SINCE THE LAST UPDATE

This week’s Feinberg Forecast includes 11 categories that were not a part of last week’s, including those covering writing (drama, comedy, limited or anthology series, variety series, variety special and nonfiction program), reality programs (structured, unstructured and competition), game shows and animated programs. It is also the first edition to include Netflix’s Baby Reindeer, which has exploded since its April 11 debut, has officially been entered for Emmys consideration as a limited series and will seriously contend in several categories.

More from The Hollywood Reporter

• Peabody Awards: Nominees Announced in Documentary, News, Public Service and Radio/Podcast Categories

• Taylor Swift Beats Travis Kelce at Webby Awards; Olivia Rodrigo, Timothée Chalamet Also Among Winners

• Oscars: Film Academy Updates Rules and Campaign Protocols, Announces Changes to Special Awards

Over the past week, L.A.-area members of the TV Academy have been surrounded by — and, in many cases, invited to — high-profile FYC or FYC-adjacent events. PaleyFest’s lineup of panels included The Morning Show (with Jennifer Aniston and Reese Witherspoon), Loki (Tom Hiddleston and Owen Wilson), Curb Your Enthusiasm (Larry David), The Late Show With Stephen Colbert (Stephen Colbert) and Late Night With Seth Meyers (Seth Meyers). Doing their own events were HBO/Max (The Jinx on April 15) and Apple (Slow Horses on April 20), among others.

Additionally, individual contenders were highlighted in a variety of outside-the-box ways. As part of the TCM Classic Film Festival, Ken Jennings, host of ABC’s Jeopardy!, introduced screenings on April 18 and 19; Jodie Foster, a star of HBO/Max’s True Detective: Night Country, had her handprints and footprints immortalized in cement at the TCL Chinese Theatre on April 19; and on April 20, Diane Lane, a star of FX’s Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, attended a screening of her 1979 film A Little Romance.

Meanwhile, on April 18, Michael Douglas, star of Apple’s Franklin, made an extended appearance promoting the show on CNN’s Fareed Zakaria GPS. On April 20, Peacock scared the bejesus out of some, including yours truly, by having a masked/caped man deliver an invitation to an event promoting its Alan Cumming-hosted reality competition program The Traitors. And that night, Hannah Einbinder, a star of Max’s Hacks, recorded a stand-up special at the El Rey Theatre.

Finally, as FX prepares to unveil its 10th — and, for now at least, final — episode of Shōgun, a massive hit with critics and viewers, on Tuesday night, there is growing speculation about whether the network will order additional episodes, which would, of course, transform it from a limited series into a drama series. This season’s drama series field is weaker than it has ever been, so Shōgun would probably cruise to a win there — but I suspect it would also do just fine if it remains where it is. Stay tuned.

NOTE BEFORE READING

(1) This forecast, assembled by The Hollywood Reporter’s executive editor of awards coverage Scott Feinberg, reflects Scott’s best attempt to predict the behavior of the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences, not his personal preferences.

(2) Unlike many other lists, the objective of the forecast is not to include every show or person that is eligible for Emmys recognition, only the top tier of contenders.

(3) Nobody can watch every Emmy-eligible show, and Scott is no exception. He arrives at these projections by at least sampling as many contenders as possible, consulting with TV Academy members, reading reviews, analyzing awards campaigns and referencing the results of other award shows, as well as the historical preferences of the TV Academy.

(4) Under program categories, you can now find listed each program’s season that is eligible, its platform, release date (of the first episode of the eligible season) and Rotten Tomatoes scores (the first from critics, the second from audiences). We also note if the TV Academy has recognized prior seasons of the program in that category with a nomination (*) or award (^).

(5) The forecast will be updated regularly to reflect new developments. We encourage you to bookmark and return to this URL to find the latest update. (Older versions will be preserved and linked to at the bottom.)

Best Drama Series

Frontrunners
The Crown, season 6 (Netflix, 11/16/23, 55 percent/84 percent)***^*
The Morning Show, season 3 (Apple, 9/13/23, 72 percent/11 percent)
Loki, season 2 (Disney+, 10/5/23, 82 percent/82 percent)
The Gilded Age, season 2 (HBO/Max, 10/29/23, 93 percent/60 percent)
Slow Horses, season 3 (Apple, 11/29/23, 98 percent/95 percent)
Mr. and Mrs. Smith, season 1 (Amazon, 2/2/24, 90 percent/66 percent)
3 Body Problem, season 1 (Netflix, 3/21/24, 77 percent/80 percent)
Fallout, season 1 (Amazon, 4/12/24, 94 percent/88 percent)

Major Threats
Tokyo Vice, season 2 (HBO/Max, 2/8/24, 92 percent/92 percent)
The Curse, season 1 (Showtime, 11/12/23, 94 percent/42 percent)
Ahsoka, season 1 (Disney+, 8/22/23, 86 percent/69 percent)
Elsbeth, season 1 (CBS, 2/29/24, 91 percent/86 percent)

Possibilities
Hijack, season 1 (Apple, 6/28/23, 88 percent/50 percent)
Monarch: Legacy of Monsters, season 1 (Apple, 11/17/24, 89 percent/78 percent)
Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, season 2 (HBO/Max, 8/6/23, 82 percent/35 percent)

Best Comedy Series

Frontrunners
The Bear, season 2 (FX, 6/22/23, 99 percent/93 percent)^
Hacks, season 3 (HBO/Max, 5/2/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)**
Abbott Elementary, season 3 (ABC, 2/7/24, 100 percent/68 percent)**
Curb Your Enthusiasm, season 12 (HBO/Max, 2/4/24, 92 percent/69 percent)**********
Only Murders in the Building, season 3 (Hulu, 8/8/23, 96 percent/87 percent)**
The Gentlemen, season 1 (Netflix, 3/7/24, 72 percent/86 percent)
Palm Royale, season 1 (Apple, 3/20/24, 52 percent/74 percent)
What We Do in the Shadows, season 5 (FX, 7/13/23, 95 percent/89 percent)**

