BAFTA Awards Winner Predictions 2024

The 77th BAFTA Awards are set to take place on Sunday, Feb. 18, at London’s Royal Festival Hall, with “Doctor Who” star David Tennant serving as the host. Christopher Nolan’s “Oppenheimer” leads the pack with 13 nominations, the highest of any film this year.

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According to Variety’s projections, “Oppenheimer” is expected to secure 10 BAFTA awards, potentially making it the most awarded film in the history of the event. George Roy Hill’s “Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid” (1969) previously dominated its ceremony, though Paul Newman was notably overlooked in favor of his co-lead, Robert Redford. Interestingly, “Butch Cassidy” did not clinch the best picture Oscar the year prior (it qualified in different years), losing to “Midnight Cowboy.” During its respective BAFTA run, it was chosen as the favorite in a lineup where “Patton” (1970) was not nominated.

Moreover, “Oppenheimer” has the potential to garner additional wins. Given its home-field advantage, Emily Blunt stands a strong chance against Da’Vine Joy Randolph (“The Holdovers”) due to her popularity. Furthermore, the film’s achievements suggest it could also be a contender in the costumes and makeup and hair categories.

Whether “Oppenheimer’s” BAFTA success will translate to the Oscars remains uncertain. Yorgos Lanthimos’ “Poor Things,” with its 11 nominations, is a close competitor in several categories, including lead actress for Emma Stone, adapted screenplay, production design, costumes, makeup and hair, and outstanding British film.

Justine Triet’s “Anatomy of a Fall” is predicted to be the evening’s second most honored film, with potential awards for Original Screenplay, Film Not in the English Language, and Leading Actress for Sandra Hüller. It could also be a contender for Editing.

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA) plays a pivotal role in the lead-up to the Academy Awards, thanks to the significant overlap in voting members between the two. Its influence on the Oscars is significant, often shaping the narrative for winners. Last year, the German-language film “All Quiet on the Western Front” demonstrated this by making a strong showing at the BAFTAs before securing nine Oscar nominations and four wins, despite being overlooked by major guilds.

Below are the final BAFTA predictions.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

Updated: Feb. 15, 2024

Best Film

• “Anatomy of a Fall”

• “The Holdovers”

• “Killers of the Flower Moon”

• “Oppenheimer”

• “Poor Things”

Will Win: “Oppenheimer” — Christopher Nolan, Charles Roven, Emma Thomas
Could Win: “Poor Things” — Ed Guiney, Yorgos Lanthimos, Andrew Lowe, Emma Stone
Should Have Been Nominated: “American Fiction”

Director

• Bradley Cooper — “Maestro”

• Jonathan Glazer – “The Zone of Interest”

• Andrew Haigh — “All of Us Strangers”

• Christopher Nolan – “Oppenheimer”

• Alexander Payne – “The Holdovers”

• Justine Triet – “Anatomy of a Fall”

Will Win: Christopher Nolan, “Oppenheimer”
Could Win: Jonathan Glazer, “The Zone of Interest”
Should Have Been Nominated: Ava DuVernay, “Origin”

British Film

• “All of Us Strangers” — Andrew Haigh, Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin, Sarah Harvey

• “How to Have Sex” — Molly Manning Walker, Emily Leo, Ivana MacKinnon, Konstantinos Kontovrakis

• “Napoleon” — Ridley Scott, Mark Huffam, Kevin J. Walsh, David Scarpa

• “The Old Oak” — Ken Loach, Rebecca O’Brien, Paul Laverty

• “Poor Things” — Yorgos Lanthimos, Ed Guiney, Andrew Lowe, Emma Stone, Tony McNamara

• “Rye Lane” — Raine Allen-Miller, Yvonne Isimeme Ibazebo, Damian Jones, Nathan Bryon, Tom Melia

