Grammys 2024: The state of the Best New Artist race after nominations

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.

This year’s slate of eight Best New Artist hopefuls at the Grammys is one of the strongest of the past decade, mixing big commercial names like Ice Spice and Noah Kahan with some of the most buzzworthy new musicians around like Fred Again, Victoria Monét and Gracie Abrams. Perhaps what stands out the most, though, is how much the category was shaken up when the nominations were revealed. What was thought to be a safe bet for Ice Spice has suddenly opened up into what’s one of the strongest categories in the general field this year.

A big part of that was the rise of Monét, whom many didn’t even consider a shoo-in for a nomination. Come Grammy nominations morning, though, she racked up a very impressive set of seven bids, including a sweep in the R&B field, a crucial Best Engineered Album nom, and what probably shocked people the most, a Record of the Year citation for her hit “On My Mama.” While Monét is now experiencing mainstream success as a solo artist after years of writing and producing behind the scenes, “On My Mama” is not exactly the biggest hit ever, only peaking at number-48 so far on the Billboard Hot 100. Obviously, the Grammys aren’t the Billboard Music Awards and don’t focus on sales metrics, but nominated songs are usually either by veteran favorites or are smash hits. Regardless, with Monét having by far the most nominations out of the BNA class, she has surged ahead to become the front-runner so far for the award.

More from GoldDerby

SEEGrammy nominations list

Monét, however, could be hurt by the presence of fellow R&B songstress Coco Jones, who is also up for all R&B awards. While Monét is likely in the lead out of the two, Jones’s presence in the lineup could mean R&B voters will be divided and, as such, neither wins. Something similar happened in 2019, when H.E.R., considered the frontrunner thanks to her Album of the Year nomination, lost Best New Artist with her R&B peers Chloe x Halle and Jorja Smith also nominated. That year the buzzy, at-the-time two-hit wonder Dua Lipa won, and the equivalent this year could be Noah Kahan.

Kahan’s “Stick Season” has been a huge sleeper hit and has notched multiple top-40 hits in the past few months alone. He is also sure to get support not only from pop voters, but also the alternative crowd, not to mention fans in rock, Americana, and even country. Kahan has no other nominations besides BNA, but that is somewhat explainable. He was competing in the Americana field and, while he appeals to that crowd, he isn’t as prominent on the Americana scene; many were likely expecting him in the alternative music field.

SEE2024 Grammy predictions: Record of the Year

All of this is not to say Ice Spice cannot win, of course. The singer still got four nominations, and it looks like she’s headed for a Best Pop Duo/Group Performance win alongside Taylor Swift for their hit “Karma,” judging from Gold Derby’s odds. Ice could also benefit from being a pop-friendly pick; stars like Kahan and Monét may not appeal as much to that crowd. Granted, Ice Spice suffers from not being a super Grammy-friendly artist, especially when compared to past hip-hop winners like Megan Thee Stallion and Chance The Rapper who were more acclaimed for their technical abilities.

There’s also Jelly Roll, the acclaimed country music star with hits like “Need a Favor” and “Save Me.” He should also appeal to pop audiences, as the former song is a hit on that format, but his main backers will likely be country voters. It’s been a long while since a country act won the award — Zac Brown Band took it home back in the beginning of the 2010s. However, it is possible it could happen again. The rest of the nominees, like EDM star Fred Again, Americana/soul duo The War and Treaty, and alt-pop singer-songwriter Gracie Abrams are also in the mix, although there might not be that much support for them with less commercial cred.

PREDICTthe Grammy winners now

Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify record executives and music stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where thousands of showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?

Best of GoldDerby

Sign up for Gold Derby's Newsletter. For the latest news, follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram.

Click here to read the full article.