Major Threats
Reservation Dogs, season 3 (FX, 8/2/23, 100 percent/91 percent)
Loot, season 2 (Apple, 4/3/24, 83 percent/TBD percent)
Gen V, season 1 (Amazon, 9/29/23, 97 percent/77 percent)
I’m a Virgo, season 1 (Amazon, 6/23/23, 96 percent/80 percent)

Possibilities
The Righteous Gemstones, season 3 (HBO/Max, 6/18/23, 100 percent/88 percent)
Ghosts, season 3 (CBS, 2/15/24, 100 percent/TBD percent)
Girls5eva, season 3 (Netflix, 3/14/24, 100 percent/92 percent)
Julia, season 2 (HBO/Max, 11/16/23, 100 percent /86 percent)

Best Limited or Anthology Series

Frontrunners
Shōgun (FX, 2/27/24, 99 percent/92 percent)
Fargo (FX, 11/21/23, 92 percent/90 percent)^**
Ripley (Netflix, 4/4/24, 86 percent/82 percent)
True Detective: Night Country (HBO/Max, 1/14/24, 92 percent/56 percent)*
Lessons in Chemistry (Apple, 10/13/23, 86 percent/80 percent)

Major Threats
Baby Reindeer (Netflix, 4/11/24, 100 percent/84 perecent) NEW
Feud: Capote vs. the Swans (FX, 1/31/24, 77 percent/67 percent)*
Masters of the Air (Apple, 1/26/24, 85 percent/70 percent)
Fellow Travelers (Showtime, 10/29/23, 91 percent/91 percent)
A Murder at the End of the World (FX, 11/14/23, 88 percent/89 percent)
The Sympathizer (HBO/Max, 4/14/24, 89 percent/TBD percent)
A Gentleman in Moscow (Showtime, 3/29/24, 93 percent/78 percent)
Lawmen: Bass Reeves (Paramount+, 11/5/23, 81 percent/93 percent)
Griselda (Netflix, 1/25/24, 87 percent/71 percent)
Genius: MLK/X (Nat Geo, 2/5/24, 75 percent/80 percent)

Possibilities
We Were the Lucky Ones (Hulu, 3/28/24, 95 percent/85 percent)
Expats (Amazon, 1/26, 84 percent/50 percent)
Mary & George (Starz, 4/5/24, 97 percent/73 percent)
Franklin (Apple, 4/12/24, 70 percent/38 percent)
American Horror Story: Delicate (FX, 9/20/23, 77 percent/70 percent)
The Regime (HBO/Max, 3/3/24, 58 percent/57 percent)
Black Mirror (Netflix, 6/15/23, 78 percent/44 percent)
Under the Bridge (Hulu, 4/17/24, TDB percent/TBD percent)
The Veil (Hulu, 4/30/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)

Best TV Movie

Frontrunners
Scoop (Netflix, 4/5/24, 78 percent/62 percent)
Mr. Monk’s Last Case (Peacock, 12/8/23, 95 percent/80 percent)
The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial (Showtime, 10/6/23, 94 percent/77 percent)
Red, White and Royal Blue (Amazon, 8/11/23, 76 percent/93 percent)
Quiz Lady (Hulu, 11/3/23, 81 percent/81 percent)

Major Threats
Música (Amazon, 4/4/24, 95 percent/90 percent)
Totally Killer (Amazon, 10/6/23, 87 percent/77 percent)
No One Will Save You (Hulu, 9/22/23, 82 percent/56 percent)

Possibilities
Unfrosted (Netflix, 5/3/24, TBD percent/TBD percent) NEW
Upgraded (Amazon, 2/9/24, 77 percent/68 percent)
Self Reliance (Hulu, 1/12/24, 72 percent/62 percent)
Ricky Stanicky (Amazon/MGM, 3/7/24, 47 percent/74 percent)

Best Variety Talk Series

Frontrunners
The Daily Show (Comedy Central)
The Late Show With Stephen Colbert (CBS) — podcast (Stephen Colbert)
Jimmy Kimmel Live! (ABC) — podcast (Jimmy Kimmel)
Late Night With Seth Meyers (NBC) — podcast (Seth Meyers)
Real Time With Bill Maher (HBO/Max) — podcast (Bill Maher)

Major Threats
The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon (NBC) — podcast (Jimmy Fallon)

Possibilities
Watch What Happens Live (Bravo) — podcast (Andy Cohen)

Best Scripted Variety Series

Frontrunners
Last Week Tonight With John Oliver (HBO/Max)
Saturday Night Live (NBC) — podcast (Lorne Michaels)

Major Threats
John Mulaney Presents: Everybody’s in LA (Netflix) — podcast (John Mulaney)
After Midnight (CBS)

Possibilities
Painting with John (HBO/Max)

Best Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)

Frontrunners
Hannah Waddingham: Home for Christmas (Apple, 11/22/23, 100 percent/91 percent)
Dave Chappelle: The Dreamer (Netflix, 12/31/23, 20 percent/83 percent)
Dick Van Dyke 98 Years of Magic (CBS, 12/21/23, TBD percent/TBD percent)
A Grammy Salute to 50 Years of Hip Hop (CBS, 12/10/23, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Trevor Noah: Where Was I (Netflix, 12/19/23, TBD percent/46 percent) — podcast (Trevor Noah)