• “Saltburn” — Emerald Fennell, Josey McNamara, Margot Robbie

• “Scrapper” — Charlotte Regan, Theo Barrowclough

• “Wonka” — Paul King, Alexandra Derbyshire, David Heyman, Simon Farnaby

• “The Zone of Interest” — Jonathan Glazer, James Wilson, Ewa Puszczyńska

Will Win: “Poor Things” — Yorgos Lanthimos, Ed Guiney, Andrew Lowe, Emma Stone, Tony McNamara
Could Win: “The Zone of Interest” — Jonathan Glazer, James Wilson, Ewa Puszczyńska
Should Have Been Nominated: “Polite Society”

Leading Actor

• Bradley Cooper, “Maestro”

• Colman Domingo, “Rustin”

• Paul Giamatti, “The Holdovers”

• Barry Keoghan, “Saltburn”

• Cillian Murphy, “Oppenheimer”

• Teo Yoo, “Past Lives”

Will Win: Cillian Murphy, “Oppenheimer”
Could Win: Paul Giamatti, “The Holdovers”
Should Have Been Nominated: Andrew Scott, “All of Us Strangers”

Leading Actress

• Fantasia Barrino, “The Color Purple”

• Sandra Hüller, “Anatomy of a Fall”

• Carey Mulligan, “Maestro”

• Vivian Oparah, “Rye Lane”

• Margot Robbie, “Barbie”

• Emma Stone, “Poor Things”

Will Win: Sandra Hüller, “Anatomy of a Fall”
Could Win: Emma Stone, “Poor Things”
Should Have Been Nominated: Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, “Origin”

Supporting Actor

• Robert De Niro, “Killers of the Flower Moon”

• Robert Downey Jr., “Oppenheimer”

• Jacob Elordi, “Saltburn”

• Ryan Gosling, “Barbie”

• Paul Mescal, “All of Us Strangers”

• Dominic Sessa, “The Holdovers”

Will Win: Robert Downey Jr., “Oppenheimer”
Could Win: Ryan Gosling, “Barbie”
Should Have Been Nominated: John Magaro, “Past Lives”

Supporting Actress

• Emily Blunt, “Oppenheimer”

• Danielle Brooks, “The Color Purple”

• Claire Foy, “All of Us Strangers”

• Sandra Hüller, “The Zone of Interest,”

• Rosamund Pike, “Saltburn”

• Da’Vine Joy Randolph, “The Holdovers”

Will Win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, “The Holdovers”
Could Win: Emily Blunt, “Oppenheimer”
Should Have Been Nominated: Erika Alexander, “American Fiction”

Original Screenplay

• “Anatomy of a Fall” — Justine Triet, Arthur Harari

• “Barbie” — Greta Gerwig, Noah Baumbach

• “The Holdovers” — David Hemingson

• “Maestro” — Bradley Cooper, Josh Singer

• “Past Lives” — Celine Song

Will Win: “Anatomy of a Fall” — Justine Triet, Arthur Harrari
Could Win: “The Holdovers” — David Hemingson
Should Have Been Nominated: “Monster” — Yuji Sakamoto

Adapted Screenplay

• “All of Us Strangers,” Andrew Haigh

• “American Fiction,” Cord Jefferson

• “Oppenheimer,” Christopher Nolan

• “Poor Things,” Tony McNamara

• “The Zone of Interest,” Jonathan Glazer

Will Win: “Oppenheimer” — Christopher Nolan
Could Win: “Poor Things” — Tony McNamara
Should Have Been Nominated: “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse”

Animated Film

• “The Boy and the Heron” — Hayao Miyazaki, Toshio Suzuki

• “Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget” — Sam Fell, Leyla Hobart, Steve Pegram

• “Elemental” — Peter Sohn, Denise Ream

• “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” — Joaquim Dos Santos, Kemp Powers, Justin K. Thompson, Avi Arad, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller, Amy Pascal, Christina Steinberg

Will Win: “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” — Joaquim Dos Santos, Kemp Powers, Justin K. Thompson, Avi Arad, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller, Amy Pascal and Christina Steinberg
Could Win: “The Boy and the Heron” — Hayao Miyazaki and Toshio Suzuki
Should Have Been Nominated: “Robot Dreams”

