Da’Vine Joy Randolph (‘The Holdovers’) takes the lead in Oscar odds for Best Supporting Actress

The Oscar race for Best Supporting Actress was upended when it was announced that front-runner Lily Gladstone (“Killers of the Flower Moon”) would be competing as a lead actress instead. After much shuffling, though, Da’Vine Joy Randolph (“The Holdovers”) has taken the lead in our odds. Scroll down to see the graph illustrating her trajectory in the race. Click on the graph for more prediction stats.

Set in the early 1970s, “The Holdovers” is about a prep school teacher (Paul Giamatti) who is forced to stay on campus over the holidays with a student (Dominic Sessa). Randolph plays the school’s head cook who recently lost a son in the Vietnam War. The film premiered on August 31 at the Telluride Film Festival and has since earned an 83 score on MetaCritic and 96% freshness rating on Rotten Tomatoes. Randolph’s performance has been singled out as “sensational.” She “gives her best performance since her breakout role in 2019’s ‘Dolemite Is My Name’” and “blends her elite sense of timing with a deeply moving portrayal of a woman struggling to keep her head above the rising tide of her loss.”

More from GoldDerby

• 37th AFI Fest to feature world premieres of 'Leave the World Behind' and 'Maxine's Baby: The Tyler Perry Story'

• 5 artists who could be nominated in multiple genres at the Grammys this year

• Box office: 'PAW Patrol,' 'Saw X' deliver 1-2 sequel punch over 'The Creator'

SEETelluride Film Festival: Alexander Payne scores critical praise in reunion with Paul Giamatti for ‘The Holdovers’

Randolph received a few plaudits for her aforementioned breakthrough performance in “Dolemite,” winning Best Supporting Actress from the African-American Film Critics Association and the Kansas City Film Critics Circle, but that 2019 film didn’t quite make the cut with the motion picture academy. This time, though, Randolph is in a film by director Alexander Payne, whose films have earned seven acting nominations to date, though none of his performers have won yet.

Nevertheless, Randolph has risen from fourth place in our odds, where she was on September 14, to first place as of September 22. As of this writing he’s backed by seven Expert journalists, two Gold Derby Editors, 11 of our Top 24 Users and nine of our All-Star Top 24. Do you agree with them that she’s now the actor to beat?

PREDICTthe 2024 Oscar nominations

Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?

Best of GoldDerby

• Chevy Chase movies: 12 greatest films ranked worst to best

• Kate Winslet movies: 15 greatest films ranked from worst to best

• Charlton Heston movies: 12 greatest films ranked worst to best

Sign up for Gold Derby's Newsletter. For the latest news, follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram.

Click here to read the full article.