Major Threats
The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon: 10th Anniversary Special (NBC) — podcast (Jimmy Fallon) NEW
Library of Congress Gershwin Prize for Popular Song: Elton John & Bernie Taupin (PBS, 4/8/24, TBD percent/TBD percent) — podcast (Elton John)
Jennifer Lopez: This Is Me… Now: A Love Story (Amazon, 2/16/24, 75 percent/76 percent) — podcast (Jennifer Lopez)
The 46th Kennedy Center Honors (CBS, 12/27/23, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Alex Edelman: Just for Us (HBO/Max, 4/6/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Ricky Gervais: Armageddon (Netflix, 12/25/23, 50 percent/63 percent) — podcast (Ricky Gervais)
Kevin Hart: Reality Check (Peacock, 7/6/23, TBD percent/78 percent) — podcast (Kevin Hart)
Ramy Youssef: More Feelings (HBO/Max, 3/23/24, 100 percent/100 percent) — podcast (Ramy Youssef)
Taylor Mac’s 24–Decade History of Popular Music (HBO/Max, 6/27/23, 100 percent/62 percent)
Mike Birbiglia: The Old Man and the Pool (Netflix, 11/21/23, 100 percent/89 percent)
Barry Manilow’s A Very Barry Christmas (NBC, 12/8/23, TBD percent/67 percent)
Nikki Glaser: Someday You’ll Die (HBO/Max, TBD, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Amy Schumer: Emergency Contact (Netflix, 6/13/23, 100 percent/18 percent) NEW

Possibilities
Jacqueline Novak: Get on Your Knees (Netflix, 1/23/24, TBD percent/81 percent)
Taylor Tomlinson: Have It All (Netflix, 2/13/24, TBD percent/78 percent)
2023 Rock & Roll Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony (Disney+, 11/3/23, TBD percent/TBD percent)
iHeartRadio Jingle Ball 2023 (ABC, 12/21/23, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Jim Gaffigan: Dark Pale (Amazon, 7/25/23, TBD percent/37 percent)
Pete Davidson: Turbo Fonzarelli (Netflix, 1/9/24, TBD percent/58 percent)
John Early: Now More Than Ever (HBO/Max, 6/17/23, 100 percent/74 percent)
Tracy Morgan: Takin’ It Too Far (HBO/Max, 8/17/23, TBD percent/73 percent) — podcast (Tracy Morgan)
Jenny Slate: Seasoned Professional (Amazon, 2/23/24, TBD percent/61 percent)
Tig Notaro: Hello Again (Amazon, 3/6/24, TBD percent/61 percent)
Hannah Gadsby: Gender Agenda (Netflix, 3/5/24, TBD percent/42 percent) — podcast (Hannah Gadsby)
Kevin James: Irregardless (Amazon, 1/23/24, TBD percent/54 percent)

Best Variety Special (Live)

Frontrunners
The Oscars (ABC, 3/10/24, 83 percent/86 percent) — podcast (Jimmy Kimmel)
The Apple Music Super Bowl LVIII Halftime Show Starring Usher (CBS, 2/11/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
The 66th Annual Grammy Awards (CBS, 2/4/24, 60 percent/33 percent) — podcast (Trevor Noah & Ben Winston)
The 76th Tony Awards (CBS, 6/11/23, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Billy Joel: The 100th Live at Madison Square Garden (CBS, 4/14/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)

Major Threats
G.R.O.A.T. The Greatest Roast Of All Time: Tom Brady (Netflix, 5/5/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Apple Music Live: Jennifer Lopez (Apple, 2/21/24, TBD percent/TBD percent) — podcast (Jennifer Lopez)
Dick Clark’s New Year’s Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest (ABC, 12/31/23, TBD percent/TBD percent) — podcast (Ryan Seacrest)

Possibilities
The 57th Annual Country Music Association Awards (11/8/23, ABC, TBD percent/TBD percent)
SAG Awards (Netflix, 2/24/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
The 81st Golden Globe Awards (CBS, 1/7/24, 8 percent/10 percent)

Best Documentary or Nonfiction Series

Frontrunners
Quiet on the Set: The Dark Side of Kids TV (ID, 3/17/24, 100 percent/81 percent)
The Jinx — Part 2 (HBO/Max, 4/21/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Beckham (Netflix, 10/4/23, 88 percent/95 percent)
The Super Models (Apple, 9/20/23, 83 percent/74 percent) — podcast (Roger Ross Williams)
Our Planet II (Netflix, 6/14/23, 100 percent/86 percent)^

Major Threats
The Dynasty: New England Patriots (Apple, 2/16/24, 100 percent/50 percent)
Queens (Nat Geo, 3/4/24, 80 percent/TBD percent)
Secrets of the Octopus (Nat Geo, 4/21/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Planet Earth III (BBC America, 11/4/23, 100 percent/95 percent)
American Masters (PBS, 1/24/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Thank You, Goodnight: The Bon Jovi Story (Hulu, 4/26/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Telemarketers (HBO/Max, 8/13/23, 96 percent/94 percent)
Last Call: When a Serial Killer Stalked Queer New York (HBO/Max, 7/9/23, 100 percent/85 percent)
Escaping Twin Flames (Netflix, 11/8/23, 100 percent/76 percent)
Murder in Boston: Roots, Rampage & Reckoning (HBO/Max, 12/4/23, 100 percent/91 percent)

Possibilities
Predator v Prey (BBC America, 4/20/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Arnold (Netflix, 6/7/23, 70 percent/93 percent)
American Nightmare (Netflix, 1/17/24, 96 percent/87 percent)
Kings from Queens: The RUN DMC Story (Peacock, 2/1/24, 100 percent/TBD percent) NEW
Love Has Won: The Cult of Mother God (HBO/Max, 11/13/23, 100 percent/67 percent)
Shiny Happy People: Duggar Family Secrets (Amazon, 6/2/23, 100 percent/81 percent)
God Save Texas (HBO/Max, 2/27/24, 100 percent/TBD percent)
Deadlocked: How America Shaped the Supreme Court (Showtime, 9/22/23, 100 percent/TBD percent)
STAX: Soulsville, USA (HBO/Max, TBD, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Space Shuttle Columbia: The Final Flight (CNN, 4/7/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Black Twitter: A People’s History (Hulu, 5/9/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Wayne Shorter: Zero Gravity (Amazon, 8/24/23, 100 percent/TBD percent) NEW

