‘The Traitors’ season 2 finale rankings: Who WILL win, who MIGHT win, who WON’T win?

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When “The Traitors” Season 2 finale drops Thursday, March 7 on Peacock, the game will finally swing in favor of the faithfuls and their faction will likely be victorious. Though Phaedra Parks dominated the Round Table for the traitors week after week, she was finally banished on February 29, leaving her final recruit Kate Chastain as the last traitor standing against five faithfuls: Chris “C.T.” TamburelloMercedes “MJ” JavidSandra Diaz-TwineShereé Whitfield and Trishelle Cannatella.

In order to win, Kate will execute one more murder and then have to successfully avoid being banished in any subsequent Round Table vote where the faithfuls will be asked to banish again or end the game. If they unanimously choose to end the game and Kate is still alive, Kate will take the entire prize pot for herself. Only after the faithfuls banish Kate can their unanimous decision to end the game result in a win for their faction — but how many votes will that take and who will still be alive to claim victory?

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Below are our thoughts heading into the Season 2 finale in a power rankings from who WILL win to who WON’T win. Agree or disagree? Read through our hot take and then sound off in the reality TV forums to share your predictions for how the game will come to an end.

WILL win:

1. Shereé Whitfield (“The Real Housewives of Atlanta”)
2. Mercedes “MJ” Javid (“Shahs of Sunset”)

In this final stage of the game, winning as a faithful will depend entirely on two things: a keen awareness of who left could be a traitor and not being a suspect of anyone else. Of those left, the two players that have never come under suspicion as possible traitors are Shereé and MJ, meaning they are the least likely to come up as possible banishments at all. So for them to win all they’ll need to do is stay in the voting majority and go with the group votes to oust the final traitor. The one hiccup we can foresee is a blind loyalty to Kate as a fellow “Bravo girl,” but since turning on their friend and ally Phaedra they should be primed to make a similar decision a second time. They will also benefit from being the least likely target from Kate for her final murder, especially MJ who earned the final shield in the game at the last mission.

MIGHT win:

3. Chris “C.T.” Tamburello (“The Challenge”)

Because C.T.’s strongest connection in the house was always Phaedra, there is a chance that Kate could choose him for her final murder, ending his hopes of outlasting the rest as a winner among the faithful. But if we’re right that Kate will murder Trishelle instead, C.T. would only lose if Kate wins (we don’t think this will happen) or the other faithfuls vote to banish him. If Trishelle is indeed murdered, C.T. will be a man alone against the likely voting block of the “Bravo girls” (Kate included). At that point, in order to remain alive he will be at the mercy of fellow faithfuls MJ and Shereé being certain that he’s a faithful and that Kate is not. If/when they decide to banish Kate and she is revealed as a traitor, it should, in theory, be smooth sailing for C.T. to share the prize pot with both Shereé and MJ.

4. Sandra Diaz-Twine (“Survivor”)

Knowing that she had to avoid being murdered at night, Sandra skillfully navigated the game as a faithful by sticking close to players she thought were executing the nightly kills. Her strategy got her to this point, but prior to Phaedra’s banishment, Kate was planting seeds that Sandra could be the traitor working with her. For this reason, Kate probably won’t murder Sandra, preferring her as the best option to target for the final banishment. Kate would easily have the majority against Sandra if both MJ and Shereé vote with her, especially since MJ was already falling prey to Kate’s deception. As shown in the final moments of episode 10, Sandra was pinged by Kate calling Phaedra “selfish” at the last Round Table so she will have a strong argument to make against Kate, but will she have the numbers? Without voting power Sandra will have to pull off a major upset, so we’re 50/50 on whether or not she can avoid a seemingly inevitable late-game banishment.

WON’T win:

5. Trishelle Cannatella (“The Real World: Las Vegas”)

Looking at the five faithfuls alive prior to Kate’s final murder, Trishelle sticks out like a sore thumb. Kate is notoriously one of the pettiest players in the game and will probably kill the faithful she least wants to see win the game. As a veteran player, she will also realize that her only chance of winning is to leave in players who trust her and others that she can throw under the bus as suspects. Because Trishelle was at the front of the firing line against Phaedra, she is the least likely to come up for banishment and since Kate will have no loyalty to her (like she does the others), she will be an easy target for the final murder.

6. Kate Chastain (“Below Deck”)

As the last remaining traitor and one more kill to execute (an act that will prove there is at least one traitor left), Kate’s only chance of winning is to narrow the game down to a final two players. With Kate alive at the final two, there is no majority vote and so she will win by default once it’s revealed she’s a traitor. For Kate to get to that point though will be a miracle — she’d have to sit in the majority of banishments on three faithful players without ever becoming the banished herself. Instead, we think Kate could survive one banishment, but will likely be voted out in the Firepit of Truth at the final four.

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