Minty Bets, Jared Quay & Matt Gothard give their picks for the Alabama-Notre Dame & Clemson-Ohio State CFP Semifinals on New Year's Day.
MINTY BETS: It's the College Football Playoff, everyone. I'm here with Matt Gothard and Jared Quay here to give you our best bets. Let's start with a Rose Bowl in Arlington, Texas.
We've got Alabama favored by 19.5 points against Notre Dame. And the total is at 65.5. Jared, let's start with you. What is your pick for this game?
JARED QUAY: I mean, Alabama's been a sure bet this whole season. And it sucks that I'm going against them. But I think 2021 is going to be different than 2020. I'm going with Notre Dame here, plus 19.5. It's extremely hard for a team to get blown out twice.
Just statistically speaking, it's hard to do. I think Notre Dame has more than enough time to prepare. And if you're going to beat Alabama, the key to the game is to not let their offense have the ball because they can score any time they want.
So I think they slow the game down here. So it's probably going to go under too. Yeah, I like Notre Dame. But 19.5 points, that means just like, hey, man, go out there and try to be a decent football team. And I think Notre Dame can do that.
MATT GOTHARD: I'm definitely not going to take Notre Dame in this game. I think they're going to get blown out. But I don't necessarily know if they're going to lose by 20. That's why I'mma be going over here.
Bama can score on almost every single drive. But you can almost score on every single drive against Alabama's defense. So over 65.5, it's a high number, but I think we're going to get there.
MINTY BETS: I think this is kind of a risky bet on my part, but I like Alabama favored by 19.5 points. Their offense is averaging 50 points per game. Defense is allowing less than 20 points per game from their opponents. They've won by double-digits in all but one game this season. And they're 6 and 2 against the spread when favored by 20 points or more just this season.
So give me Bama. And in the Sugar Bowl in New Orleans, Louisiana, we've got the Clemson Tigers favored by 7.5 points, taking on the Ohio State Buckeyes. Total's set at 65. And this is a Fiesta Bowl rematch. Now, Jared, let's get your pick for this game.
JARED QUAY: I didn't like Ohio State getting into the playoffs because they haven't played enough games. And that's why I really don't like betting this one because I haven't watched enough games with them. They haven't had enough to know if you're really going or really bad. They look really bad. But I'm not going to bet Clemson minus 7.5 against Ohio State that's undefeated.
That's why I'm going the over here. Ohio State's offensive line isn't great. And their defensive line isn't great, which means there might be a lot of turnovers. And turnovers usually lead to lots of points.
So give me the over 65.5 here. I really think this game could be a lot. It could be a solid 30 to 35-- 30 to 45, if really want, type of game. So I'm going over here because I can't pick a side.
MATT GOTHARD: I'm going Ohio State with the 7.5. That hook makes it a must bet for me here. I know a lot of ACC fans out there want to say the ACC's played a full season. The Big Ten has not. They're probably right when they say that.
But Ohio State is still a solid team. They've consistently performed well in the playoffs. So I like them in this game. I don't think that they're going to pull the upset. But I do like them to keep this one close.
MINTY BETS: I don't like that we don't agree with each other on any of these Bowl games. But I actually like Clemson minus 7.5 here. I really like Trevor Lawrence and Travis Etienne. Both these offenses are looking dominant. But I give the edge to Clemson, as their defense is slightly better.
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