FEINBERG FORECAST: Updated Projections (With 16 Weeks Until the 85th Oscars)
VFX Community Holding Town Hall Meeting to Address Troubled Business
Every Sunday through the Oscars on Feb. 24, The Hollywood Reporter's awards analyst Scott Feinberg will release a new "Feinberg Forecast," a post in which he recaps the most noteworthy awards-related news of the past week and shares his latest assessment of the standings in each of the major awards categories. (For more information about Feinberg and how he arrives at his projections, see the bottom of this post.)
NOTEWORTHY DEVELOPMENTS SINCE LAST WEEK'S FORECAST:
- This weekend, Disney's best animated feature Oscar hopeful Wreck-It-Ralph topped the box-office leaderboard with $49.1 million in domestic ticket sales, the highest opening-weekend gross for a Disney film ever (breaking the record set over the Thanksgiving weekend two years ago by Tangled). Paramount's Flight, for which Denzel Washington is a strong best actor contender, came in second, raking in a larger-than-anticipated $25 million (almost its entire production budget). And best picture frontrunner Argo continued its impressive run, claiming third place in its fourth weekend with $10.2 million, bringing its domestic total to just under $76 million. Meanwhile, overseas, moviegoers flocked to Skyfall, the newest James Bond film, to the tune of $156 million, bringing its international total to $287 million. The critically acclaimed actioner will open stateside Friday.
- The 26th AFI Fest kicked off with the world premiere of Fox Searchlight's Hitchcock (most Oscar buzz about the film centered around best actor hopeful Anthony Hopkins and best actress hopeful Helen Mirren), as well as gala screenings of 20th Century Fox's Life of Pi, Sundance Selects/IFC Films' On the Road, and DreamWorks Animation's Rise of the Guardians. Still to come: four more days and nights of the fest that will include screenings of Summit's The Impossible, Sony Pictures Classics' Rust and Bone and, to close out the fest, DreamWorks' Lincoln.
- The European Film Academy announced the nominations for the 25th European Film Awards. The six nominees for best European Film of 2012 include four nation's entries for the best foreign language film Oscar -- Austria’s Amour, Germany’s Barbara, Italy’s Caesar Must Die and France’s The Intouchables -- plus Denmark’s The Hunt (the Danes opted to instead submit A Royal Affair) and the U.K.’s Shame (which was Oscar-eligible last year). Other major EFA noms with potential Oscar implications: Michael Haneke (Amour) for best director and best screenwriter; Jean-Louis Trintignant (Amour) for best actor; and Emmanuelle Riva (Amour) for best actress.
- The Cinema Eye Honors announced the nominees for the sixth annual Nonfiction Film Awards, which includes several doc-related categories and which this year were determined by a 25-person nominations committee. The Imposter and Searching for Sugar Man led the field with five noms each; Detropia, Only the Young, Room 237 and Vivan Las Antipodas! wound up with four each. Six films were nominated for the top prize, outstanding achievement in nonfiction feature filmmaking (which was chosen by the nominations committee and more than 60 directors of this year’s eligible films): the aforementioned Detropia, The Imposter and Searching for Sugar Man, plus 5 Broken Cameras, Marina Abramovic: The Artist Is Present and Only the Young.
- The godfather of 3D, Avatar director James Cameron, has offered a strong endorsement of Life of Pi, on which his 3D production company Cameron Pace Group worked. Cameron tells the Los Angeles Times that the film "breaks the paradigm that 3D has to be some big, action fantasy spectacle, superhero movie" and "is visually amazing, inventive and works on you in ways you’re not really aware of. It takes you on a journey, and unless you’ve read the book -- which I hadn’t -- you have no idea where that journey is going. It does what good 3D is supposed to do, which is, it allows you to forget you’re watching a 3D movie."
- Following a packed screening of The Dark Knight Rises on Thursday night at the DGA in Los Angeles, the film's reclusive director, Christopher Nolan, participated in a Q&A that was moderated by fellow director Ron Howard. Nolan's last public appearance prior to that event was on Oct. 22, when he presented his longtime cinematographer Wally Pfister with the Hollywood Cinematographer Award, for his work on The Dark Knight Rises, at the Hollywood Film Awards.
- The Weinstein Co. released a long clip of its best picture Oscar hopeful Silver Linings Playbook, featuring the scene in the diner in which best actress Oscar hopeful Jennifer Lawrence excites best actor Oscar hopeful Bradley Cooper by recounting her sexual past.