Oscar Predictions: Best Original Song – Music Could Create Ratings Explosion for Telecast

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

LAST UPDATED: Dec. 2, 2022

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2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Original Song

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Ram Charan, NTR Jr in “RRR

CATEGORY COMMENTARY: “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” premiered to glowing reviews and even delivered a possible frontrunner for best original song in the form of Rihanna’s “Lift Me Up,” the new track she sings and co-writes with Ryan Coogler and Ludwig Göransson.

She won’t be the only big name in the song race as big names like last year’s winners Billie Eilish and Finneas are back with “Nobody Like U” from “Turning Red” while Lady Gaga’s “Hold My Hand” from “Top Gun: Maverick” will surely be on voters’ minds.

Taylor Swift, who just announced her new tour dates, has two shots at Oscar noms with her short film “All Too Well” which stars “Stranger Things” star Sadie Sink and her song “Carolina” from the film “Where the Crawdads Sing.”

There are the usual suspects in the discussion as well like Honorary Oscar recipient Diane Warren who pens “Applause” from the feature “Tell It Like a Woman” and Marc Shaiman, who writes “Love is Not Love” from “Bros” along with star and co-writer Billy Eichner.

See the latest film predictions, in all 23 categories, in one place on Variety’s Oscars Collective. To see the ranked predictions for each individual category, visit Variety’s Oscars Hub.

Find the SAG Awards predictions for film and Golden Globe predictions in all of the film categories on their respective pages.

See the 2022-2023 Awards Season calendar for all key dates and timelines.

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

Spirited Will Ferrell Ryan Reynolds
Spirited Will Ferrell Ryan Reynolds

And The Predicted Nominees Are:

Rank

Film

Song Title

Distributor

1

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

“Lift me up” by Tems, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna and Ryan Coogler

Marvel Studios

The nation of Wakanda is pitted against intervening world powers as they mourn the loss of their king T’Challa.

2

“RRR”

“Naatu Naatu” by Kala Bhairava, M. M. Keeravani, Rahul Sipligunj

Variance Films

A fictitious story about two legendary revolutionaries and their journey away from home before they started fighting for their country in the 1920s.

3

“Top Gun: Maverick”

“Hold My Hand” by Lady Gaga and Bloodpop

Paramount Pictures

After thirty years, Maverick is still pushing the envelope as a top naval aviator, but must confront ghosts of his past when he leads TOP GUN’s elite graduates on a mission that demands the ultimate sacrifice from those chosen to fly it.

4

“Tell It Like a Woman”

“Applause” by Diane Warren

Samuel Goldwyn Films

Stories of women, both in front of and behind the camera.

5

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

“This is a Life” by David Byrne, Ryan Lott and Mitski

A24

An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, in which she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.

Next in Line

6

“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”

“Ciao Papa” by Alexandre Desplat, Roeban Katz and Guillermo del Toro

Netflix

A darker version of the classic children’s fairy tale of a wooden puppet that transforms into a real living boy.

7

“Where the Crawdads Sing”

“Carolina” by Taylor Swift

Sony Pictures

A woman who raised herself in the marshes of the Deep South becomes a suspect in the murder of a man with whom she was once involved.

8

“Turning Red”

“Nobody Like U” by Billie Eilish and Finneas

Pixar

A 13-year-old girl named Meilin turns into a giant red panda whenever she gets too excited.

9

“White Noise”

“New Body Rhumba” by LCD Soundsystem

Netflix

Dramatizes a contemporary American family’s attempts to deal with the mundane conflicts of everyday life while grappling with the universal mysteries of love, death, and the possibility of happiness in an uncertain world.

10

“Spirited”

“Do a Little Good” by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

Apple Original Films

A musical version of Charles Dickens’s story of a miserly misanthrope who is taken on a magical journey.

