No golden Oscar for Austin Butler (‘Elvis’), but he could win Golden Popcorn at MTV Movie and TV Awards

Daniel Montgomery
Updated ·3 min read
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MTV isn’t where you’d think to go to avenge an Oscar slight, but it might end up that way at this year’s MTV Movie and TV Awards. Austin Butler (“Elvis”) is up for Best Performance in a Movie following his Best Actor Oscar nom for playing the king of rock and roll. He didn’t win the Oscar, but according to our early odds, he’s the front-runner to win MTV’s Golden Popcorn.

The Oscar race for Best Actor was closely contested to the very end. Butler was locked in a tight race with Brendan Fraser (“The Whale”). Butler won the Golden Globe. Then Fraser won the Critics Choice Award. Then Butler pulled off a stunning upset against Colin Farrell (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) at the BAFTA Awards. But Fraser finished strong by winning the SAG Award. Ultimately Fraser was the one who took the Oscar, while “Elvis” was surprisingly shut out, claiming none of its eight nominations.

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But now fans will have their say at an awards show where a young heartthrob with a strong online fan base might stand a better chance. He currently leads our MTV Movie and TV Awards forecasts with 11/2 odds. Among those predicting him to win are 15 of our Top 24 Users and 19 of our All-Star Top 24. But after his Oscar loss you can’t take anything for granted. Ranked second with 13/2 odds is Michael B. Jordan (“Creed III”), whose film made about as much money as “Elvis” worldwide (over a quarter of a billion dollars) and came out more recently, keeping it fresh in fans’ minds.

And in third place with 7/1 odds is Tom Cruise (“Top Gun: Maverick”), a two-time MTV Movie Award winner for Best Male Performance for “Jerry Maguire” in 1997 and “Mission: Impossible II” in 2001 (back when MTV’s categories were gendered). That was a long time ago and fandoms have changed a lot since then. Many fans might not have been born the last time Cruise won a competitive Golden Popcorn. But “Top Gun: Maverick” was massively popular, making a bajillion dollars at the box office — $1.5 billion globally, to be more specific. At an awards show decided by the public, that could be a deciding factor.

PREDICTthe MTV Movie and TV Awards now; change them until winners are announced

Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?

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