Emmy predictions 2023: ‘Shrinking’ now predicted to receive nomination [Updated July 10]

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If the 2023 Emmy Awards nominations were announced today, what would Gold Derby predict would be the nominees and winners? Our predictions center officially opened on January 31 and already more than 4,700 people have made their nominations forecasts in 25 top races. Who’s out front to claim golden trophies in our 2023 Emmy predictions?

Below, see a snapshot in time of our racetrack odds for Emmy predictions 2023, updated July 10. Our odds are based on the combined forecasts of Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc.

More from GoldDerby

Now predicted to receive nominations since the last update: “Shrinking” in Best Comedy Series.

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BEST COMEDY SERIES

Predicted Nominees

1. “Ted Lasso” — 5/1
2. “Abbott Elementary” — 5/1
3. “The Bear” — 6/1
4. “Only Murders in the Building” — 8/1
5. “Barry” — 17/2
6. “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 11/1
7. “Poker Face” — 13/1
8. “Shrinking” — 20/1

Predicted Spoilers

“Wednesday,” “What We Do in the Shadows,” “Reservation Dogs,” “The Other Two,” “Atlanta,” “Somebody Somewhere”
See more Comedy Series contenders …

BEST COMEDY ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees

1. Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”) — 10/3
2. Rachel Brosnahan (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) — 9/2
3. Christina Applegate (“Dead to Me”) — 5/1
4. Natasha Lyonne (“Poker Face”) — 11/2
5. Jenna Ortega (“Wednesday”) — 11/2

Predicted Spoilers

Elle Fanning (“The Great”), Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”), Bridget Everett (“Somebody Somewhere”), Cecily Strong (“Schmigadoon”), Linda Cardellini (“Dead to Me”), Helene Yorke (“The Other Two”)
See more Comedy Actress contenders …

BEST COMEDY ACTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”) — 17/5
2. Jason Sudeikis (“Ted Lasso”) — 19/5
3. Bill Hader (“Barry”) — 9/2
4. Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 5/1
5. Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 11/2

Predicted Spoilers

Jason Segel (“Shrinking”), Donald Glover (“Atlanta”), Nicholas Hoult (“The Great”), Bob Odenkirk (“Lucky Hank”), Drew Tarver (“The Other Two”), Matt Berry (“What We Do in the Shadows”)
See more Comedy Actor contenders …

BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees

1. Sheryl Lee Ralph (“Abbott Elementary”) — 5/1
2. Hannah Waddingham (“Ted Lasso”) — 6/1
3. Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”) — 6/1
4. Janelle James (“Abbott Elementary”) — 13/2
5. Alex Borstein (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) — 15/2
6. Juno Temple (“Ted Lasso”) — 9/1
7. Sarah Goldberg (“Barry”) — 21/2

Predicted Spoilers

Lisa Ann Walter (“Abbott Elementary”), Jessica Williams (“Shrinking”), Cecily Strong (“Saturday Night Live”), Molly Shannon (“The Other Two”), Michelle Yeoh (“American Born Chinese”), Zazie Beetz (“Atlanta”)
See more Comedy Supp. Actress contenders …

BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Tyler James Williams (“Abbott Elementary”) — 11/2
2. Brett Goldstein (“Ted Lasso”) — 6/1
3. Henry Winkler (“Barry”) — 6/1
4. Anthony Carrigan (“Barry”) — 7/1
5. Harrison Ford (“Shrinking”) — 8/1
6. Tony Shalhoub (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) — 19/2
7. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”) — 12/1

Predicted Spoilers

Phil Dunster (“Ted Lasso”), Nick Mohammed (“Ted Lasso”), Bowen Yang (“Saturday Night Live”), Chris Perfetti (“Abbott Elementary”), James Marsden (“Jury Duty”), Brian Tyree Henry (“Atlanta”)
See more Comedy Supp. Actor contenders …

BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees

1. Taraji P. Henson (“Abbott Elementary”) — 19/5
2. Quinta Brunson (“Saturday Night Live”) — 5/1
3. Shirley MacLaine (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 6/1
4. Cherry Jones (“Poker Face”) — 15/2
5. Judith Light (“Poker Face”) — 8/1
6. Harriet Walter (“Ted Lasso”) — 13/1

