2014 Oscar Predictions: Meet the Lock-Down Winners, Dark Horses … and All Those Also-Rans
Bookmark this page and come back often as Yahoo Movies experts Thelma Adams and Kevin Polowy update their Oscar predictions throughout awards season. Here's Round 1:
It's time for the rubber to meet the road. As movies that were hot out of the gates at the early prestige festivals — Toronto and Telluride — start to meet the marketplace, some rise and some fall. Is the box office behemoth "Gravity" supplanting critical darling "12 Years a Slave?" It's hard to imagine two films more different — a period ensemble drama and a sci-fi two-hander — so there could be a lot of room for maneuvering between those two poles.
That's good news for "Nebraska" a black-and-white father-and-son road movie from Alexander Payne, Judi Dench's crowd-pleaser "Philomena," "Dallas Buyers Club" and Tom Hanks's other movie, "Saving Mr. Banks."
And we're still holding our breath for unseen hopefuls like David O. Russell's "American Hustle" and Martin Scorsese's bashful collaboration with Leonardo DiCaprio, "The Wolf of Wall Street." Meanwhile, sadly, George Clooney's "The Monuments Men" has decamped to 2014 along with the Nicole Kidman vehicle "Grace of Monaco" and Bennett Miller's "Foxcatcher."
Will the fickle Academy remain high on "12 Years" and "Gravity?" Or be tempted by new high profile entries? We'll see. Early frontrunners in BOLD.
Thelma Adams: While most Oscarologists are still holding onto "12 Years a Slave," a hit on the art-house circuit, the monster success of "Gravity" at the box office — and in early Academy screenings — show that there's a new boss in town.
Kevin Polowy: Consider me fickle. There was a short period of time after being rock(et)ed by "Gravity" that I thought it might take over the race. But in terms of staying power, the intensely visceral and potent "Slave " still seems like the favorite.
"12 Years a Slave" (T.A., K.P.)
"American Hustle" (T.A., K.P.)
"August: Osage County" (K.P.)
"The Butler" (T.A.)
"Captain Phillips" (K.P.)
"Dallas Buyers Club" (T.A.)
"Fruitvale Station" (T.A., K.P.)
"Gravity" (T.A., K.P.)
"Inside Llewyn Davis" (K.P.)
"Nebraska" (T.A., K.P.)
"Saving Mr. Banks" (T.A., K.P.)
"The Wolf of Wall Street" (T.A., K.P.)
"All Is Lost"
"The Book Thief"
"The Secret Life of Walter Mitty"
Sandra Bullock and George Clooney in "Gravity" (Photo Credit: Warner Bros.)