Documentary

• “20 Days in Mariupol” — Mstyslav Chernov, Raney Aronson Rath

• “American Symphony” — Matthew Heineman, Lauren Domino, Joedan Okun

• “Beyond Utopia” — Madeleine Gavin, Rachel Cohen, Jana Edelbaum

• “Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie” — Davis Guggenheim, Jonathan King, Annetta Marion

• “Wham!” — Chris Smith

Will Win: “20 Days in Mariupol” — Mstyslav Chernov, Raney Aronson Rath
Could Win: “Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie” — Davis Guggenheim, Jonathan King, Annetta Marion
Should Have Been Nominated: “Little Richard: I Am Everything”

Film Not in English Language

• “20 Days in Mariupol” — Mstyslav Chernov, Raney Aronson Rath

• “Anatomy of a Fall” — Justine Triet, Marie-Ange Luciani, David Thion

• “Past Lives” — Celine Song, David Hinojosa, Pamela Koffler, Christine Vachon

• “Society of the Snow” — J.A. Bayona, Belen Atienza

• “The Zone of Interest” — Jonathan Glazer

Will Win: “Anatomy of a Fall” – Justine Triet, Marie-Ange Luciani and David Thion
Could Win: “The Zone of Interest” – Jonathan Glazer
Should Have Been Nominated: “Do Not Expect Too Much from the End of the World”

Production Design

• “Barbie” — Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer

• “Killers of the Flower Moon” — Jack Fisk, Adam Willis

• “Oppenheimer” — Ruth De Jong, Claire Kaufman

• “Poor Things” — Shona Heath, James Price, Zsuzsa Mihalek

• “The Zone of Interest” — Chris Oddy, Joanna Maria Kuś, Katarzyna Sikora

Will Win: “Oppenheimer” — Ruth De Jong, Claire Kaufman
Could Win: “Poor Things” — Shona Heath, James Price, Zsuzsa Mihalek
Should Have Been Nominated: “Saltburn”

Cinematography

• “Killers of the Flower Moon,” Rodrigo Prieto

• “Maestro,” Matthew Libatique

• “Oppenheimer,” Hoyte van Hoytema

• “Poor Things,” Robbie Ryan

• “The Zone of Interest,” Łukasz Żal

Will Win: “Oppenheimer” — Hoyte van Hoytema
Could Win: “The Zone of Interest” — Łukasz Żal
Should Have Been Nominated: “Saltburn”

Costume Design

• “Barbie,” Jacqueline Durran

• “Killers of the Flower Moon,” Jacqueline West

• “Napoleon,” Dave Crossman, Janty Yates

• “Oppenheimer,” Ellen Mirojnick

• “Poor Things,” Holly Waddington

Will Win: “Poor Things” — Holly Waddington
Could Win: “Barbie” — Jacqueline Durran
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Taste of Things”

Editing

• “Anatomy of a Fall,” Laurent Sénéchal

• “Killers of the Flower Moon,” Thelma Schoonmaker

• “Oppenheimer,” Jennifer Lame

• “Poor Things,” Yorgos Mavropsaridis

• “The Zone of Interest,” Paul Watts

Will Win: “Oppenheimer” — Jennifer Lame
Could Win: “Anatomy of a Fall” — Laurent Sénéchal
Should Have Been Nominated: “Air”

Make Up & Hair

• “Killers of the Flower Moon” — Kay Georgiou, Thomas Nellen

• “Maestro” — Sian Grigg, Kay Georgiou, Kazu Hiro, Lori McCoy-Bell

• “Napoleon” — Jana Carboni, Francesco Pegoretti, Satinder Chumber, Julia Vernon

• “Oppenheimer” — Luisa Abel, Jaime Leigh McIntosh, Jason Hamer, Ahou Mofid

• “Poor Things” — Nadia Stacey, Mark Coulier, Josh Weston

Will Win: “Maestro” — Sian Grigg, Kay Georgiou, Kazu Hiro, Lori McCoy-Bell
Could Win: “Poor Things” — Nadia Stacey, Mark Coulier, Josh Weston
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Iron Claw”

Sound

• “Ferrari” — Angelo Bonanni, Tony Lamberti, Andy Nelson, Lee Orloff, Bernard Weiser