Best Documentary or Nonfiction Special

Frontrunners
The Greatest Night in Pop (Netflix, 1/29/24, 98 percent/89 percent)
STEVE! (martin) a documentary in 2 pieces (Apple, 3/29/24, 91 percent/92 percent)
Jim Henson Idea Man (Disney+, 5/31/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Albert Brooks: Defending My Life (HBO/Max, 11/11/23, 97 percent/91 percent) — podcast (Rob Reiner)
Girls State (Apple, 4/5/24, 95 percent/TBD percent)

Major Threats
Rock Hudson: All That Heaven Allowed (HBO/Max, 6/28/23, 91 percent/74 percent)
In Restless Dreams: The Music of Paul Simon (MGM+, 3/17/24, 94 percent/TBD percent) — podcast (Alex Gibney)
The Beach Boys (Disney+, 5/24/24, TBD percent/TBD percent) — podcast (Frank Marshall)
Goliath (Showtime, 7/16/23, 100 percent/100 percent)
Wham! (Netflix, 7/5/23, 89 percent/88 percent)
Sly (Netflix, 11/3/23, 81 percent/87 percent)
For Love and Life: No Ordinary Campaign (Amazon, TBD, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Maxine’s Baby (Amazon, 11/17/23, 82 percent/86 percent)

Possibilities
The Bloody Hundredth (Apple, 3/15/24, TDB percent/93 percent)
Beyond the Aggressives: 25 Years Later (Showtime, 3/30/24, 100 percent/82 percent)
Kevin Hart & Chris Rock: Headliners Only (Netflix, 12/12/23, TBD percent/73 percent) — podcast (Kevin Hart)
As We Speak: Rap Music on Trial (Paramount+, 2/27/24, 87 percent/73 percent)
Lil Nas X: Long Live Montero (HBO/Max, 1/27/24, 69 percent/71 percent)
Spermworld (FX, 3/30/24, TDB percent/100 percent)
Stormy (Peacock, 3/18/24, 69 percent/62 percent) NEW
aka Mr. Chow (HBO/Max, 10/22/23, TBD percent/71 percent)
You Were My First Boyfriend (HBO/Max, 11/8/23, 100 percent/67 percent)

Exceptional Merit

Frontrunners
Stamped from the Beginning (Netflix, 11/20/23, 100 percent/65 percent) — podcast (Roger Ross Williams)
Going to Mars: The Nikki Giovanni Project (HBO/Max, 1/8/24, 97 percent/86 percent)
The Blue Angels (Amazon, TBD, TBD percent/TBD percent)

Major Threats
The Pigeon Tunnel (Apple, 10/20/23, 96 percent/68 percent)

Possibilities
Immediate Family (Magnolia, 12/15/23, 100 percent/92 percent)
Blue Carbon: Nature’s Hidden Power (CNN, 4/21/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)

Best Actor in a Drama Series

Frontrunners
Dominic West (The Crown, Netflix)
Gary Oldman (Slow Horses, Apple)
Tom Hiddleston (Loki, Disney+) — podcast
Donald Glover (Mr. and Mrs. Smith, Amazon)
Idris Elba (Hijack, Apple) — podcast
Walton Goggins (Fallout, Amazon)

Major Threats
Morgan Spector (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Ansel Elgort (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)
Nathan Fielder (The Curse, Showtime)

Possibilities
Timothy Olyphant (Justified: City Primeval, FX)
Paul Giamatti (Billions, Showtime) — podcast
John C. Reilly (Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, HBO/Max)
Quincy Isaiah (Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, HBO/Max)
Adrien Brody (Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, HBO/Max)

Best Actress in a Drama Series

Frontrunners
Imelda Staunton (The Crown, Netflix)
Jennifer Aniston (The Morning Show, Apple)*
Reese Witherspoon (The Morning Show, Apple)* — podcast
Maya Erskine (Mr. and Mrs. Smith, Amazon)
Emma Stone (The Curse, Showtime) — podcast
Carrie Coon (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)

Major Threats
Carrie Preston (Elsbeth, CBS)
Ella Purnell (Fallout, Amazon)
Jess Hong (3 Body Problem, Netflix)
Rebecca Ferguson (Silo, Apple)
Rosario Dawson (Ahsoka, Disney+)

Possibilities
Rachel Keller (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)
Noomi Rapace (Constellation, Apple)
Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Justified: City Primeval, FX) — podcast
Juliette Binoche (The New Look, Apple)

Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

Frontrunners
Billy Crudup (The Morning Show, Apple)^*
Jonathan Pryce (The Crown, Netflix) — podcast
Khalid Abdalla (The Crown, Netflix)
Mark Duplass (The Morning Show, Apple)*
Nathan Lane (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Ke Huy Quan (Loki, Disney+) — podcast
Benny Safdie (The Curse, Showtime)
Benedict Wong (3 Body Problem, Netflix)

Major Threats
Liam Cunningham (3 Body Problem, Netflix)
Owen Wilson (Loki, Disney+)
Jack Lowden (Slow Horses, Apple)
Aaron Moten (Fallout, Amazon)
John Douglas Thompson (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Shô Kasamatsu (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)
Ken Watanabe (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)