Other Top-Tier Contenders

11

“A Man Called Otto”

“Til You’re Home” by Rita Wilson

Sony Pictures

12

“Devotion”

“Not Alone” by Joe Jonas, Ryan Tedder, HARV and Khalid

Sony Pictures

13

“Selena Gomez: My Mind and Me”

“My Mind and Me” by Selena Gomez

Apple Original Films

14

“Bones and All”

“(You Made It Feel Like) Home” by Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross

MGM/United Artists Releasing

15

“Till”

“Stand Up” by Jazmine Sullivan and D’Mile

Orion/United Artists Releasing

16

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

“The Songcord” by Simon Franglen

20th Century Studios

17

“Bros”

“Love is Not Love” by Marc Shaiman and Billy Eichner

Universal Pictures

18

“The Automat”

“At the Automat” by Mel Brooks

A Slice of Pie Productions

19

“Puss in Boots: The Last Wish”

“La Vida es Una” by Daniel Echavarria, Carolina Giraldo, Ovy on the Drums

Universal Pictures

20

“Don’t Worry Darling”

“With You All the Time” by Harry Styles

Warner Bros.

Also In Contention

21

“My Father’s Dragon”

“Lift Your Wings” by Mychael Danna, Jeff Danna, Frank Danna, Nora Twomey and Meg LeFauve

Netflix

22

“Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore”

“Heaven” by Gregory Porter

Warner Bros.

23

“Killing Me Softly With His Songs”

“Sing a Brand New Song” by Charles Fox and Common

Showclix

24

“The Voice of Dust and Ash”

“Dust & Ash” by J. Ralph

Matilda Productions

25

“Top Gun: Maverick”

“I Ain’t Worried” by Ryan Tedder, Brent Kutzle, Tyler Spry, John Eriksson, Peter Moren, Bjorn Yttling

Paramount Pictures

All Contenders Listed (Unranked-Alphabetical)

“18½”

“Brasília Bella” by Luis Guerra, Dan Mirvish

Adventure Entertainment

“18½”

“Wonder Bread” by Luis Guerra, Dan Mirvish

Adventure Entertainment

“18½”

“Deadly Butterfly” by Luis Guerra, Dan Mirvish

Adventure Entertainment

“A Jazzman’s Blues”

“Paper Airplanes” by Ruth B.

Netflix

“A Man Called Otto”

“Till You’re Home” by Rita Wilson

Sony Pictures

“Amsterdam”

“Time” by Drake, Giveon Evans, Jahaan Akil Sweet and Daniel Pemberton

20th Century Studios

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

“The Songcord” by Simon Franglen

20th Century Studios

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

“Lift me up” by Tems, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna and Ryan Coogler

Marvel Studios

“Bodies Bodies Bodies”

“Hot Girl” by Charlotte Aitchinson and George Daniel

A24

“Bones and All”

“(You Made It Feel Like) Home” by Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross

MGM/United Artists Releasing

“Bros”

“Love is Not Love” by Marc Shaiman and Billy Eichner

Universal Pictures

“DC League of Superpets”

“Count on Me” by Jeremy Silver

Warner Bros.

“Devotion”

“Not Alone” by Joe Jonas

Sony Pictures

“Don’t Worry Darling”

“With You All the Time” by Harry Styles

Warner Bros.

“Elvis”

“Vegas” by Doja Cat

Warner Bros.

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

“This is a Life” by David Byrne, Ryan Lott and Mitski

A24

“Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore”

“Heaven” by Gregory Porter

Warner Bros.