• “Maestro” — Richard King, Steve Morrow, Tom Ozanich, Jason Ruder, Dean Zupancic

• “Mission: Impossible — Dead Reckoning Part One” — Chris Burdon, James H. Mather, Chris Munro, Mark Taylor

• “Oppenheimer” — Willie Burton, Richard King, Kevin O’Connell, Gary A. Rizzo

• “The Zone of Interest” — Johnnie Burn, Tarn Willers

Will Win: “Oppenheimer” — Willie Burton, Richard King, Kevin O’Connell, Gary A. Rizzo 
Could Win: “The Zone of Interest” — Johnnie Burn, Tarn Willers 
Should Have Been Nominated: “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse”

Original Score

• “Killers of the Flower Moon,” Robbie Robertson

• “Oppenheimer,” Ludwig Göransson

• “Poor Things,” Jerskin Fendrix

• “Saltburn,” Anthony Willis

• “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse,” Daniel Pemberton

Will Win: “Oppenheimer” — Ludwig Göransson
Could Win: “Killers of the Flower Moon” — Robbie Robertson
Should Have Been Nominated: “American Fiction”

Special Visual Effects

• “The Creator” — Jonathan Bullock, Charmaine Chan, Ian Comley, Jay Cooper

• “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” — Theo Bialek, Stephane Ceretti, Alexis Wajsbrot, Guy Williams

• “Mission: Impossible — Dead Reckoning Part One” — Neil Corbould, Simone Coco, Jeff Sutherland, Alex Wuttke

• “Napoleon” — Henry Badgett, Neil Corbould, Charley Henley, Luc-Ewen Martin-Fenouillet

• “Poor Things” — Simon Hughes

Will Win: “Napoleon” — Henry Badgett, Neil Corbould, Charley Henley, Luc-Ewen Martin-Fenouillet
Could Win: “The Creator” — Jonathan Bullock, Charmaine Chan, Ian Comley, Jay Cooper
Should Have Been Nominated: “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse”

Casting

• “All of Us Strangers” — Kahleen Crawford

• “Anatomy of a Fall” — Cynthia Arra

• “The Holdovers” — Susan Shopmaker

• “How to Have Sex” — Isabella Odoffin

• “Killers of the Flower Moon” — Ellen Lewis, Rene Haynes

Will Win: “Killers of the Flower Moon” — Ellen Lewis, Rene Haynes
Could Win: “The Holdovers” — Susan Shopmaker
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Iron Claw” — Susan Shopmaker

EE Rising Star

• Phoebe Dynevor

• Ayo Edebiri

• Jacob Elordi

• Mia McKenna-Bruce

• Sophie Wilde

Will Win: Jacob Elordi
Could Win: Phoebe Dynevor
Should Have Been Nominated: Milo Machado Graner

**voted for by the public

Short Animation

• “Crab Day” — Ross Stringer, Bartosz Stanislawek, Aleksandra Sykulak

• “Visible Mending” — Samantha Moore, Tilley Bancroft

• “Wild Summon” — Karni Arieli, Saul Freed, Jay Woolley

Will Win: “Wild Summon” — Karni Arieli, Saul Freed, Jay Woolley
Could Win: “Crab Day” — Ross Stringer, Bartosz Stanislawek, Aleksandra Sykulak

Short Film

• “Festival of Slaps” — Abdou Cissé, Cheri Darbon, George Telfer

• “Gorka” — Joe Weiland, Alex Jefferson

• “Jellyfish and Lobster” — Yasmin Afifi, Elizabeth Rufai

• “Such a Lovely Day” — Simon Woods, Polly Stokes, Emma Norton, Kate Phibbs

• “Yellow” — Elham Ehsas, Dina Mousawi, Azeem Bhati, Yiannis Manolopoulos

Will Win: “Yellow” — Elham Ehsas, Dina Mousawi, Azeem Bhati, Yiannis Manolopoulos
Could Win: “Jellyfish and Lobster” — Yasmin Afifi, Elizabeth Rufai

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