Predicted Spoilers

Ayo Edebiri (“Abbott Elementary”), Sarah Niles (“Ted Lasso”), Becky Ann Baker (“Ted Lasso”), Molly Shannon (“Saturday Night Live”), Jane Lynch (“Only Murders in the Building”), Hong Chau (“Poker Face”)
See more Comedy Guest Actress contenders …

BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Nathan Lane (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 37/10
2. Steve Martin and Martin Short (“Saturday Night Live”) — 9/2
3. Luke Kirby (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) — 11/2
4. Pedro Pascal (“Saturday Night Live”) — 13/2
5. Leslie Odom Jr. (“Abbott Elementary”) — 19/2
6. Adrien Brody (“Poker Face”) — 14/1

Predicted Spoilers

Jon Bernthal (“The Bear”), Oliver Platt (“The Bear”), Dave Chappelle (“Saturday Night Live”), Hank Azaria (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”), Nick Nolte (“Poker Face”), Sam Richardson (“Ted Lasso”)
See more Comedy Guest Actor contenders …

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BEST DRAMA SERIES

Predicted Nominees

1. “Succession” — 4/1
2. “The White Lotus” — 11/2
3. “The Last of Us” — 7/1
4. “Better Call Saul” — 7/1
5. “The Crown” — 19/2
6. “Yellowjackets” — 21/2
7. “House of the Dragon” — 23/2
8. “Andor” — 16/1

Predicted Spoilers

“Yellowstone,” “Bad Sisters,” “The Mandalorian,” “The Handmaid’s Tale,” “The Old Man,” “Slow Horses”
See more Drama Series contenders …

BEST DRAMA ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees

1. Sarah Snook (“Succession”) — 39/10
2. Melanie Lynskey (“Yellowjackets”) — 4/1
3. Bella Ramsey (“The Last of Us”) — 11/2
4. Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”) — 13/2
5. Emma D’Arcy (“House of the Dragon”) — 11/1
6. Elisabeth Moss (“The Handmaid’s Tale”) — 12/1

Predicted Spoilers

Keri Russell (“The Diplomat”), Helen Mirren (“1923”), Sharon Horgan (“Bad Sisters”), Juliette Lewis (“Yellowjackets”), Sophie Nelisse (“Yellowjackets”), Kelly Reilly (“Yellowstone”)
See more Drama Actress contenders …

BEST DRAMA ACTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Jeremy Strong (“Succession”) — 9/2
2. Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”) — 9/2
3. Kieran Culkin (“Succession”) — 9/2
4. Pedro Pascal (“The Last of Us”) — 11/2
5. Brian Cox (“Succession”) — 8/1
6. Jeff Bridges (“The Old Man”) — 13/1

Predicted Spoilers

Paddy Considine (“House of the Dragon”), Diego Luna (“Andor”), Harrison Ford (“1923”), Kevin Costner (“Yellowstone”), Matthew Rhys (“Perry Mason”), Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”)
See more Drama Actor contenders …

BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees

1. Jennifer Coolidge (“The White Lotus”) — 4/1
2. Rhea Seehorn (“Better Call Saul”) — 11/2
3. Elizabeth Debicki (“The Crown”) — 7/1
4. Aubrey Plaza (“The White Lotus”) — 15/2
5. J. Smith-Cameron (“Succession”) — 9/1
6. Christina Ricci (“Yellowjackets”) — 9/1
7. Meghann Fahy (“The White Lotus”) — 23/2
8. Carol Burnett (“Better Call Saul”) — 16/1

Predicted Spoilers

Lesley Manville (“The Crown”), Sabrina Impacciatore (“The White Lotus”), Justine Lupe (“Succession”), Olivia Cooke (“House of the Dragon”), Ann Dowd (“The Handmaid’s Tale”), Milly Alcock (“House of the Dragon”)
See more Drama Supp. Actress contenders …

BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Matthew Macfadyen (“Succession”) — 4/1
2. Giancarlo Esposito (“Better Call Saul”) — 7/1
3. F. Murray Abraham (“The White Lotus”) — 17/2
4. Alan Ruck (“Succession”) — 17/2
5. Nicholas Braun (“Succession”) — 10/1
6. Alexander Skarsgard (“Succession”) — 21/2
7. Matt Smith (“House of the Dragon”) — 11/1
8. John Lithgow (“The Old Man”) — 16/1

