SAG Predictions: Best Supporting Actor – Daniel Kaluuya Stakes His Claim for ‘Judas and the Black Messiah’

Clayton Davis
·6 min read

Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE COLLECTIVE

More from Variety

DRAFT>>>PRE SEASON>>>REGULAR SEASON>>>POST SEASON

2021 SAG AWARDS PREDICTIONS:
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

UPDATED: Jan. 14, 2020

The social embargo lifted for Shaka King’s powerful “Judas and the Black Messiah” and the praise was loud, especially for Daniel Kaluuya as Fred Hampton. Paul Raci currently leads in supporting actor prizes but is unknown by actors. While still in the conversation for a nomination, he’s not an assured thing and there’s still some time to go. With that said, this could be the place where LAFCA winner Glynn Turman turns the spotlight on him with his scene-stealing work in “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom.” Chadwick Boseman could also find himself with four nominations on the day (two in individual acting and two in the ensemble categories), which coincidentally, isn’t the most in history for an actor at SAG. Jamie Foxx landed four, and won for 2004’s “Ray.”

(Awards Circuit Winners Chart (2020-2021)

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:

  1. Daniel Kaluuya
    "Judas and the Black Messiah" (Warner Bros.)

    ROLE: Fred Hampton
    SAG HISTORY: 3 nominations, 1 win
    (2018) - "Black Panther" - Cast ensemble in a motion picture (WINNER)
    (2017) - "Get Out" - Male actor in a leading role
    (2017) - "Get Out" - Cast ensemble in a motion picture


    DIRECTOR: Shaka King
    SYNOPSIS: The story of Fred Hampton, Chairman of the Illinois Black Panther Party, and his fateful betrayal by FBI informant William O'Neal.
    STARRING: Lakeith Stanfield, Daniel Kaluuya, Dominique Fishback, Jesse Plemons, Martin Sheen, Dominique Thorne, Algee Smith, Lil Rel Howery, Jermaine Fowler

  2. Sacha Baron Cohen
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

    ROLE: Abbie Hoffman
    SAG HISTORY: 1 nomination
    (2013) - "Les Misérables" - Cast ensemble in a motion picture


    DIRECTOR: Aaron Sorkin
    SYNOPSIS: The story of 7 people on trial stemming from various charges surrounding the uprising at the 1968 Democratic National Convention in Chicago, Illinois.
    STARRING: Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, Sacha Baron Cohen, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Michael Keaton, Frank Langella, John Carroll Lynch, Eddie Redmayne, Mark Rylance, Alex Sharp, Jeremy Strong

  3. Leslie Odom, Jr.
    "One Night in Miami" (Amazon Studios)

    ROLE: Sam Cooke
    SAG HISTORY: Never nominated

    DIRECTOR: Regina King
    SYNOPSIS: A fictional account of one incredible night in 1964, where four icons of activism, sports and music – Malcolm X, Muhammad Ali, Jim Brown and Sam Cooke – gathered, discussing their roles in the civil rights movement and cultural upheaval of the ’60s.
    STARRING: Kingsley Ben-Adir, Eli Goree, Aldis Hodge, Leslie Odom, Jr.

  4. Glynn Turman
    "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)

    ROLE: Toledo
    SAG HISTORY: Never nominated

    DIRECTOR: George C. Wolfe
    SYNOPSIS: Chicago, 1927. A recording session. Tensions rise between Ma Rainey, her ambitious horn player and the white management determined to control the uncontrollable "Mother of the Blues". Based on Pulitzer Prize winner August Wilson's play..
    STARRING: Chadwick Boseman, Dusan Brown, Jonny Coyne, Viola Davis, Colman Domingo, Taylour Paige, Michael Potts, Jeremy Shamos, Glynn Turman

  5. Chadwick Boseman
    "Da 5 Bloods" (Netflix)

    ROLE: Stormin' Norman
    SAG HISTORY: 1 nomination, 1 win
    (2019) - "Black Panther" - Cast ensemble in a motion picture