Possibilities
Wendell Pierce (Elsbeth, CBS)
Hayden Christensen (Ahsoka, Disney+)
Jon Hamm (The Morning Show, Apple)
David Oyelowo (Silo, Apple) — podcast
Tim Robbins (Silo, Apple)

Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

Frontrunners
Elizabeth Debicki (The Crown, Netflix)*
Lesley Manville (The Crown, Netflix)
Greta Lee (The Morning Show, Apple)
Nicole Beharie (The Morning Show, Apple)
Holland Taylor (The Morning Show, Apple)
Julianna Margulies (The Morning Show, Apple)
Olivia Williams (The Crown, Netflix)
Christine Baranski (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)

Major Threats
Cynthia Nixon (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Denée Benton (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Audra McDonald (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Karen Pittman (The Morning Show, Apple)
Sophia Di Martino (Loki)

Possibilities
Kristin Scott Thomas (Slow Horses, Apple)
Rinko Kikuchi (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)
Mary Elizabeth Winstead (Ahsoka, Disney+)
Natasha Liu Bordizzo (Ahsoka, Disney+)

Best Guest Actor in a Drama Series

Frontrunners
Rob Morgan (Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, HBO/Max)
Will Arnett (The Morning Show, Apple) — podcast NEW
Michael Emerson (Fallout, Amazon)
Kyle MacLachlan (Fallout, Amazon)
John Turturro (Mr. & Mrs. Smith, Amazon) — podcast
Tracy Letts (Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, HBO/Max)

Major Threats
Wagner Moura (Mr. & Mrs. Smith, Amazon)
Michael Braugher (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Darren Goldstein (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Danny Burstein (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)

Possibilities
John Bradley (3 Body Problem, Netflix)
John Goodman (Monarch: Legacy of Monsters, Apple)
Jonathan Pryce (Slow Horses, Apple)
Will Patton (Silo, Apple)

Best Guest Actress in a Drama Series

Frontrunners
Claire Foy (The Crown, Netflix)
Olivia Colman (The Crown, Netflix)
LisaGay Hamilton (Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, HBO/Max)
Natalie Morales (The Morning Show, Apple)
Marcia Gay Harden (The Morning Show, Apple)
Sarah Paulson (Mr. & Mrs. Smith, Amazon) — podcast

Major Threats
Laura Benanti (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Melanie Nicholls-King (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Parker Posey (Mr. & Mrs. Smith, Amazon)
Glenn Close (The New Look, Apple)
Dale Dickey (Fallout, Amazon)

Possibilities
Zine Tseng (3 Body Problem, Netflix)
Jessica Hecht (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)
Rashida Jones (Silo, Apple)
Beverly Glover (Mr. & Mrs. Smith, Amazon)

Best Actor in a Comedy Series

Frontrunners
Jeremy Allen White (The Bear, FX)^
Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)******
Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)** — podcast
Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)*
Theo James (The Gentlemen, Netflix)

Major Threats
Danny McBride (The Righteous Gemstones, HBO/Max)
Jharrel Jerome (I’m a Virgo, Amazon)
Kayvan Novak (What We Do in the Shadows, FX)
Matt Berry (What We Do in the Shadows, FX)

Possibilities
Kelsey Grammer (Frasier, Paramount+)
D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai (Reservation Dogs, FX)
Chris Messina (Based on a True Story, Peacock)
Utkarsh Ambudkar (Ghosts, CBS)

Best Actress in a Comedy Series

Frontrunners
Ayo Edebiri (The Bear, FX)^
Jean Smart (Hacks, HBO/Max)^^
Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary, ABC)*^ — podcast
Selena Gomez (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu) — podcast
Kristen Wiig (Palm Royale, Apple) — podcast

Major Threats
Maya Rudolph (Loot, Apple)
Devery Jacobs (Reservation Dogs, FX)
Natasha Demetriou (What We Do in the Shadows, FX)
Renee Elise Goldsberry (Girls5eva, Netflix)
Sara Bareilles (Girls5eva, Netflix)

Possibilities
Sarah Lancashire (Julia, HBO/Max)
Kaley Cuoco (Based on a True Story, Peacock) — podcast
Edi Patterson (The Righteous Gemstones, HBO/Max)
Rose McIver (Ghosts, CBS)
Amy Schumer (Life & Beth, Hulu) — podcast

Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

Frontrunners
Ebon Moss-Bachrach (The Bear, FX)^
Tyler James Williams (Abbott Elementary, ABC)**
Paul Rudd (Only Murders in the Buildings, Hulu)
Paul W. Downs (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Oliver Platt (The Bear, FX)*
Lionel Boyce (The Bear, FX)
Matty Matheson (The Bear, FX)

Major Threats
Carl Clemons-Hopkins (Hacks, HBO/Max)*
Chris Perfetti (Abbott Elementary, ABC)
Daniel Ings (The Gentlemen, Netflix)
Giancarlo Esposito (The Gentlemen, Netflix)
Vinnie Jones (The Gentlemen, Netflix)
Bowen Yang (Saturday Night Live, NBC)**
Kenan Thompson (Saturday Night Live, NBC)*** — podcast

Possibilities
J.B. Smoove (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Richard Lewis (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Joel Kim Booster (Loot, Apple)
Harvey Guillen (What We Do in the Shadows, FX)
Mark Proksch (What We Do in the Shadows, FX)
William Stanford Davis (Abbott Elementary, ABC)

Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

Frontrunners
Meryl Streep (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu) — podcast
Hannah Einbinder (Hacks, HBO/Max)**
Sheryl Lee Ralph (Abbott Elementary, ABC)^* — podcast
Janelle James (Abbott Elementary, ABC)**
Abby Elliott (The Bear, FX)
Liza Colon-Zayas (The Bear, FX)
Molly Gordon (The Bear, FX)

