UKG Inc. -- Moody's changes UKG's ratings outlook to negative; affirms B2 CFR

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Rating Action: Moody's changes UKG's ratings outlook to negative; affirms B2 CFRGlobal Credit Research - 22 Dec 2021New York, December 22, 2021 -- Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") affirmed UKG Inc.'s (UKG) existing ratings, including its B2 Corporate Family Rating (CFR) and the B1 and Caa1 ratings for its 1st lien and 2nd lien credit facilities, respectively, and changed the ratings outlook to negative, from stable. The rating action was prompted by the cybersecurity incident that affected certain parts of UKG's business, the impact of which could further pressure the company's already weak credit metrics.Affirmations:..Issuer: UKG Inc..... Corporate Family Rating, Affirmed B2.... Probability of Default Rating, Affirmed B2-PD....Senior Secured 1st Lien Term Loan, Affirmed B1 (LGD3)....Senior Secured 1st Lien Revolving Credit Facility, Affirmed B1 (LGD3)....Senior Secured 2nd Lien Term Loan, Affirmed Caa1 (LGD6)Outlook Actions:..Issuer: UKG Inc.....Outlook, Changed To Negative From StableRATINGS RATIONALEUKG reported that it became aware of a ransomware incident on December 11, 2021, that affected Kronos Private Cloud--the environment where some of its UKG Workforce Central, UKG TeleStaff, Healthcare Extensions, and Banking Scheduling Solutions are deployed. The company currently estimates that only a limited number of customers that use the affected solutions (which are hosted on third-party data centers) are affected. UKG's customers using affected solutions are unable to use these solutions that perform critical operations, including workforce scheduling, tracking attendance, and payroll services. Moody's views data breaches and related litigation costs and reputational damage as social risks that could negatively impact customer relations.As with the prior cybersecurity breaches of software vendors, the full extent of the effects of the cybersecurity breach may not be clear for several months. Cybersecurity incidents can affect credit profile in a number of ways. UKG will face uncertainty over the intermediate term from: (i) the costs and expenses related to the breach in excess of the company's insurance coverages; (ii) potential legal liability, especially if the data breach included any sensitive confidential information; (iii) service-level credits the company may be required to offer to affected customers; iv) increase in future insurance coverage costs; and, (v) the potential impact on software bookings and renewals. In addition, cybersecurity incidents can consume significant management resources and prove to be a distraction for management in executing business strategy.At the same time, Moody's believes that UKG's revenues likely affected by the cybersecurity incident represent a minority share of the company's approximately $3.3 billion of annual revenues. This estimate incorporates UKG's disclosure about the products and environment currently known to be impacted by the incident. The affected products are part of legacy Kronos Incorporated's portfolio. UKG was formed after the merger between Kronos Incorporated and The Ultimate Software Group, Inc. in April 2020. Both companies had nearly equal revenues on a standalone basis prior to the merger. The majority of Kronos and Ultimate Software's solutions are still being integrated and operate in separate environments. Furthermore, Moody's believes that the majority of Kronos' customers host its legacy Workforce Central services in their on-premise environments -- separate from Kronos Private Cloud -- and the customers of its native cloud solutions (such as Dimensions and Ready) use Google Cloud Platform, which both are unaffected by the cybersecurity incident.The negative outlook is primarily driven by governance and social risk considerations. Earlier in December 2021, UKG raised $1.5 billion of new debt to fund an approximately $1 billion of potential distribution to its shareholders and it retained $500 million of cash for future acquisitions. The increase in debt left the company weakly positioned in the B2 rating category, with limited cushion to absorb the impact from potential execution challenges. The impact of the cybersecurity incident could further pressure the company's already weak credit metrics. The negative outlook additionally reflects the risk that UKG's revenue growth of at least 10%, driven by subscription revenue growth in the mid to high teens percentages, that underpinned its B2 CFR, may not materialize in the intermediate term.The affirmation of the B2 CFR is supported by UKG's large operating scale and management's strong track record of execution and generating strong revenue growth. UKG is as a large vendor of Human Capital Management (HCM) software with strong market positions in the Workforce Management (WFM), Human Resources software, and Payroll processing segments. If UKG does not suffer enduring reputational harm, it has good growth opportunities from converting legacy Kronos' maintenance-paying customers into subscription services with higher lifetime revenues and increasing penetration of HR software and payroll services in small and mid-size enterprise accounts. Moody's also considers UKG's strong equity cushion resulting from its large base of recurring software revenues and the likely support from financial sponsors given their significant investments in UKG. UKG's history of high financial risk tolerance and its very high leverage constrain the rating.UKG has adequate liquidity. The company maintains a $425 million of revolving credit facility. It had approximately $262 million of cash at fiscal year ended September 2021, pro forma for the financing transactions completed in December 2021, and excluding the cash earmarked for future acquisitions. These sources of liquidity, coupled with Moody's estimates of over $300 million of free cash flow prior to the cybersecurity incident provide adequate cushion to absorb the negative impact from the cybersecurity incident and potential cash outlays to settle previously committed stock-based incentive payments.FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGSGiven UKG's very high leverage and downside risks from the cybersecurity incident, a rating upgrade is not expected in the intermediate term.Moody's could downgrade UKG's ratings if its liquidity position weakens, or Moody's expects UKG's organic revenue growth is unlikely to be sustained above 10% over the next 12 to 18 month and free cash flow (after settling share-based payments liability) will remain below 2% of total adjusted debt for an extended period of time.UKG Inc. was formerly known as The Ultimate Software Group, Inc. The company is a leading provider of workforce management, human resources and payroll software applications. Affiliates of Hellman & Friedman have controlling equity interest in the company. Funds affiliated with Blackstone, GIC, Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, and JMI Equity own minority interests in UKG.The principal methodology used in these ratings was Software Industry published in August 2018 and available at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1130740. Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.REGULATORY DISCLOSURESFor further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found at: https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_79004.For ratings issued on a program, series, category/class of debt or security this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series, category/class of debt, security or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. 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Please refer to Moody's Policy for Designating and Assigning Unsolicited Credit Ratings available on its website www.moodys.com.Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.Moody's general principles for assessing environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks in our credit analysis can be found at http://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1288235.At least one ESG consideration was material to the credit rating action(s) announced and described above.The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU and is endorsed by Moody's Deutschland GmbH, An der Welle 5, Frankfurt am Main 60322, Germany, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's office that issued the credit rating is available on www.moodys.com.The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the UK and is endorsed by Moody's Investors Service Limited, One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E14 5FA under the law applicable to credit rating agencies in the UK. Further information on the UK endorsement status and on the Moody's office that issued the credit rating is available on www.moodys.com.Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating. Raj Joshi VP - Senior Credit Officer Corporate Finance Group Moody's Investors Service, Inc. 250 Greenwich Street New York, NY 10007 U.S.A. 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