Get ready for some sexcursions.
Keith M: There are a few issues here. First, this article suggests a certain level of confirmation bias as the choice is war now or war later. This limits the number of variables to consider. Disarmament, diplomacy, a coup, an information war/propaganda campaign to encourage revolution, etc. are simply outside the parameters of analysis (as none are incorporated into the deterrence framework). Second, I am still looking into the author. His Twitter account was only created August 2017 and his botometer score is 55%. He appears no where on the LSE website as a Research Fellow. I have emailed the LSE in an attempt to verify that he is not a bot, but I have not heard back yet. We must all attempt to verify information in this age of pseudo-events, bots, and propaganda.