Final Oscars Predictions: Makeup and Hairstyling – Austin Butler’s Possible Acting Win Could Pair With His Transformation Into Elvis Presley

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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

LAST UPDATED: March 9, 2023

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2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Makeup and Hairstyling

THE WHALE, Brendan Fraser, 2022. © A24 /Courtesy Everett Collection
THE WHALE, Brendan Fraser, 2022. © A24 /Courtesy Everett Collection

Category commentary:

“Most” is often conflated with “best” and this year is leaning towards the former after Critics Choice and BAFTA win.

Sticking with “Elvis” and the transformation of Austin Butler into the King of Rock and Roll, especially with a likely win for the 31-year-old in best actor. Furthermore, Tom Hanks’ praised (albeit divisive) prosthetics could also help.

However, the war battles and the application of mud from “All Quiet on the Western Front” could pose a threat. In addition to Brendan Fraser’s transformation into a 600-pound man in “The Whale.”

Will Win: “Elvis” (Mark Coulier, Jason Baird, Aldo Signoretti)
Could Win: “All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix) – Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerová
Should Win: “The Batman” (Warner Bros.) – Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine
Should have been here: “Blonde” (Netflix) – Tina Roesler Kerwin (makeup department head), Jaime Leigh McIntosh

See the latest film predictions, in all 23 categories, in one place on Variety’s Oscars Collective. To see the ranked predictions for each individual category, visit Variety’s Oscars Hub.

See the 2022-2023 Awards Season calendar for all key dates and timelines.

Countdown to the Oscars with Variety here.

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

And The Nominees Are:

Rank

Film

Makeup and Hair Stylist(s)

Distributor

1

“Elvis”

Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Aldo Signoretti

Warner Bros.

The life of American music icon Elvis Presley, from his childhood to becoming a rock and movie star in the 1950s while maintaining a complex relationship with his manager, Colonel Tom Parker.

2

“All Quiet on the Western Front”

Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerová

Netflix

A young German soldier’s terrifying experiences and distress on the western front during World War I.

3

“The Whale”

Adrien Morot, Judy Chin and Anne Marie Bradley

A24

A reclusive English teacher living with severe obesity attempts to reconnect with his estranged teenage daughter for one last chance at redemption.

4

“The Batman”

Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine

Warner Bros.

When a sadistic serial killer begins murdering key political figures in Gotham, Batman is forced to investigate the city’s hidden corruption and question his family’s involvement.

5

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

Camille Friend and Joel Harlow

Marvel Studios

The nation of Wakanda is pitted against intervening world powers as they mourn the loss of their king T’Challa.

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT

The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2023.

2022 category winner: "The Eyes of Tammy Faye" (Searchlight Pictures) - Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram and Justin Raleigh

About Variety Awards Circuit:

Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online and provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes -- Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety's leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading pundits.

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