The Voice Top 4 iTunes Rankings: Who's Going to Win Season 9?

On paper, tonight’s Season 9 finale of The Voice is a four horse race — but the week’s iTunes rankings tell a tale of two ponies pulling away from the pack, and the photo-finish cameras bracing for a head-bob at the finish line.

RELATEDThe Voice Season 9 Performance Finale Recap: Crossing Jordan

All season long, Jordan Smith has shown Secretariat-like dominance in the downloads department — a trend that held true this week, with the Kentucky native’s solo efforts landing at Nos. 1 and 3 on the iTunes Top 200 singles chart. (Duets with coaches are eligible for download, but do not count as votes, according to NBC.) When you factor in the fact that all of the Top 4’s eligible downloads since Nov. 9 will count toward their finale vote totals, it’s hard to fathom the producers’ clear favorite getting beat.

That said, Emily Ann Roberts had a stellar finale, too, with her tunes winding up at Nos. 2 and 13 at the close of voting. (Her duet with Blake Shelton landed at No. 6.) As evidenced by Barrett Baber sneaking into last week’s Top 3 despite ranking eighth out of nine contestants on iTunes, the force is strong with Team Blake — apparently/especially with online and Voice app voters. If the Tennessee teenager ekes out a win, it would hardly be the strangest thing to happen on NBC’s reality singing competition this year (remember when Adam went bald?).

RELATEDRatings: NBC’s Adele Concert Hits High Notes, Top Music Special in 10 Years

As for Jeffery Austin and Barrett Baber… let’s just say it’s an excellent consolation prize that they managed to perform for 12 million viewers every single week of the live performance telecasts. I know, I know… I’ve been Team Jeffery since #SheFani (ugh) wasn’t even a hashtag, but the numbers don’t lie.

Jeffery may have a slight edge in the battle for third place, seeing how he’s still got two tracks from prior weeks — “Believe” and “Jealous” — on the Top 200 (at Nos. 53 and 104 respectively), outperforming a similar number Barrett (“I’d Love to Lay You Down” and “Ghost” at Nos. 103 and 199).

As for Jordan and Emily Ann’s recordings from prior weeks, the edge goes to Jordan, who’s got seven older tunes — “Chandelier,” “Great Is Thy Faithfulness,” “Hallelujah,” “Halo,” “Set Fire to the Rain,” “Somebody to Love” and “Who You Are” — ranked between No. 10 and No. 76 at the close of voting. Emily Ann has the same number of oldies in the Top 200 — “Blame It on Your Heart,” “Cowboy Take Me Away,” “I Hope You Dance,” “In the Garden,” “She’s Got You,” “Why Not Me,” and “9 to 5” — but none rank higher than No. 61.

RELATED20 Funniest TV Moments of 2015

Factoring in the Cumulative iTunes Vote Total and the iTunes Multiplier (which rewards artists with a 10x bonus in votes for cracking the Top 10), we’re predicting the following order of finish:

Winner: Jordan Smith
Runner-Up: Emily Ann Roberts
Third Place: Jeffery Austin
Fourth Place: Barrett Baber

Ranking on iTunes Singles Chart at Close of Voting (Tuesday, Noon ET)
1. Jordan Smith, “Mary Did You Know”
2. Emily Ann Roberts, “Burning House”
3. Jordan Smith, “Climb Ev’ry Mountain”
5. Jordan Smith (duet with Adam Levine), “God Only Knows” (ineligible for voting)
6. Emily Ann Roberts (duet with Blake Shelton), “Islands in the Stream” (ineligible for voting)
7. Barrett Baber, “Die a Happy Man”
9. Jeffery Austin, Sugarland’s “Stay”
13. Emily Ann Roberts, “Blue Christmas”
15. Jeffery Austin (duet with Gwen Stefani), “Leather and Lace” (ineligible for voting)
18. Barrett Baber (duet with Blake Shelton), “Rhinestone Cowboy” (ineligible for voting)
20. Barrett Baber, “Silent Night”
21. Jeffery Austin, “O Holy Night”

Older Season 9 Singles Still in the Top 200 at the Close of Voting (Tuesday, Noon ET)
10. Jordan Smith, “Somebody to Love”
17. Jordan Smith, “Hallelujah”
34. Jordan Smith, “Great Is Thy Faithfulness”
42. Jordan Smith, “Halo”
45. Jordan Smith, “Chandelier”
50. Jordan Smith, “Set Fire to the Rain”
53. Jeffery Austin, Believe”
61. Emily Ann Roberts, “9 to 5”
74. Emily Ann Roberts, “She’s Got You”
76. Jordan Smith, “Who You Are”
80. Emily Ann Roberts, “I Hope You Dance”
82. Emily Ann Roberts, “Why Not Me”
90. Emily Ann Roberts, “Cowboy Take Me Away”
103. Barrett Baber, “I’d Love to Lay You Down”
104. Jeffery Austin, “Jealous”
106. Emily Ann Roberts, “In the Garden”
166. Emily Ann Roberts, “Blame It on Your Heart”
199. Barrett Baber, “Ghost”

Who do you think will win Season 9? And who should? Take our polls below, then hit the comments!

Related stories

All About Eve: Grimm's Bitsie Tulloch Talks Her Intriguing New Alter Ego

Ratings: NCIS: New Orleans, Limitless Hold Steady vs. Voice Season Finale

Tonight Show Video: Harrison Ford, Carrie Fisher Join Star Wars Medley

Get more from TVLine: Follow us on Twitter, Facebook, Newsletter