Major Threats
Meg Stalter (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Allison Janney (Palm Royale, Apple) — podcast
Carol Burnett (Palm Royale, Apple) — podcast
Laura Dern (Palm Royale, Apple)
Lisa Ann Walter (Abbott Elementary, ABC)
Kaya Scodelario (The Gentlemen, Netflix)
Judith Light (Julia, HBO/Max)

Possiblities
Susie Essman (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Tracey Ullman (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Carmen Ejogo (I’m a Virgo, Amazon)
Paulina Alexis (Reservation Dogs, FX)
Michaela Jaé Rodriguez (Loot, Apple)
Heidi Gardner (Saturday Night Live, NBC)
Chloe Fineman (Saturday Night Live, NBC)
Ego Nwodim (Saturday Night Live, NBC)

Best Guest Actor in a Comedy Series

Frontrunners
Jerry Seinfeld (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max) — podcast
Vince Vaughn (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max) — podcast
Jon Bernthal (The Bear, FX)*
John Mulaney (The Bear, FX) — podcast
Christopher McDonald (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Bradley Cooper (Abbott Elementary, ABC)

Major Threats
Bob Odenkirk (The Bear, FX) — podcast
Ryan Gosling (Saturday Night Live, NBC)
Christopher Lloyd (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Sean Hayes (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Ethan Hawke (Reservation Dogs, FX) — podcast
Timothée Chalamet (Saturday Night Live, NBC) — podcast
Matthew Broderick (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
James Caverly (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
Mel Brooks (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
Keegan-Michael Key (Abbott Elementary, ABC)
Tony Goldwyn (Hacks, HBO/Max) — podcast
Max Beesley (The Gentlemen, Netflix)
Guz Khan (The Gentlemen, Netflix)

Possibilities
Bruce Dern (Palm Royale, Apple)
Adam Driver (Saturday Night Live, NBC) — podcast
Jacob Elordi (Saturday Night Live, NBC)
Ted Danson (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max) — podcast
Greg Kinnear (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Josh Brolin (Saturday Night Live, NBC)
Tim Bagley (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Hal Linden (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Adam Scott (Loot, Apple)
Benjamin Bratt (Loot, Apple)
Zack Fox (Abbott Elementary, ABC)
Nick Offerman (The Conners, ABC)
Kevin Kane (Life & Beth, Hulu)

Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series

Frontrunners
Jamie Lee Curtis (The Bear, FX)
Kristen Wiig (Saturday Night Live, NBC) — podcast
Olivia Colman (The Bear, FX) — podcast
Kate McKinnon (Saturday Night Live, NBC)
Kaitlin Olson (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Allison Janney (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO) — podcast

Major Threats
Sydney Sweeney (Saturday Night Live, NBC) — podcast
Da’Vine Joy Randolph (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
Jane Lynch (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
Emma Stone (Saturday Night Live, NBC) — podcast
Gillian Jacobs (The Bear, FX)
Sarah Paulson (The Bear, FX) — podcast
Dakota Johnson (Saturday Night Live, NBC) — podcast
Ayo Edebiri (Saturday Night Live, NBC)
J. Smith-Cameron (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Andrea Martin (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu) — podcast

Possibilities
Tina Fey (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu) — podcast
Sienna Miller (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Helen Hunt (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Christina Hendricks (Hacks, HBO/Max) — podcast
Jane Adams (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Ana Gasteyer (Loot, Apple)
Jackie Hoffman (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
Whitney Cummings (Physical, Apple)
Jayne Houdyshell (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
Amy Sedaris (Life & Beth, Hulu)

Best Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or a TV Movie

Frontrunners
Jon Hamm (Fargo, FX)
Hiroyuki Sanada (Shōgun, FX)
Cosmo Jarvis (Shōgun, FX)
Andrew Scott (Ripley, Netflix)
Matt Bomer (Fellow Travelers, Showtime)
Tom Hollander (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)

Major Threats
Richard Gadd (Baby Reindeer, Netflix) NEW
David Oyelowo (Lawmen: Bass Reeves, Paramount+) — podcast
Michael Douglas (Franklin, Apple) — podcast
Tony Shalhoub (Mr. Monk’s Last Case, Peacock) — podcast
Austin Butler (Masters of the Air, Apple) — podcast
Callum Turner (Masters of the Air, Apple)
Kiefer Sutherland (The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial, Showtime)
Hoa Xuande (The Sympathizer, HBO/Max)

Possibilities
Ewan McGregor (A Gentleman in Moscow, Paramount+)
Aaron Pierre (Genius: MLX/X, Nat Geo)
Kelvin Harrison Jr. (Genius: MLK/X, Nat Geo)
Nicholas Galitzine (Mary & George, Starz)
Matthias Schoenaerts (The Regime, HBO/Max)
Aaron Paul (Black Mirror, Netflix)
Clive Owen (Monsieur Spade, AMC)
Bill Pullman (Murdaugh Murders: The Movie, Lifetime)

Best Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or a TV Movie

Frontrunners
Anna Sawai (Shōgun, FX)
Brie Larson (Lessons in Chemistry, Apple) — podcast
Juno Temple (Fargo, FX)
Sofia Vergara (Griselda, Netflix)
Jodie Foster (True Detective: Night Country, HBO/Max) — podcast
Naomi Watts (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)

Major Threats
Kate Winslet (The Regime, HBO/Max) — podcast 1 and 2
Emma Corrin (A Murder at the End of the World, FX)
Julianne Moore (Mary & George, Starz) — podcast
Nicole Kidman (Expats, Amazon) — podcast
Ji-young Yoo (Expats, Amazon)
Elisabeth Moss (The Veil, Hulu) — podcast
Joey King (We Were the Lucky Ones, Hulu)

