Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

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OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

UPDATED: May 25, 2023

2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series

Weekly Commentary: FX’s “Fleishman is in Trouble” has passionate admirers and is adapted from a very popular novel. It could be the quiet storm brewing on the backend, with the potential to become a bonafide front-runner.

Netflix’s “Beef” will be submitted as a limited or anthology series (you can read the Variety exclusive here). Starring Steven Yeun and Ali Wong, the series dropped on the streaming platform on April 6, garnering positive reviews from critics and audiences. Currently, the show sits at 99% on Rotten Tomatoes from critics and 92% from audiences. However, the David Choe controversy could be a hindrance on the campaign trail.

For the Emmys to nominate six limited series, there must be 80 submissions for the category. As it stands, we are tracking 30-40. There are always surprise shows that are submitted by networks in order to beef up the numbers, but it looks unlikely we’ll get close to the required number, leaving five series vying for attention. That can yield some shocking inclusions and exclusions.

Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.

And the Predicted Nominees Are:

1. “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)

2. “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)

3. “Fleishman is in Trouble” (FX)

4. “George & Tammy” (Showtime)

5. “Daisy Jones & the Six” (Prime Video)

Next in Line

1. “Love & Death” (HBO)

2. “Beef” (Netflix)

3. “White House Plumbers” (HBO)

4. “Dead Ringers” (Prime Video)

5. “Swarm” (Prime Video)

Other Top-Tier Possibilities

1. “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)

2. “A Small Light” (National Geographic)

3. “The Patient” (Hulu)

4. “Mrs. Davis” (Peacock)

5. “Tiny Beautiful Things” (Hulu)

6. “Five Days at Memorial” (Apple TV+)

7. “Welcome to Chippendales” (Hulu)

8. “The English” (Prime Video)

9. “Great Expectations” (Hulu)

10. “This is Going to Hurt” (AMC)

All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**

• “This is Going to Hurt” (AMC)

• “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)

• “Extrapolations” (Apple TV+)

• “Five Days at Memorial” (Apple TV+)

• “The Last Thing He Told Me” (Apple TV+)

• “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)

• “Accused” (Fox)

• “Fleishman is in Trouble” (FX)

• “Irma Vep” (HBO)

• “Love & Death” (HBO)

• “White House Plumbers” (HBO)

• “Great Expectations” (Hulu)

• “Mike” (Hulu)

• “The Patient” (Hulu)

• “Tiny Beautiful Things” (Hulu)

• “Welcome to Chippendales” (Hulu)

• “A Small Light” (National Geographic)

• “Beef” (Netflix)

• “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)

• “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)

• “From Scratch” (Netflix)

• “Kaleidoscope” (Netflix)

• “Transatlantic” (Netflix)

• “The Watcher” (Netflix)

• “The Witcher: Blood Origin” (Netflix)

• “Tom Jones: Masterpiece” (PBS)

• “A Friend of the Family” (Peacock)

• “Last Light” (Peacock)

• “Mrs. Davis” (Peacock)

• “Paul T. Goldman” (Peacock)

• “Chloe” (Prime Video)

• “Daisy Jones & the Six” (Prime Video)

• “Dead Ringers” (Prime Video)

• “The English” (Prime Video)

• “A Spy Among Friends” (Prime Video)

• “Swarm” (Prime Video)

• “George & Tammy” (Showtime)

** This list or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.

2022 category winner: “The White Lotus” (HBO) — Season 1 — Mike White, David Bernad, Nick Hall (executive producers); Mark Kamine (co-executive producer)

Emmy Awards Predictions Categories

DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) |

Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories

GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED |

About the Primetime Emmy Awards

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.

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