Predicted Spoilers

Jonathan Banks (“Better Call Saul”), Jonathan Pryce (“The Crown”), Tom Hollander (“The White Lotus”), Will Sharpe (“The White Lotus”), Stellan Skarsgard (“Andor”), Michael Imperioli (“The White Lotus”)
See more Drama Supp. Actor contenders …

BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees

1. Harriet Walter (“Succession”) — 4/1
2. Melanie Lynskey (“The Last of Us”) — 5/1
3. Cherry Jones (“Succession”) — 6/1
4. Anna Torv (“The Last of Us”) — 7/1
5. Fiona Shaw (“Andor”) — 9/1
6. Hiam Abbass (“Succession”) — 19/2

Predicted Spoilers

Hope Davis (“Succession”), Betsy Brandt (“Better Call Saul”), Claire Foy (“The Crown”), Storm Reid (“The Last of Us”), Nico Parker (“The Last of Us”), Mckenna Grace (“The Handmaid’s Tale”)
See more Drama Guest Actress contenders …

BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Nick Offerman (“The Last of Us”) — 71/20
2. Murray Bartlett (“The Last of Us”) — 4/1
3. James Cromwell (“Succession”) — 11/2
4. Bryan Cranston (“Better Call Saul”) — 13/2
5. Andy Serkis (“Andor”) — 9/1
6. Arian Moayed (“Succession”) — 23/2

Predicted Spoilers

Aaron Paul (“Better Call Saul”), Giancarlo Esposito (“The Mandalorian”), Jon Gries (“The White Lotus”), Justin Kirk (“Succession”), Lamar Johnson (“The Last of Us”), Michael McKean (“Better Call Saul”)
See more Drama Guest Actor contenders …

BEST LIMITED SERIES

Predicted Nominees

1. “Beef” — 19/5
2. “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” — 39/10
3. “Black Bird” — 9/2
4. “Fleishman Is in Trouble” — 7/1
5. “Daisy Jones and the Six” — 19/2

Predicted Spoilers

“George and Tammy,” “A Small Light,” “Love and Death,” “White House Plumbers,” “The Patient,” “Swarm”
See more Limited Series contenders …

BEST TV MOVIE

Predicted Nominees

1. “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” — 10/3
2. “Prey” — 9/2
3. “Fire Island” — 9/2
4. “Reality” — 6/1
5. “Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas” — 15/2

Predicted Spoilers

“Hocus Pocus 2,” “Boston Strangler,” “Reno 911: It’s a Wonderful Heist,” “Jerry and Marge Go Large,” “The Last Kingdom: Seven Kings Must Die,” “Disenchanted”
See more TV Movie contenders …

BEST MOVIE/LIMITED ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees

1. Jessica Chastain (“George and Tammy”) — 4/1
2. Ali Wong (“Beef”) — 9/2
3. Elizabeth Olsen (“Love and Death”) — 13/2
4. Emily Blunt (“The English”) — 8/1
5. Riley Keough (“Daisy Jones and the Six”) — 9/1
6. Rachel Weisz (“Dead Ringers”) — 10/1

Predicted Spoilers

Lizzy Caplan (“Fleishman Is in Trouble”), Dominique Fishback (“Swarm”), Bel Powley (“A Small Light”), Sydney Sweeney (“Reality”), Betty Gilpin (“Mrs. Davis”), Kathryn Hahn (“Tiny Beautiful Things”)
See more Movie/Limited Actress contenders …

BEST MOVIE/LIMITED ACTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Evan Peters (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) — 37/10
2. Steven Yeun (“Beef”) — 9/2
3. Taron Egerton (“Black Bird”) — 5/1
4. Daniel Radcliffe (“Weird: The Al Yankovic Story”) — 6/1
5. Michael Shannon (“George and Tammy”) — 17/2
6. Steve Carell (“The Patient”) — 23/2

Predicted Spoilers

Woody Harrelson (“White House Plumbers”), Jesse Eisenberg (“Fleishman Is in Trouble”), Ben Whishaw (“This Is Going To Hurt”), Ewan McGregor (“Obi-Wan Kenobi”), Chaske Spencer (“The English”), Kumail Nanjiani (“Welcome to Chippendales”)
See more Movie/Limited Actor contenders …