“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”

“Ciao Papa” by Roeben Katz and Guillermo del Toro

Netflix

“Killing Me Softly With His Songs”

“Sing a Brand New Song” by Charles Fox and Common

Showclix

“Let Me Be Me”

“Feels Like Me” by Gin Wigmore

Greenwich Entertainment

“Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile”

“Carried Away” by Benj Pasek, Justin Paul, Arianna Afsar, Mark Sonnenblick

Sony Pictures

“Marry Me”

“On My Way (Marry Me)” by Ivy Adara, Leroy Clampitt and Michael Pollack

Universal Pictures

“Minions: The Rise of Gru”

“Turn Up the Sunshine” by Jack Antonoff, Patrik Berger, Sam Dew, Kevin Parker

Universal Pictures

“My Father’s Dragon”

“Lift Your Wings” by Mychael Danna, Jeff Danna, Frank Danna, Nora Twomey and Meg LeFauve

Netflix

“Persuasion”

“Quietly Yours” by Birdy

Netflix

“Puss in Boots: The Last Wish”

“Fearless Hero” by Heitor Pereira, Dan Navarro, Paul Fisher

Universal Pictures

“Puss in Boots: The Last Wish”

“La Vida es Una” by Daniel Echavarria, Carolina Giraldo, Ovy on the Drums

Universal Pictures

“Roald Dahl’s Matilda The Musical”

“Still Holding My Hand” by Tim Minchin

Netflix

“RRR”

“Naatu Naatu” by Kala Bhairava, M. M. Keeravani, Rahul Sipligunj

Variance Films

“Selena Gomez: My Mind and Me”

“My Mind and Me” by Selena Gomez

Apple Original Films

“Spirited”

“Do a Little Good” by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

Apple Original Films

“Spirited”

“Good Afternoon” by Khiyon Hursey, Sukari ones, Benj Pasek, Justin Paul, Mark Sonnenblick

Apple Original Films

“Tell It Like a Woman”

“Applause” by Diane Warren

Samuel Goldwyn Films

“The Automat”

“At the Automat” by Mel Brooks

A Slice of Pie Productions

“The Bad Guys”

“We’re Gonna Be Good Tonight” by Daniel Pemberton and Gary Go

Universal Pictures

“The Bob’s Burgers Movie”

“Sunny Side Up Summer” by Loren Bouchard and Nora Smith

20th Century Studios

“The Return of Tanya Tucker – Featuring Brandi Carlile”

“Ready as I’ll Ever Be” by Brandi Carlile and Tanya Tucker

Sony Pictures Classics

“The Sea Beast”

“Captain Crow” by Nell Benjamin and Laurence O’Keefe

Netflix

“The Silent Twins”

“We Two Made One” by Marcin Macuk, Zuzanna Wrońska, June Gibbons, Jennifer Gibbons

Focus Features

“The Voice of Dust and Ash”

“Dust & Ash” by J. Ralph

Matilda Productions

“The Woman King”

“Keep Rising” by Jessy Wilson and Angelique Kidjo

Sony Pictures

“Three Thousand Years of Longing”

“Cautionary Tale” by Junkie XL, George Miller and Augusta Gore

MGM/United Artists Releasing

“Till”

“Stand Up” by Jazmine Sullivan and D’Mile

Orion/United Artists Releasing

“Top Gun: Maverick”

“Hold My Hand” by Lady Gaga and Bloodpop

Paramount Pictures

“Top Gun: Maverick”

“I Ain’t Worried” by Ryan Tedder, Brent Kutzle, Tyler Spry, John Eriksson, Peter Moren, Bjorn Yttling

Paramount Pictures

“Turning Red”

“Nobody Like U” by Billie Eilish and Finneas

Pixar

“We Are Art: Through the Eyes of Annalaura”

“We Are Art” by Annalaura di Luggo and Paky Di Maio

Annydi Productions

“Where the Crawdads Sing”

“Carolina” by Taylor Swift

Sony Pictures

“White Noise”

“New Body Rhumba” by LCD Soundsystem

Netflix

“Wildcat”

“A Sky Like I’ve Never Seen” by Robin Pecknold

Amazon Studios

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT

The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2023.

2022 category winner: “No Time to Die” by Billie Eilish and Finneas from “No Time to Die” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

About Variety Awards Circuit:

Variety’s unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online and provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year’s awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes — Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety’s leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading pundits.

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