Oscars Predictions: Best Supporting Actor – Could Daniel Kaluuya Spoil the Veteran Party?

Clayton Davis
·4 min read

Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE COLLECTIVE.


UPDATED: Nov. 19, 2020 (PRE-SEASON)

The supporting actor race has been the most fluid and flimsy of all the acting races so far. No one really looks assured for a nomination and the closest one looks to be Leslie Odom, Jr. in “One Night in Miami.” With Stanley Tucci’s confirmation of a supporting run for “Supernova,” he could gain serious traction with the actor’s branch. Daniel Kaluuya’s work as Fred Hampton in “Judas and the Black Messiah” is one that demands attention but a category has yet to be decided. Also starting to wonder if Charles Dance’s smaller role in “Mank” could have him pulled into the lineup like Alan Alda in “The Aviator.” Lots of large casts looking for a representative. Furthermore, Shia LaBeouf’s work in “Pieces of a Woman,” now confirmed for a supporting submission, is worthy of consideration, and the love for his work is loud.

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories


  1. Leslie Odom, Jr.
    "One Night in Miami" (Amazon Studios)

  2. Stanley Tucci
    "Supernova" (Bleecker Street)

  3. Daniel Kaluuya†/††
    "Judas and the Black Messiah" (Warner Bros.)

  4. David Strathairn
    "Nomadland" (Searchlight Pictures)

  5. Charles Dance
    "Mank" (Netflix)


  1. Sacha Baron Cohen
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  2. Mark Rylance
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  3. Chadwick Boseman
    "Da 5 Bloods" (Netflix)

  4. Bill Murray
    "On the Rocks" (A24/Apple TV Plus)

  5. Shia LaBeouf
    "Pieces of a Woman" (Netflix)


  1. Frank Langella
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  2. Alan S. Kim
    "Minari" (A24)

  3. Glynn Turman
    "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)

  4. Aldis Hodge
    "One Night in Miami" (Amazon Studios)

  5. Yahya Abdul-Mateen II
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  6. Arliss Howard
    "Mank" (Netflix)

  7. Colman Domingo
    "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)

  8. Eddie Redmayne
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  9. Jeremy Strong
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  10. Billy Crystal
    "Standing Up, Falling Down" (Shout! Factory)


  1. Will Patton
    "Minari" (A24)

  2. Tom Pelphrey
    "Mank" (Netflix)

  3. Michael Stuhlbarg
    "Shirley" (Neon)

  4. Orion Lee
    "First Cow" (A24)

  5. Caleb Landry Jones
    "The Outpost" (Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment)

  6. Brian Dennehy
    "Driveways" (FilmRise)

  7. Bo Burnham
    "Promising Young Woman" (Focus Features)

  8. Hugh Laurie
    "The Personal History of David Copperfield" (Searchlight Pictures)

  9. Tzi Ma
    "Mulan" (Walt Disney Pictures)

  10. Marlon Wayans
    "On the Rocks" (A24/Apple TV Plus)


  1. Benedict Cumberbatch
    "The Mauratanian" (STX Films)

  2. Michael Keaton
    "The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)

  3. Lucas Hedges
    "French Exit" (Sony Pictures Classics)

  4. Andrew Rannells
    "The Prom" (Netflix)

  5. Zachary Quinto
    "The Boys in the Band" (Netflix)

  6. Robert Pattinson
    "Tenet" (Warner Bros.)

  7. Christian Vazquez
    "I Carry You With Me" (Sony Pictures Classics)

  8. J.K. Simmons
    "Palm Springs" (Hulu/Neon)

  9. Matthew Macfadyen
    "The Assistant" (Bleecker Street)

  10. Richard Jenkins
    "Kajillionaire" (Focus Features)


  • Ryder Allen,“Palmer” (Apple TV Plus)

  • Ian Lloyd Anderson,“Herself” (Amazon Studios)

  • Kenneth Branagh,“Tenet” (Warner Bros.)

  • Tom Burke,“Mank” (Netflix)

  • Bill Burr,“The King of Staten Island” (Universal Pictures)

  • Steve Buscemi,“The King of Staten Island” (Universal Pictures)

  • Richard E. Grant,“Everybody’s Talking About Jamie” (20th Century Studios)

  • Graham Greene,“Antlers” (Searchlight Pictures)

  • Armie Hammer,“Rebecca” (Netflix)

  • Conleth Hill,“Herself” (Amazon Studios)

  • Aldis Hodge,“The Invisible Man” (Universal Pictures)

  • Reid Miller,“Joe Bell” (Solstice Studios)

  • Chris Pine,“Wonder Woman 1984” (Warner Bros.)

  • Jesse Plemons,“Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.)†

  • Kendrick Sampson,“Miss Juneteenth” (Vertical Entertainment)

  • Lakeith Stanfield,“Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.)††

  • Bob Wells,“Nomadland” (Searchlight Pictures)

† = no release date scheduled / could be delayed / may not be eligible
†† = could be campaigned in lead or supporting categories / original or adapted screenplay categories

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. The most awarded person in this category is Walter Brennan with three wins between 1937 and 1941. He’s also the most nominated in this category with four, but shares that distinction with Jeff Bridges, Robert Duvall, Arthur Kennedy, Jack Nicholson, Al Pacino and Claude Rains. Mahershala Ali is the first African-American to win two Oscars in the same category and the first Muslim actor to win an Oscar.

Academy Awards Predictions (All Categories)

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