BEST MOVIE/LIMITED SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees

1. Niecy Nash-Betts (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) — 9/2
2. Claire Danes (“Fleishman Is in Trouble”) — 11/2
3. Maria Bello (“Beef”) — 8/1
4. Olivia Colman (“Great Expectations”) — 9/1
5. Cherry Jones (“Five Days at Memorial”) — 11/1
6. Lena Headey (“White House Plumbers”) — 23/2
7. Ashley Park (“Beef”) — 14/1

Predicted Spoilers

Lily Rabe (“Love and Death”), Michael Learned (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”), Judy Greer (“White House Plumbers”), Merritt Wever (“Tiny Beautiful Things”), Camila Morrone (“Daisy Jones and the Six”), Jennifer Coolidge (“The Watcher”)
See more Movie/Limited Supp. Actress contenders …

BEST MOVIE/LIMITED SUPPORTING ACTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Paul Walter Hauser (“Black Bird”) — 5/1
2. Richard Jenkins (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) — 11/2
3. Domhnall Gleeson (“The Patient”) — 13/2
4. Ray Liotta (“Black Bird”) — 13/2
5. Young Mazino (“Beef”) — 17/2
6. Jesse Plemons (“Love and Death”) — 11/1
7. Murray Bartlett (“Welcome to Chippendales”) — 14/1

Predicted Spoilers

Liev Schreiber (“A Small Light”), Joseph Lee (“Beef”), Rodney Burford (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”), Bowen Yang (“Fire Island”), Greg Kinnear (“Black Bird”), Tom Pelphrey (“Love and Death”)
See more Movie/Limited Supp. Actor contenders …

BEST COMPETITION PROGRAM

Predicted Nominees

1. “RuPaul’s Drag Race” — 16/5
2. “The Amazing Race” — 4/1
3. “Top Chef” — 4/1
4. “The Voice” — 11/2
5. “The Traitors” — 15/2

Predicted Spoilers

“Nailed It,” “The Masked Singer,” “Survivor,” “America’s Got Talent,” “LEGO Masters,” “Dancing With the Stars”
See more Competition Program contenders …

BEST REALITY HOST

Predicted Nominees

1. RuPaul Charles (“RuPaul’s Drag Race”) — 16/5
2. Queer Eye Hosts (“Queer Eye”) — 9/2
3. Nicole Byer (“Nailed It”) — 9/2
4. Padma Lakshmi (“Top Chef”) — 5/1
5. Alan Cumming (“The Traitors”) — 13/2

Predicted Spoilers

Shark Tank Hosts (“Shark Tank”), Amy Poehler and Maya Rudolph (“Baking It”), Stephen Colbert (“Pickled”), Dan Levy (“The Big Brunch”), Heidi Klum and Tim Gunn (“Making the Cut”), Phil Keoghan (“The Amazing Race”)
See more Reality Host contenders …

BEST VARIETY TALK SERIES

Predicted Nominees

1. “Late Show with Stephen Colbert” — 82/25
2. “Late Night with Seth Meyers” — 4/1
3. “Jimmy Kimmel Live” — 9/2
4. “Daily Show with Trevor Noah” — 9/2
5. “The Problem with Jon Stewart” — 13/2

Predicted Spoilers

“Late Late Show with James Corden,” “RuPaul’s Drag Race: The Pit Stop,” “Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon,” “The Amber Ruffin Show,” “Real Time with Bill Maher,” “Watch What Happens Live”
See more Variety Talk Series contenders …

BEST VARIETY SCRIPTED SERIES

Predicted Nominees

1. “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” — 29/20
2. “Saturday Night Live” — 9/4
3. “A Black Lady Sketch Show” — 16/5

Predicted Spoilers

“History of the World: Part II,” “Inside Amy Schumer,” “Random Acts of Flyness,” “Ziwe Show,” “Amazon Music Live,” “Crank Yankers”
See more Variety Scripted Series contenders …

BEST ANIMATED PROGRAM

Predicted Nominees

1. “The Simpsons” — 69/20
2. “Bob’s Burgers” — 9/2
3. “Big Mouth” — 5/1
4. “Entergalactic” — 7/1
5. “Harley Quinn” — 15/2

Predicted Spoilers

“Genndy Tartakovsky’s Primal,” “Rick and Morty,” “Archer,” “Star Trek: Lower Decks,” “South Park,” “Legend of Vox Machina”
See more Animated Program contenders …

PREDICT the 2023 Emmy nominees through July 12

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