Missouri vs Wake Forest Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl Prediction Game Preview

Missouri vs Wake Forest prediction, game preview, odds, how to watch. Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl, Friday, December 23


Missouri vs Wake Forest Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl Prediction Game Preview

Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews & @PeteFiutak

Missouri vs Wake Forest How To Watch

Date: Friday, December 23
Game Time: 3:00 ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Missouri (6-6), Wake Forest (7-5)
Sign up and live stream college football on ESPN+

Missouri vs Wake Forest Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl 5 Things To Know

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl Prediction, What’s Going To Happen, History

– Missouri needed a win over Arkansas in the regular season finale just to get here, and now it needs a victory to finish with a winning campaign. It’s missing some big players on defense – more on this later – and the offense has to be consistent, but the team is great at controlling the clock and the defense should still be okay.

Wake Forest is fun. It might have collapsed over the finishing kick going 1-4 in the final five games, but the offense is going to throw for over 300 yards, the defense will give up a ton of big plays, and it all mixes together for what should be a high-energy bowl. Mizzou will have to keep up the pace.

A good bowl team under head coach Dave Clawson, Wake Forest is 4-2 in the post-season in its last six, coming off a 38-10 blasting of Rutgers in last season’s Gator. The program is 10-6 all-time in bowls with 13 of them played after 2000. It’s still a big deal for Wake Forest to go bowling.

Missouri is a bit more used to the bowl life – this is the 34th for the program, going 15-19 starting with a loss to USC in the 1924 Los Angeles Christmas Festival. However, it lost its last three including both of the chances under head coach Eliah Drinkwitz. The Tigers don’t have a bowl win since beating Minnesota in the 2014 Citrus – the loss to Army in last year’s Armed Forces Bowl hurt.

– This is the first time the Gasparilla Bowl has featured two Power Five teams – now it needs a little luck to finally come up with a good game. Last year’s UCF 29-17 win over Florida was entertaining for a whole slew of reasons, but it was the fourth straight game and ninth in the 13 decided by double-digits.

CFN Experts Dec 20-27 | CFP NY6, Dec 28-Jan 2

Why Missouri Will Win The Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl

The Wake Forest defense is a tad wobbly. It allowed well over 1,500 yards in its final three games of the season, it’s not doing much against anyone who wants to throw, and it gave up 30 points or more in its last five games.

Not helping the cause is the loss of corners Gavin Holmes and JJ Roberts to the transfer portal. Missouri doesn’t have a high-powered passing game, and losing top target Dominic Lovett to the portal hurts, but it’s 5-0 when throwing for more than 220 yards.

The Wake Forest pass defense doesn’t get out of bed in the morning without giving up 220 yards through the air.

When it does allow fewer, it’s usually because the offense on the other side is too busy running. Mizzou has to balance out the attack, do what it does to control the clock, and the defense that’s so good on third downs and so good at getting into the backfield has to be fired up from the start.

However …

Why Wake Forest Will Win The Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl

It’s all hands on deck against the Wake Forest passing game.

The Missouri defense that was so great this season will be without a few key pass rushers – Isaiah McGuire opting out really hurts – and will miss a little depth in the secondary.

The wins might not have been there over the second half of the season, but the Demon Deacons, but QB Sam Hartman kept bombing away with the offense hitting 300 yards through the air in each of the last six games and in nine of 11.

Missouri’s offense is balanced and can grind a bit, but it’s not built to get into wild shootouts. It takes 30 points to beat Wake Forest – it’s 5-0 when allowing fewer and 2-5 when giving up more – but the Tigers have only hit that mark against Louisiana Tech, New Mexico State, and Abilene Christian.

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl Prediction, What’s Going To Happen, History

NEXT: What’s Going To Happen, Missouri vs Wake Forest Prediction, Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl History

Missouri vs Wake Forest Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl, What’s Going To Happen

The Missouri personnel losses are far bigger than Wake Forest’s. That doesn’t mean the Tiger running game can’t and won’t work, and the defense is still going to be good, but there’s just enough missing to matter.

No, the Demon Deacons don’t do enough defensively, but they can get into the backfield from time to time and be disruptive. The Missouri offensive line is okay for the ground game, but it struggles at keeping defensive fronts from generating tackles for loss.

Missouri’s offense will work, because everyone’s offense works against Wake Forest. It still won’t be enough to keep up in key moments.

Wake Forest’s offense will connect when it has to with a few deep shots to open it up a wee bit in the second half of a good, tight battle.

Top 100 Bowl Players | Bowl Game Rankings

Missouri vs Wake Forest Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl, Prediction, Line

CFN Prediction: Wake Forest 30, Missouri 27
Line: Wake Forest -1, o/u: 60
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl Must See Rating (out of 5): 3.5
CFN Experts Dec 20-27 | CFP NY6, Dec 28-Jan 2

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl History

Dec. 23, 2021 UCF 29, Florida 17
2020 Canceled
Dec. 23, 2019 UCF 48, Marshall 25
Dec. 20, 2018 Marshall 38, USF 20
Dec. 21, 2017 Temple 28, FIU 3
St. Petersburg Bowl
Dec. 26, 2016 Mississippi State 17, Miami Univ. 16
Dec. 26, 2015 Marshall 16 Connecticut 10
Dec. 26, 2014 N.C. State 34 UCF 27
Beef ‘O’ Brady’s Bowl
Dec. 23, 2013 East Carolina 37 Ohio 20
Dec. 20, 2012 UCF 38 Ball State 17
Dec. 20, 2011 Marshall 20 FIU 10
Dec. 21, 2010 Louisville 31 Southern Miss 28
St. Petersburg Bowl
Dec. 19, 2009 Rutgers 45 UCF 24
Dec. 20, 2008 USF 41 Memphis 14

2022-2023 Bowl Schedule, Predictions

Story originally appeared on College Football News