    DIRECTOR: Spike Lee
    SYNOPSIS: Four African American vets battle the forces of man and nature when they return to Vietnam seeking the remains of their fallen squad leader and the gold fortune he helped them hide.
    STARRING: Delroy Lindo, Clarke Peters, Jonathan Majors, Chadwick Boseman, Isiah Witlock, Jr,, Norm Lewis

NEXT IN LINE CONTENDERS:

  1. Paul Raci
    "Sound of Metal" (Amazon Studios)

    ROLE: Joe
    SAG HISTORY: Never nominated

    DIRECTOR: Darius Marder
    SYNOPSIS: A heavy-metal drummer's life is thrown into freefall when he begins to lose his hearing.
    STARRING: Riz Ahmed, Olivia Cooke, Paul Raci, Mathieu Almaric, Lauren Ridloff

  2. Bill Murray
    "On the Rocks" (A24/Apple TV Plus)

    ROLE: Felix
    SAG HISTORY: 3 nominations
    (2016) - "A Very Murray Christmas" - Male actor in a television movie or miniseries
    (2015) - "The Grand Budapest Hotel" - Cast ensemble in a motion picture
    (2004) - "Lost in Translation" - Male actor in a leading role in a motion picture


    DIRECTOR: Sofia Coppola
    SYNOPSIS: A young mother reconnects with her larger-than-life playboy father on an adventure through New York.
    STARRING: Rashida Jones, Bill Murray, Marlon Wayans, Jessica Henwick, Jenny Slate

  3. Stanley Tucci
    "Supernova" (Bleecker Street)

    ROLE: Tusker
    SAG HISTORY: 3 nominations, 1 win
    (2016) - "Spotlight" - Cast ensemble in a motion picture (WINNER)
    (2010) - "The Lovely Bones" - Male actor in a supporting role in a motion picture
    (1999) - "Winchell" - Male actor in a TV movie or miniseries


    DIRECTOR: Aaron Sorkin
    SYNOPSIS
    : Sam and Tusker are traveling across England in their old RV to visit friends, family and places from their past. Since Tusker was diagnosed with dementia two years ago, their time together is the most important thing they have.
    STARRING
    : Colin Firth, Stanley Tucci, Pippa Haywood, Peter MacQueen, Nina Marlin

  4. Alan S. Kim
    "Minari" (A24)

    ROLE: David
    SAG HISTORY: Never nominated

    DIRECTOR: Lee Isaac Chung
    SYNOPSIS: A Korean family moves to Arkansas to start a farm in the 1980s.
    STARRING: Steven Yeun, Yeri Han, Alan S. Kim, Yuh-jung Youn, Will Patton

  5. Mark Rylance
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

    ROLE: William Kunstler
    SAG HISTORY: 2 nominations
    (2016) - "Bridge of Spies" - Male actor in a supporting role in a motion picture
    (2016) - "Wolf Hall" - Male actor in a television movie or miniseries


    DIRECTOR: Aaron Sorkin
    SYNOPSIS: The story of 7 people on trial stemming from various charges surrounding the uprising at the 1968 Democratic National Convention in Chicago, Illinois.
    STARRING: Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, Sacha Baron Cohen, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Michael Keaton, Frank Langella, John Carroll Lynch, Eddie Redmayne, Mark Rylance, Alex Sharp, Jeremy Strong

UNRANKED AWARDS CONTENDERS:

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories

The Screen Actors Guild Awards, hosted by SAG-AFTRA is an annual award show that has become one of the most important and key indicators for the Oscars. Four films have won the most SAG awards with three: 1999’s “American Beauty,” 2002’s “Chicago,” 2011’s “The Help” and 2017’s “Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri.” Three movies have been nominated for the most SAG awards with five: 1998’s “Shakespeare in Love,” “Chicago” and 2008’s “Doubt.”

The SAG Awards are scheduled to take place on Sunday, April 4, 2021

2021 SAG Awards Predictions (Film)

2021 Golden Globes Predictions (Film)

2021 Academy Awards Predictions

Best of Variety

Sign up for Variety’s Newsletter. For the latest news, follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram.