‘RuPaul’s Drag Race 16’ winner predictions: Sight unseen, Sapphira Cristal is favorite to win

Marcus James Dixon
·3 min read
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Who will win “RuPaul’s Drag Race” Season 16? The Ru-vealing new season premieres Friday, January 5, 2024 on MTV with a two-part episode that introduces the 14 queens competing for the crown. All season long, Gold Derby readers will be making their “RuPaul’s Drag Race 16” winner predictions for which contestant they think will go the distance and claim the $200,000 grand prize on finale night.

Sight unseen, Sapphira Cristal is the current favorite to win the competition, based on the pre-season odds derived from our users’ predictions. Per her MTV bio, Sapphira is “Philadelphia’s crown jewel” and is “a serious musician with a six-octave vocal range.” Below, see a snapshot in time of the racetrack odds for Season 16, Episode 1:

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1. Sapphira Cristal — 16/5 odds
Age 34 from Philadelphia, PA

2. Plasma — 9/2 odds
Age 24 from New York City, NY

3. Plane Jane — 5/1 odds
Age 24 from Boston, MA

4. Nymphia Wind — 7/1 odds
Age 27 from Taiwan / NY

5. Mhi’ya Iman LePaige — 9/1 odds
Age 34 from Miami, FL

6. Dawn — 14/1 odds
Age 24 from Brooklyn, NY

7. Morphine Love Dion — 28/1 odds
Age 25 from Miami, FL

8. Hershii LiqCour-Jete — 48/1 odds
Age 31 from Los Angeles, CA

9. Q — 48/1 odds
Age 26 from Kansas City, MO

10. Megami — 58/1 odds
Age 33 from Brooklyn, NY

11. Mirage — 82/1 odds
Age 29 from Las Vegas, NV

12. Geneva Karr — 100/1 odds
Age 30 from Brownsville, TX

13. Amanda Tori Meating — 100/1 odds
Age 26 from Los Angeles, CA

14. Xunami Muse — 100/1 odds
Age 33 from New York City, NY

SEE ‘RuPaul’s Drag Race’ winners list: Every season, plus ‘All Stars’

This year, host RuPaul Charles is joined on the panel by regular judges Michelle Visage, Carson Kressley, Ross Mathews and Ts Madison. The guest judges will include Charlize Theron, Becky G, Isaac Mizrahi, Sarah Michelle Gellar, Adam Shankman, Icona Pop, Jamal Sims, Joel Kim Booster, Kelsea Ballerini, Kyra Sedgwick, Law Roach, Kaia Gerber, Ronan Farrow and Mayan Lopez.

In a new twist, this 16th cycle will allow the participants to rank each other’s challenge performances in a “Rate-A-Queen” segment, and that will determine how they’ll all be sorted into the tops and the bottoms of the week. Companion series “Untucked” will once again air after “Drag Race” every Friday night on MTV. Both series can then be streamed the next day on Paramount+.

SEE exclusive predictions: Who will win ‘Drag Race’?

Be sure to make your predictions to influence our reality TV racetrack odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before the next episode airs on MTV. You’ll compete to win eternal bragging rights and a spot on our “Drag Race” leaderboard. See our contest rules and sound off with other fans in our reality TV forum. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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