven Soderbergh's longtime first assistant director Gregory Jacobs takes over as director for this sequel to the male stripper dramedy Magic Mike that returns stars Channing Tatum, Matt Bomer, and Joe Manganiello.
Terminator Genisys Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
52
.
July 1
The fifth film in the Terminator series serves as a franchise reboot, though it does star Arnold Schwarzenegger. New to the cast are Jason Clarke, Emilia Clarke, and Jai Courtney. Alan Taylor (Thor: The Dark World, Game of Thrones) directs.
Minions Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
65
.
July 10
Spinoff from the Despicable Me franchise focuses on the titular yellow creatures. The vocal cast features Pierre Coffin, Sandra Bullock, and Jon Hamm.
Self/less Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
55
.
July 10
Sci-fi thriller from Tarsem Singh (The Cell, Mirror Mirror) finds a wealthy dying man (Ben Kingsley) transferring his consciousness into the body of Ryan Reynolds.
Ant-Man Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
67
.
July 17
Second Marvel film of the summer stars Paul Rudd as the titular hero. Rudd co-wrote the script alongside Adam McKay, and Peyton Reed (Bring It On), a late replacement for Edgar Wright, directs.
Paper Towns Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
60
.
July 24
The screenwriters of The Fault in Our Stars adapt another John Green teen novel. Nat Wolff and Cara Delevingne star for director Jake Schreier (Robot & Frank).
Pixels Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
43
.
July 24
Classic videogame characters attack the Earth in this action-comedy starring Adam Sandler, Kevin James, Josh Gad, Michelle Monaghan, and Peter Dinklage. Directed by Chris Columbus (Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone).
Southpaw Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
70
.
July 24
Boxing drama stars Jake Gyllenhaal and Rachel McAdams. Antoine Fuqua (The Equalizer) directs from a script by Kurt Sutter (Sons of Anarchy).
The Gift Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
60
.
July 31
Joel Edgerton makes his directorial debut while also writing and starring in this psychological thriller about a couple (Jason Bateman, Rebecca Hall) haunted by their past.
Mission: Impossible—Rogue Nation Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
70
.
July 31
Tom Cruise returns for his fifth Mission: Impossible installment, joined by Jeremy Renner, Simon Pegg, and Rebecca Ferguson. Christopher McQuarrie (Jack Reacher) directs.
Vacation
Predicted
Actual
48
.
July 31
Reboot of the National Lampoon's Vacation series centers on a grown-up Rusty Griswold (Ed Helms), though Chevy Chase and Beverly D'Angelo return from the original films. Freaks and Geeks star John Francis Daley writes and directs alongside Jonathan Goldstein (Horrible Bosses).
Fantastic Four Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
62
.
August 7
Reboot of the Marvel Comics franchise from director Josh Trank (Chronicle) stars Miles Teller, Kate Mara, Michael B. Jordan, and Jamie Bell.
Masterminds Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
59
.
August 7
Heist comedy from Jared Hess (Napoleon Dynamite) stars Zach Galifianakis, Owen Wilson, Kristen Wiig, and Jason Sudeikis. It's based on a bizarre real-life story.
Ricki and the Flash
Predicted
Actual
69
.
August 7
Dramedy stars Meryl Streep as a woman who once abandoned her family to pursue a career as a rock star, and now looks to put things right years later. Streep's real-life daughter Mamie Gummer co-stars with Kevin Kline and Rick Springfield. Jonathan Demme (The Silence of the Lambs) directs from a script by Diablo Cody (Juno).
The Man From U.N.C.L.E. Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
62
.
August 14
Guy Ritchie (Sherlock Holmes) directs this first big-screen adaptation in nearly 50 years of the 1960s-era TV series about an international spy organization. Henry Cavill, Armie Hammer, Alicia Vikander, and Hugh Grant star.
Straight Outta Compton Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
65
.
August 14
F. Gary Gray (Friday) directs this look at the rise and fall of the legendary rap group N.W.A.
Hitman: Agent 47 Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
39
.
August 28
Rupert Friend stars as the titular assassin in this adapation of the Hitman videogame series. First-timer Aleksander Bach directs.
The following film was originally scheduled for a summer release but was just postponed until the fall:
Pan Watch trailer(s)
Predicted
Actual
64
.
DELAYED TO OCTOBER 9, 2015
Director Joe Wright (Atonement, Anna Karenina) becomes the latest filmmaker to tackle the Peter Pan story with this live action fantasy starring Hugh Jackman, Garrett Hedlund, Rooney Mara, and Levi Miller.