Possibilities
Mary Elizabeth Winstead (A Gentleman in Moscow, Showtime)
Annette Bening (Apples Never Fall, Peacock) — podcast
Billie Piper (Scoop, Netflix)
Annie Murphy (Black Mirror, Netflix)
Awkwafina (Quiz Lady, Hulu) — podcast
Sandra Oh (Quiz Lady, Hulu) — podcast
Aria Mia Loberti (All the Light We Cannot See, Netflix)

Best Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or a TV Movie

Frontrunners
Robert Downey Jr. (The Sympathizer, HBO/Max)
Lewis Pullman (Lessons in Chemistry, Apple)
Jonathan Bailey (Fellow Travelers, Showtime)
Tadanobu Asano (Shōgun, FX)
Barry Keoghan (Masters of the Air, Apple)
Anthony Boyle (Masters of the Air, Apple)
Johnny Flynn (Ripley, Netflix)

Major Threats
John Malkovich (Ripley, Netflix)
Ron Cephas Jones (Genius: MLK/X, Nat Geo)
Hugh Grant (The Regime, HBO/Max) — podcast
Joe Keery (Fargo, FX)
John Hawkes (True Detective: Night Country, HBO/Max)
Treat Williams (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Joe Mantello (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX) — podcast
Russell Tovey (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Rufus Sewell (Scoop, Netflix)

Possibilities
Sam Spruell (Fargo, FX)
Lamorne Morris (Fargo, FX)
Dennis Quaid (Lawmen: Bass Reeves, Paramount+)
Harris Dickinson (A Murder at the End of the World, FX)
Jack Huston (Expats, Amazon)
Brian Tee (Expats, Amazon)
Donald Sutherland (Lawmen: Bass Reeves, Paramount+)
Barry Pepper (Lawmen: Bass Reeves, Paramount+)
Josh Hartnett (Black Mirror)
Josh Charles (The Veil, Hulu)

Best Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or a TV Movie

Frontrunners
Jennifer Jason Leigh (Fargo, FX) — podcast
Kali Reis (True Detective: Night Country, HBO/Max)
Aja Naomi King (Lessons in Chemistry, Apple)
Fiona Shaw (True Detective: Night Country, HBO/Max)
Calista Flockhart (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Diane Lane (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Moeka Hoshi (Shōgun, FX) NEW

Major Threats
Chloe Sevigny (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Molly Ringwald (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Demi Moore (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Dakota Fanning (Ripley, Netflix)
Jessica Gunning (Baby Reindeer, Netflix) NEW
Nava Mau (Baby Reindeer, Netflix) NEW
Allison Williams (Fellow Travelers, Showtime) — podcast
Sandra Oh (The Sympathizer, HBO/Max) — podcast
Riley Keough (Under the Bridge, Hulu)
Lily Gladstone (Under the Bridge, Hulu) — podcast

Possibilities
Richa Moorjani (Fargo, FX)
Isabella Star LeBlanc (True Detective: Night Country, HBO/Max)
Andrea Riseborough (The Regime, HBO/Max)
Martha Plimpton (The Regime, HBO/Max)
Gillian Anderson (Scoop, Netflix) — podcast
Salma Hayek (Black Mirror)
Kate Mara (Black Mirror)
Sarayu Blue (Expats, Amazon)
Ruby Ruiz (Expats, Amazon)

Best Writing for a Drama Series

Frontrunners
The Crown (Netflix)***^*
Slow Horses (Apple)
Loki (Disney+)
Mr. and Mrs. Smith (Amazon)
3 Body Problem (Netflix)
The Gilded Age (HBO/Max)
The Curse (Showtime)

Major Threats
Fallout (Amazon)
Tokyo Vice (HBO/Max)
The Morning Show (Apple)

Possibilities
Ahsoka (Disney+)
Elsbeth (CBS)
Hijack (Apple)
Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty (HBO/Max)

Best Writing for a Comedy Series

Frontrunners
The Bear (FX)^
Abbott Elementary (ABC)^
Hacks (Max)^*
Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)**
The Gentlemen (Netflix)
What We Do in the Shadows (FX)**

Major Threats
Reservation Dogs (FX)
I’m a Virgo (Amazon)
Loot (Apple)
Girls5eva (Netflix)*

Possibilities
Palm Royale (Apple)
Gen V (Amazon)
Ted (Peacock)
Never Have I Ever (Netflix)

Best Writing for a Limited or Anthology Series

Frontrunners
Shōgun (FX)
Fargo (FX)
True Detective: Night Country (HBO/Max)
Ripley (Netflix)
Lessons in Chemistry (Apple)
Feud: Capote vs. the Swans (FX)

Major Threats
Baby Reindeer (Netflix)
Fellow Travelers (Showtime)
Griselda (Netflix)
A Murder at the End of the World (FX)
Masters of the Air (Apple)
A Gentleman in Moscow (Showtime)

Possibilities
Lawmen: Bass Reeves (Paramount+)
Under the Bridge (Hulu)
Expats (Amazon)
Black Mirror (Netflix)
We Were the Lucky Ones (Hulu)
Franklin (Apple)

Best Writing for a Variety Series

Frontrunners
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO)*^^^^^^^^
Late Night with Seth Meyers (NBC)***** — podcast (Seth Meyers)
The Late Show with Stephen Colbert (CBS)******* — podcast (Stephen Colbert)
Saturday Night Live (NBC)^^^^************************* — podcast (Lorne Michaels)
The Daily Show (Comedy Central)

Major Threats
John Mulaney Presents: Everybody’s in LA (Netflix) — podcast (John Mulaney)
Real Time With Bill Maher (HBO/Max)****** — podcast (Bill Maher)

Possibilities
Jimmy Kimmel Live! (ABC)* — podcast (Jimmy Kimmel)
The Amber Ruffin Show (Peacock)*

Best Writing for a Variety Special

Frontrunners
Alex Edelman: Just for Us (HBO/Max)
Dave Chappelle: The Dreamer (Netflix)
Trevor Noah: Where Was I (Netflix) — podcast (Trevor Noah)
Ricky Gervais: Armageddon (Netflix) — podcast (Ricky Gervais)
Mike Birbiglia: The Old Man and the Pool (Netflix)

Major Threats
Dick Van Dyke 98 Years of Magic (CBS)
G.R.O.A.T. The Greatest Roast Of All Time: Tom Brady (Netflix)
John Early: Now More Than Ever (HBO/Max)
Ramy Youssef: More Feelings (HBO/Max) — podcast (Ramy Youssef)
Jenny Slate: Seasoned Professional (Amazon)
Hannah Waddingham: Home for Christmas (Apple)

Possibilities
Amy Schumer: Emergency Contact (Netflix)
Jim Gaffigan: Dark Pale (Amazon)
Tig Notaro: Hello Again (Amazon)
Hannah Gadsby: Gender Agenda (Netflix) — podcast (Hannah Gadsby)
Nikki Glaser: Someday You’ll Die (HBO/Max)
Taylor Tomlinson: Have It All (Netflix)

Best Writing for a Nonfiction Program

Frontrunners
Quiet on the Set: The Dark Side of Kids TV (ID)
The Jinx — Part 2 (HBO/Max)
Stamped from the Beginning (Netflix)
Our Planet II (Netflix)
Queens (Nat Geo)

Major Threats
American Masters (PBS)
Life on Our Planet (Netflix)
Planet Earth III (BBC America)
Maxine’s Baby (Amazon)

Possibilities
For Love and Life: No Ordinary Campaign (Amazon)
Last Call: When a Serial Killer Stalked Queer New York (HBO/Max)
Telemarketers (HBO/Max)
Deadlocked: How America Shaped the Supreme Court (Showtime)

Best Structured Reality Program

Frontrunners
Queer Eye (Netflix)
Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives (Food Network)
Love Is Blind (Netflix)
Shark Tank (ABC)
Antiques Roadshow (PBS)

Major Threats
Running Wild with Bear Grylls (Nat Geo)
Finding Your Roots (PBS)
Twin Love (Amazon)
The Ultimatum: Marry or Move (Netflix)

Possibilities
Pawn Stars (History)
Couple to Throuple (Peacock)

Best Unstructured Reality Program

Frontrunners
Welcome to Wrexham (FX)^ — podcast (Ryan Reynolds)
RuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked (MTV)^******
Love on the Spectrum (Netflix)^
Selling Sunset (Netflix)***
The Jerrod Carmichael Reality Show (HBO/Max) — podcast (Jerrod Carmichael)

Major Threats
Vanderpump Rules (Bravo)*
Real Housewives of Salt Lake City (Bravo)
Below Deck Mediterranean (Bravo)*
Deadliest Catch (Discovery)^^^**********
Project Greenlight: A New Generation (HBO/Max)

Possibilities
Life Below Zero (Nat Geo)*
Love Undercover (Peacock)
The Real Housewives Ultimate Girls Trip: RHONY Legacy (Peacock)
Couples Therapy (Showtime)
Friends in Low Places (Amazon)

Best Reality Competition Program

Frontrunners
RuPaul’s Drag Race (MTV) — podcast (RuPaul)^^^^^**
The Amazing Race (CBS)^^^^^^^^^^**********
The Voice (NBC)^^^^********
Survivor (CBS)*******
The Big Nailed It Baking Challenge (Netflix)****

Major Threats
Top Chef (Bravo)^****************
American Idol (ABC)*********
The Traitors (Peacock)
American Ninja Warrior (NBC)****
Project Runway (Bravo)**************
The Golden Bachelor (ABC)
Squid Game: The Challenge (Netflix)

Possibilities
So You Think You Can Dance (Fox)*****
Dancing with the Stars (ABC)***********
The Masked Singer (Fox)*
Is It Cake? (Netflix)
America’s Got Talent (NBC)
Deal or No Deal Island (NBC)
Tournament of Champions (Food Network)

Best Game Show

Frontrunners
Jeopardy! (ABC/Syndicated)^
Family Feud (ABC/Syndicated)*
Wheel of Fortune (Syndicated)*
The Price Is Right (CBS)*
Password (NBC) podcast (Jimmy Fallon)

Major Threats
Game Changer (Dropout)
The Wall (NBC)
Weakest Link (NBC)

Possibilities
The Floor (Fox)
We Are Family (Fox)

Best Animated Program

Frontrunners
X-Men ’97 (Disney+)
The Simpsons (Fox)^^^^^^^^^^^^********************
Bob’s Burgers (Fox)^^**********
Archer (FXX)^***
Big Mouth (Netflix)***

Major Threats
Blue Eye Samurai (Netflix)
Rick and Morty (Adult Swim)^^**
What If…? (Disney+)*
Hazbin Hotel (Amazon)
The Second Best Hospital in the Galaxy (Amazon)
Star Trek: Lower Decks (Paramount+)
South Park: Joining the Panderverse (Paramount+)

Possibilities
Mike Judge’s Beavis and Butthead (Paramount+)
Invincible (Amazon)
Iwájú (Disney+)
Dora (Paramount+)
Grimsburg (Fox)
In the Know (Peacock)

Archived Forecasts
April 15, 2024
April 9, 2024

Best of The Hollywood Reporter

• A 'Star Wars' Timeline: All the Movies and TV Shows in the Franchise

• 'Star Wars': 16 Animated Characters Who Made the Leap to Live-Action

• Power Showrunners: Hollywood’s 50-ish Most Influential Writer-Producers of 2023